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Atlanta Falcons — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 177 games · NFC South. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

46.3%
Games won (82-95)
43.5%
Against the line (177)
48%
Games over the total
23.4
Points per game
24.2
Conceded per game

Are the Falcons a good bet against the line?

The Falcons have covered 43.5% of 177 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 46.3% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Falcons perform at home and away?

Atlanta Falcons by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home8942-4747.2%40.4% (89)47.2%24.424.1
Away8840-4845.5%46.6% (88)48.9%22.524.3

What happens when the Falcons are favourites?

Atlanta Falcons by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (6.5+)1814-477.8%33.3% (18)44.4%27.220.7
Any favourite8850-3856.8%37.5% (88)53.4%25.423.1
Underdog8932-5736%49.4% (89)42.7%21.525.3
Heavy underdog (6.5+)223-1913.6%45.5% (22)40.9%17.728.4

Which quarters do the Falcons win?

Atlanta Falcons by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter17437.4%4.94.3+0.5
2nd quarter17445.4%7.57.8-0.2
3rd quarter17439.7%4.45-0.5
4th quarter17440.2%6.77.1-0.4
1st half17448.9%12.412.1+0.3
2nd half17442.5%11.112.1-0.9

The Falcons under each referee

Atlanta Falcons by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Craig Wrolstad135-838.5%38.5% (13)38.5%18.524.6
Clete Blakeman126-650%66.7% (12)58.3%25.624.1
Carl Cheffers115-645.5%45.5% (11)54.5%24.126.8
Brad Allen114-736.4%36.4% (11)27.3%19.721.5
John Hussey103-730%10% (10)30%19.827.3
Land Clark104-640%50% (10)30%24.621.9
Bill Vinovich94-544.4%44.4% (9)44.4%22.822
Ron Torbert97-277.8%44.4% (9)33.3%23.420.3
Shawn Smith95-455.6%44.4% (9)66.7%28.624.3
Alex Kemp92-722.2%22.2% (9)88.9%22.631.1

Atlanta Falcons head-to-head record

Atlanta Falcons against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Carolina Panthers2213-959.1%50% (22)45.5%2522
New Orleans Saints2110-1147.6%42.9% (21)42.9%23.924.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2011-955%55% (20)75%27.127.9
Seattle Seahawks83-537.5%62.5% (8)75%23.629.5
Green Bay Packers75-271.4%42.9% (7)85.7%29.625.4
Philadelphia Eagles62-433.3%33.3% (6)0%14.821.7
Arizona Cardinals64-266.7%50% (6)66.7%3021.7
San Francisco 49ers64-266.7%66.7% (6)33.3%2520
Minnesota Vikings62-433.3%33.3% (6)50%2224
Washington Commanders62-433.3%33.3% (6)66.7%25.824.7
Los Angeles Rams53-260%80% (5)60%26.423.8
Chicago Bears52-340%20% (5)80%23.227.8
Dallas Cowboys52-340%60% (5)20%2326.6
Los Angeles Chargers40-40%0% (4)25%19.322.5
New England Patriots40-40%25% (4)50%14.526.5
Detroit Lions42-250%25% (4)25%19.521.3
Pittsburgh Steelers40-40%0% (4)25%1424.5
Las Vegas Raiders33-0100%66.7% (3)33.3%3114.3
Denver Broncos32-166.7%66.7% (3)33.3%2127
Kansas City Chiefs30-30%33.3% (3)33.3%19.722.7
Buffalo Bills31-233.3%66.7% (3)0%18.722
Miami Dolphins31-233.3%0% (3)33.3%1927.3
New York Jets32-166.7%33.3% (3)66.7%20.718.3
New York Giants33-0100%66.7% (3)0%24.713.7
Baltimore Ravens30-30%0% (3)33.3%1624.3
Indianapolis Colts31-233.3%66.7% (3)66.7%2622.7
Jacksonville Jaguars32-166.7%66.7% (3)0%17.316.3

Last 10 games

Atlanta Falcons most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-2549ersH29–20+2.5yesunder
2026-10-18BearsH23–31+1.5noover
2026-10-11RavensH23–30-3noover
2026-10-05SaintsA45–24+1.5yesover
2026-09-24PackersA35–14+4.5yesover
2026-09-20PanthersH3–34+2.5nounder
2026-09-13SteelersA13–20+6.5nounder
2026-01-10PanthersA34–31-10noover
2026-01-04SaintsH19–17-4nounder
2025-12-29RamsH27–24+7.5yesover

Atlanta Falcons season by season

Atlanta Falcons by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202673-442.9%42.9% (7)57.1%24.424.7
2025189-950%50% (18)50%21.524
2024178-947.1%35.3% (17)41.2%22.924.9
2023177-1041.2%29.4% (17)41.2%18.921.9
2022177-1041.2%52.9% (17)41.2%21.522.7
2021166-1037.5%31.3% (16)37.5%17.927.4
2020164-1225%43.8% (16)43.8%24.825.9
2019167-943.8%50% (16)43.8%23.824.9
2018167-943.8%31.3% (16)56.3%25.926.4
20171811-761.1%44.4% (18)27.8%21.619.1
20161913-668.4%63.2% (19)89.5%34.125.3

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.