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Denver Broncos — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 175 games · AFC West. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

46.9%
Games won (82-93)
48.6%
Against the line (173)
40.6%
Games over the total
20.3
Points per game
21.2
Conceded per game

Are the Broncos a good bet against the line?

The Broncos have covered 48.6% of 173 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 46.9% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Broncos perform at home and away?

Denver Broncos by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home9052-3857.8%53.9% (89)40%21.519.3
Away8530-5535.3%42.9% (84)41.2%1923.3

What happens when the Broncos are favourites?

Denver Broncos by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (7+)1715-288.2%47.1% (17)35.3%23.512.1
Any favourite8452-3261.9%45.1% (82)44%22.518.8
Underdog9130-6133%51.6% (91)37.4%18.323.5
Heavy underdog (7+)287-2125%57.1% (28)42.9%17.525.8

Which quarters do the Broncos win?

Denver Broncos by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter17338.2%3.84-0.2
2nd quarter17338.2%5.86.9-1.1
3rd quarter17336.4%3.84.5-0.6
4th quarter17344.5%6.85.9+0.9
1st half17343.4%9.710.9-1.3
2nd half17349.1%10.710.4+0.3

The Broncos under each referee

Denver Broncos by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Craig Wrolstad134-930.8%38.5% (13)38.5%18.822.8
Carl Cheffers127-558.3%45.5% (11)58.3%23.723.3
Shawn Hochuli126-650%50% (12)33.3%20.821.2
Bill Vinovich117-463.6%45.5% (11)18.2%18.619.4
Adrian Hill115-645.5%63.6% (11)45.5%20.421.3
Ron Torbert106-460%60% (10)30%19.721.7
Clete Blakeman82-625%25% (8)37.5%16.421
John Hussey85-362.5%50% (8)50%21.822.3
Shawn Smith82-625%12.5% (8)12.5%16.621.5
Alex Kemp85-362.5%87.5% (8)25%2011.9
Clay Martin81-712.5%25% (8)37.5%18.329.3
Land Clark86-275%50% (8)37.5%22.516.6

Denver Broncos head-to-head record

Denver Broncos against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Los Angeles Chargers2112-957.1%55% (20)38.1%2020
Kansas City Chiefs214-1719%42.9% (21)38.1%18.524.4
Las Vegas Raiders208-1240%25% (20)40%19.321.6
New York Jets85-362.5%50% (8)37.5%19.416.1
Indianapolis Colts63-350%66.7% (6)33.3%23.317
Cincinnati Bengals63-350%50% (6)33.3%2215.8
Houston Texans64-266.7%50% (6)16.7%22.216.3
Jacksonville Jaguars64-266.7%66.7% (6)33.3%21.318.8
Buffalo Bills62-433.3%33.3% (6)50%1729.5
Tennessee Titans52-340%40% (5)0%1411.6
New England Patriots51-420%40% (5)40%13.421
Cleveland Browns53-260%60% (5)60%24.819.4
Carolina Panthers43-175%75% (4)50%22.821
Washington Commanders42-250%25% (4)50%2224.5
Seattle Seahawks42-250%50% (4)50%2020.3
Baltimore Ravens40-40%25% (4)25%1025.3
Pittsburgh Steelers41-325%50% (4)50%17.520.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers32-166.7%66.7% (3)0%2114
Atlanta Falcons31-233.3%33.3% (3)33.3%2721
New Orleans Saints32-166.7%66.7% (3)33.3%20.321.3
Dallas Cowboys33-0100%100% (3)66.7%38.719
New York Giants32-166.7%33.3% (3)33.3%23.322.7
Philadelphia Eagles31-233.3%33.3% (3)33.3%1932.7
Miami Dolphins31-233.3%33.3% (3)66.7%16.339.3
Los Angeles Rams31-233.3%66.7% (3)66.7%21.333.3
Arizona Cardinals33-0100%100% (3)100%3313.7
San Francisco 49ers31-233.3%33.3% (3)0%1318
Green Bay Packers32-166.7%66.7% (3)66.7%2323.3
Detroit Lions32-166.7%66.7% (3)100%27.323

Last 10 games

Denver Broncos most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-25CardinalsA30–16-4.5yesover
2026-10-15SeahawksH17–14+2.5yesunder
2026-10-11ChargersA23–17-3.5yesunder
2026-10-0449ersA14–24+3nounder
2026-09-27RamsH30–26-1yesover
2026-09-20JaguarsH20–13-2.5yesunder
2026-09-14ChiefsA10–31+2.5nounder
2026-01-25PatriotsH7–10+3.5yesunder
2026-01-17BillsH33–30-1.5yesover
2026-01-04ChargersH19–3-15.5yesunder

Denver Broncos season by season

Denver Broncos by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202675-271.4%71.4% (7)28.6%20.620.1
20251915-478.9%47.4% (19)42.1%23.218.5
20241810-855.6%66.7% (18)55.6%2419
2023178-947.1%37.5% (16)47.1%2124.3
2022175-1229.4%41.2% (17)35.3%16.921.1
2021177-1041.2%47.1% (17)29.4%19.718.9
2020165-1131.3%56.3% (16)50%20.227.9
2019167-943.8%56.3% (16)43.8%17.619.8
2018166-1037.5%37.5% (16)18.8%20.621.8
2017165-1131.3%26.7% (15)50%18.123.9
2016169-756.3%56.3% (16)37.5%20.818.6

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.