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Washington Commanders — NFL Betting Trends & Stats
2016–2026 · 175 games · NFC East. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
40.6%
Games won (71-101-3)
49.1%
Against the line (171)
50.9%
Games over the total
21.1
Points per game
24.8
Conceded per game
Are the Commanders a good bet against the line?
The Commanders have covered 49.1% of 171 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 40.6% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Commanders perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 88 | 35-51-2 | 39.8% | 47.7% (86) | 50% | 21.1 | 24.4 |
| Away | 87 | 36-50-1 | 41.4% | 50.6% (85) | 51.7% | 21.1 | 25.2 |
What happens when the Commanders are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any favourite | 53 | 32-19-2 | 60.4% | 47.2% (53) | 43.4% | 22.6 | 20.5 |
| Underdog | 122 | 39-82-1 | 32% | 50% (118) | 54.1% | 20.4 | 26.7 |
| Heavy underdog (7.5+) | 32 | 9-23 | 28.1% | 61.3% (31) | 56.3% | 19.4 | 28.6 |
Which quarters do the Commanders win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 171 | 34.5% | 3.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| 2nd quarter | 171 | 36.8% | 6.6 | 8 | -1.4 |
| 3rd quarter | 171 | 39.2% | 4.1 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 4th quarter | 171 | 44.4% | 6.9 | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 1st half | 171 | 33.9% | 10.1 | 13 | -2.9 |
| 2nd half | 171 | 45% | 11 | 11.8 | -0.8 |
The Commanders under each referee
| Referee | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Vinovich | 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 33.3% (12) | 75% | 20.3 | 31 |
| Craig Wrolstad | 10 | 4-6 | 40% | 50% (10) | 70% | 20.3 | 27.4 |
| John Hussey | 10 | 5-5 | 50% | 60% (10) | 30% | 19.6 | 18.9 |
| Brad Allen | 10 | 4-5-1 | 40% | 44.4% (9) | 40% | 20.4 | 23.9 |
| Shawn Smith | 10 | 3-7 | 30% | 30% (10) | 40% | 18.7 | 26.1 |
| Ron Torbert | 9 | 4-5 | 44.4% | 55.6% (9) | 44.4% | 22.4 | 23.8 |
| Carl Cheffers | 9 | 3-5-1 | 33.3% | 62.5% (8) | 55.6% | 23.4 | 26.7 |
| Clay Martin | 9 | 6-3 | 66.7% | 88.9% (9) | 44.4% | 23.2 | 20.9 |
| Alex Kemp | 9 | 2-7 | 22.2% | 44.4% (9) | 66.7% | 21.9 | 26.9 |
| Adrian Hill | 9 | 4-5 | 44.4% | 75% (8) | 11.1% | 16.8 | 19.7 |
| Clete Blakeman | 8 | 4-3-1 | 50% | 62.5% (8) | 12.5% | 16.6 | 17.5 |
| Shawn Hochuli | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 25% (8) | 75% | 23.6 | 30 |
| Scott Novak | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 50% (8) | 75% | 24.4 | 28.4 |
Washington Commanders head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles | 22 | 7-15 | 31.8% | 47.6% (21) | 68.2% | 22 | 27.5 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 21 | 5-16 | 23.8% | 28.6% (21) | 66.7% | 20.6 | 30.2 |
| New York Giants | 21 | 9-10-2 | 42.9% | 40% (20) | 38.1% | 19.9 | 21.4 |
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 33.3% (6) | 66.7% | 26.2 | 29.5 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 66.7% (6) | 50% | 23.2 | 22.2 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 50% (6) | 33.3% | 24 | 18.7 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 66.7% (6) | 33.3% | 24.5 | 18.7 |
| Chicago Bears | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 50% (6) | 50% | 21.7 | 23.2 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 50% (6) | 33.3% | 16 | 22.5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 83.3% (6) | 50% | 20.3 | 24.5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 66.7% (6) | 66.7% | 24.7 | 25.8 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 1-4 | 20% | 60% (5) | 40% | 16.4 | 25.6 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 3-2 | 60% | 80% (5) | 40% | 22.2 | 22 |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 50% (4) | 75% | 23.8 | 22.8 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 1-3 | 25% | 25% (4) | 75% | 23 | 32.3 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 75% (4) | 50% | 24.5 | 22 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 33.3% (3) | 66.7% | 22 | 27.7 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 100% (1) | 66.7% | 18.7 | 23.7 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 2-0-1 | 66.7% | 100% (3) | 66.7% | 28.3 | 23 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 33.3% (3) | 33.3% | 19 | 26 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 3-0 | 100% | 100% (3) | 33.3% | 28.3 | 16.3 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% (3) | 33.3% | 13.3 | 29.3 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 33.3% (3) | 0% | 18.7 | 20 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 33.3% (3) | 0% | 13 | 22.3 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 66.7% (3) | 66.7% | 25 | 21.7 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 0% (3) | 33.3% | 15 | 25.7 |
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% (3) | 33.3% | 11 | 34.7 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 49ers | A | 17–23 | +7.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-10-11 | Giants | H | 27–27 | -3.5 | no | over |
| 2026-10-04 | Colts | A | 13–30 | +5 | no | under |
| 2026-09-27 | Seahawks | H | 33–31 | +8.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-09-20 | Cowboys | A | 20–37 | +4.5 | no | over |
| 2026-09-13 | Eagles | A | 22–24 | +6 | yes | over |
| 2026-01-04 | Eagles | A | 24–17 | +3 | yes | over |
| 2025-12-25 | Cowboys | H | 23–30 | +8.5 | yes | over |
| 2025-12-20 | Eagles | H | 18–29 | +7 | no | over |
| 2025-12-14 | Giants | A | 29–21 | +2.5 | yes | over |
Washington Commanders season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 1-4-1 | 16.7% | 50% (6) | 66.7% | 22 | 28.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | 5-12 | 29.4% | 41.2% (17) | 58.8% | 20.9 | 26.5 |
| 2024 | 20 | 14-6 | 70% | 63.2% (19) | 65% | 28.8 | 24.9 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4-13 | 23.5% | 37.5% (16) | 52.9% | 19.4 | 30.5 |
| 2022 | 17 | 8-8-1 | 47.1% | 52.9% (17) | 29.4% | 18.9 | 20.2 |
| 2021 | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 41.2% (17) | 41.2% | 19.7 | 25.5 |
| 2020 | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 53.3% (15) | 35.3% | 21.1 | 21.2 |
| 2019 | 16 | 3-13 | 18.8% | 37.5% (16) | 50% | 16.6 | 27.2 |
| 2018 | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% | 56.3% (16) | 43.8% | 17.6 | 22.4 |
| 2017 | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% | 43.8% (16) | 50% | 21.4 | 24.3 |
| 2016 | 16 | 8-7-1 | 50% | 62.5% (16) | 75% | 24.8 | 23.9 |
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