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Minnesota Vikings — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 178 games · NFC North. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

59%
Games won (105-72-1)
52.4%
Against the line (170)
49.4%
Games over the total
23.2
Points per game
21.5
Conceded per game

Are the Vikings a good bet against the line?

The Vikings have covered 52.4% of 170 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is above break-even over this sample, which is worth knowing and is not the same as a system: a line moves with reputation, and a record this long covers several very different squads. Their straight win rate of 59% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Vikings perform at home and away?

Minnesota Vikings by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home9059-3165.6%52.3% (88)48.9%24.520.1
Away8846-41-152.3%52.4% (82)50%21.922.9

What happens when the Vikings are favourites?

Minnesota Vikings by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (6.5+)2522-388%52.2% (23)36%24.414.1
Any favourite10879-28-173.1%54.4% (103)50%24.819.2
Underdog7026-4437.1%49.3% (67)48.6%20.825.1
Heavy underdog (6.5+)155-1033.3%42.9% (14)40%19.728.1

Which quarters do the Vikings win?

Minnesota Vikings by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter17342.2%4.74.2+0.6
2nd quarter17349.1%6.56.60
3rd quarter17342.2%5.14.9+0.2
4th quarter17345.7%6.86+0.8
1st half17350.3%11.310.7+0.5
2nd half17349.7%11.910.8+1.1

The Vikings under each referee

Minnesota Vikings by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Brad Allen138-561.5%66.7% (12)30.8%21.817.7
Clete Blakeman138-561.5%53.8% (13)61.5%23.524.2
Bill Vinovich136-746.2%50% (12)53.8%2524.4
John Hussey116-554.5%50% (10)36.4%21.218.6
Clay Martin116-554.5%44.4% (9)63.6%22.327.5
Carl Cheffers106-460%60% (10)40%20.120.1
Scott Novak107-370%70% (10)30%21.518.2
Adrian Hill105-550%10% (10)70%23.225.8
Craig Wrolstad95-455.6%42.9% (7)55.6%22.223.9
Alex Kemp84-450%50% (8)50%22.621

Minnesota Vikings head-to-head record

Minnesota Vikings against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Chicago Bears2213-959.1%50% (20)40.9%21.217.8
Green Bay Packers2112-8-157.1%55% (20)52.4%21.922.8
Detroit Lions2011-955%40% (20)50%2422.3
New Orleans Saints86-275%50% (8)62.5%26.925.3
Philadelphia Eagles72-528.6%33.3% (6)57.1%19.326.6
New York Giants65-183.3%60% (5)33.3%24.515.7
Dallas Cowboys62-433.3%50% (6)50%20.726.3
Atlanta Falcons64-266.7%66.7% (6)50%2422
Seattle Seahawks62-433.3%50% (6)33.3%2025.3
Carolina Panthers54-180%60% (5)60%25.821.8
Washington Commanders54-180%40% (5)40%25.616.4
Arizona Cardinals54-180%80% (5)80%29.424.6
Indianapolis Colts53-260%20% (5)20%18.624.2
Los Angeles Rams51-420%25% (4)60%21.426.4
San Francisco 49ers53-260%60% (5)20%2122.2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers42-250%50% (4)25%2219.8
Cincinnati Bengals42-250%66.7% (3)75%32.517.8
Los Angeles Chargers42-250%50% (4)50%2523.8
Tennessee Titans32-166.7%100% (3)66.7%2620
Houston Texans33-0100%100% (3)66.7%3214.3
Jacksonville Jaguars33-0100%33.3% (3)33.3%21.315.7
Pittsburgh Steelers31-233.3%33.3% (3)66.7%2226
Baltimore Ravens31-233.3%66.7% (3)66.7%24.725.7
Cleveland Browns32-166.7%66.7% (3)66.7%20.315.7
New York Jets33-0100%100% (3)66.7%2918.7
Miami Dolphins33-0100%66.7% (3)33.3%26.714.3

Last 10 games

Minnesota Vikings most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-25ColtsH16–10-7nounder
2026-10-11SaintsA23–13-2.5yesunder
2026-10-04DolphinsH15–10-10nounder
2026-09-27BuccaneersA23–16-1yesunder
2026-09-20BearsA9–3+4.5yesunder
2026-09-13PackersH39–22-2.5yesover
2026-01-10BearsA27–31-1.5noover
2026-01-04PackersH16–3-13nounder
2025-12-25LionsH23–10+7.5yesunder
2025-12-21GiantsA16–13-3nounder

Minnesota Vikings season by season

Minnesota Vikings by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202666-0100%66.7% (6)16.7%20.812.3
2025189-950%43.8% (16)50%20.620.2
20241814-477.8%64.7% (17)38.9%24.519.9
2023177-1041.2%50% (14)41.2%20.221.3
20221813-572.2%38.9% (18)61.1%24.925.4
2021178-947.1%52.9% (17)64.7%2525.1
2020167-943.8%37.5% (16)68.8%26.929.7
20191811-761.1%55.6% (18)50%24.619.4
2018168-7-150%53.3% (15)37.5%22.521.3
20171814-477.8%64.7% (17)50%23.217.4
2016168-850%56.3% (16)43.8%20.419.2

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.