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Miami Dolphins — NFL Betting Trends & Stats
2016–2026 · 174 games · AFC East. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
47.7%
Games won (83-91)
51.8%
Against the line (168)
51.1%
Games over the total
21.5
Points per game
24.3
Conceded per game
Are the Dolphins a good bet against the line?
The Dolphins have covered 51.8% of 168 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 47.7% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Dolphins perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 85 | 52-33 | 61.2% | 58.8% (80) | 52.9% | 23.7 | 22.2 |
| Away | 89 | 31-58 | 34.8% | 45.5% (88) | 49.4% | 19.4 | 26.4 |
What happens when the Dolphins are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (8.5+) | 11 | 10-1 | 90.9% | 60% (10) | 54.5% | 30.3 | 16 |
| Any favourite | 61 | 46-15 | 75.4% | 57.9% (57) | 50.8% | 24.8 | 18.6 |
| Underdog | 113 | 37-76 | 32.7% | 48.6% (111) | 51.3% | 19.8 | 27.4 |
| Heavy underdog (8.5+) | 26 | 7-19 | 26.9% | 50% (26) | 42.3% | 17.4 | 28.4 |
Which quarters do the Dolphins win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 170 | 35.3% | 4.3 | 5 | -0.7 |
| 2nd quarter | 170 | 37.6% | 6.8 | 7.1 | -0.3 |
| 3rd quarter | 170 | 36.5% | 4.2 | 5.1 | -0.9 |
| 4th quarter | 170 | 41.2% | 6.5 | 7.3 | -0.8 |
| 1st half | 170 | 41.8% | 11.1 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 2nd half | 170 | 42.4% | 10.7 | 12.4 | -1.8 |
The Dolphins under each referee
| Referee | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hussey | 12 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 75% (12) | 41.7% | 23.5 | 18.4 |
| Brad Allen | 12 | 7-5 | 58.3% | 75% (12) | 41.7% | 23.8 | 24.2 |
| Craig Wrolstad | 11 | 4-7 | 36.4% | 36.4% (11) | 45.5% | 20.4 | 25.5 |
| Clay Martin | 11 | 3-8 | 27.3% | 36.4% (11) | 63.6% | 22.8 | 26.5 |
| Adrian Hill | 11 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 63.6% (11) | 36.4% | 20.5 | 21.5 |
| Bill Vinovich | 10 | 4-6 | 40% | 50% (10) | 40% | 19.3 | 24.6 |
| Jerome Boger | 10 | 4-6 | 40% | 44.4% (9) | 80% | 22.4 | 30.6 |
| Ron Torbert | 9 | 8-1 | 88.9% | 62.5% (8) | 44.4% | 26.7 | 19.1 |
| Alex Kemp | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 42.9% (7) | 37.5% | 19.9 | 24.1 |
| Scott Novak | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 37.5% (8) | 37.5% | 19.9 | 24.1 |
Miami Dolphins head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 21 | 5-16 | 23.8% | 52.4% (21) | 57.1% | 21 | 30.3 |
| New York Jets | 21 | 17-4 | 81% | 75% (20) | 57.1% | 24.3 | 17.1 |
| New England Patriots | 20 | 11-9 | 55% | 60% (20) | 55% | 20.8 | 24.6 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 33.3% (6) | 42.9% | 20.1 | 27.7 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 71.4% (7) | 57.1% | 24.1 | 25.4 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 28.6% (7) | 71.4% | 15 | 38.4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 50% (6) | 71.4% | 24.7 | 23.1 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 33.3% (6) | 66.7% | 17 | 25.5 |
| Cleveland Browns | 5 | 3-2 | 60% | 40% (5) | 80% | 23.8 | 23.2 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 2-3 | 40% | 40% (5) | 20% | 17.4 | 22 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 3-2 | 60% | 50% (4) | 100% | 26.6 | 25.2 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 0-5 | 0% | 20% (5) | 20% | 14.2 | 26.6 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 5 | 1-4 | 20% | 40% (5) | 20% | 15 | 23 |
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 50% (4) | 100% | 30 | 25.8 |
| Houston Texans | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 33.3% (3) | 25% | 20.5 | 21.5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 25% (4) | 0% | 19.5 | 17.5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 33.3% (3) | 0% | 12 | 22.3 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 3-0 | 100% | 100% (3) | 0% | 21.7 | 14 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 66.7% (3) | 100% | 29 | 27.3 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 33.3% (3) | 0% | 13.7 | 13.3 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 100% (3) | 33.3% | 27.3 | 19 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 33.3% (3) | 66.7% | 19 | 30.7 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 66.7% (3) | 66.7% | 39.3 | 16.3 |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% (3) | 0% | 16.3 | 29 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 33.3% (3) | 33.3% | 14.3 | 26.7 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 100% (3) | 33.3% | 25.7 | 15 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 66.7% (3) | 33.3% | 23.7 | 20.3 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Jets | A | 28–25 | +3.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-10-11 | Bengals | H | 24–31 | +7 | no | over |
| 2026-10-04 | Vikings | A | 10–15 | +10 | yes | under |
| 2026-09-27 | Chiefs | H | 10–24 | +9.5 | no | under |
| 2026-09-20 | 49ers | A | 13–35 | +13 | no | over |
| 2026-09-13 | Raiders | A | 13–27 | +3 | no | under |
| 2026-01-04 | Patriots | A | 10–38 | +14.5 | no | over |
| 2025-12-28 | Buccaneers | H | 20–17 | +5.5 | yes | under |
| 2025-12-21 | Bengals | H | 21–45 | +4 | no | over |
| 2025-12-15 | Steelers | A | 15–28 | +3.5 | no | over |
Miami Dolphins season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 1-5 | 16.7% | 40% (5) | 50% | 16.3 | 26.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 47.1% (17) | 58.8% | 20.4 | 24.9 |
| 2024 | 17 | 8-9 | 47.1% | 41.2% (17) | 47.1% | 20.3 | 21.4 |
| 2023 | 18 | 11-7 | 61.1% | 55.6% (18) | 50% | 27.9 | 23.2 |
| 2022 | 18 | 9-9 | 50% | 50% (16) | 50% | 23.8 | 24.1 |
| 2021 | 17 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 58.8% (17) | 41.2% | 20.1 | 21.9 |
| 2020 | 16 | 10-6 | 62.5% | 68.8% (16) | 43.8% | 25.3 | 21.1 |
| 2019 | 16 | 5-11 | 31.3% | 56.3% (16) | 56.3% | 19.1 | 30.9 |
| 2018 | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% | 50% (16) | 50% | 19.9 | 27.1 |
| 2017 | 16 | 6-10 | 37.5% | 35.7% (14) | 43.8% | 17.6 | 24.6 |
| 2016 | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 56.3% (16) | 70.6% | 22.1 | 24.1 |
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