What is the Carolina Panthers record against the spread?

Carolina Panthers have covered 46.7% of 169 games with a posted line since 2016. Pushes are excluded rather than counted as losses. The break-even rate at standard pricing is 52.4%.

Do Carolina Panthers games go over the total?

51.4% of 173 Carolina Panthers games with a posted total have gone over, averaging 20.6 points scored and 25.1 conceded.

How do Carolina Panthers perform as favourites?

Any favourite: 40.4% won and 32.7% covered from 57 games. Underdog: 35.3% won and 53.5% covered from 116 games. Heavy underdog (7+): 26.3% won and 55.3% covered from 38 games.

By Johnathan Cruzen-Myer · Updated 28 October 2026 · How this is measured

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Carolina Panthers — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 173 games · NFC South. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

37%

Games won (64-109)

46.7%

Against the line (169)

51.4%

Games over the total

20.6

Points per game

25.1

Conceded per game

Are the Panthers a good bet against the line?

The Panthers have covered 46.7% of 169 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 37% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Panthers perform at home and away?

Carolina Panthers by venue.
Venue	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
At home	87	37-50	42.5%	46.4% (84)	54%	21.7	24.5
Away	86	27-59	31.4%	47.1% (85)	48.8%	19.6	25.7

What happens when the Panthers are favourites?

Carolina Panthers by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market role	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
Any favourite	57	23-34	40.4%	32.7% (55)	43.9%	21.6	22.7
Underdog	116	41-75	35.3%	53.5% (114)	55.2%	20.1	26.3
Heavy underdog (7+)	38	10-28	26.3%	55.3% (38)	65.8%	19.8	29.2

Which quarters do the Panthers win?

Carolina Panthers by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
Period	Games	Won	Scored	Conceded	Margin
1st quarter	171	33.9%	4.1	4.5	-0.4
2nd quarter	171	33.9%	6.3	8.3	-2
3rd quarter	171	31.6%	4.1	5	-1
4th quarter	171	34.5%	6	7.3	-1.3
1st half	171	39.8%	10.4	12.8	-2.3
2nd half	171	35.7%	10.1	12.3	-2.2

The Panthers under each referee

Carolina Panthers by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
Referee	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
Carl Cheffers	12	3-9	25%	45.5% (11)	16.7%	15.6	23.8
Bill Vinovich	11	3-8	27.3%	27.3% (11)	81.8%	20.3	27.8
Clay Martin	11	5-6	45.5%	54.5% (11)	54.5%	22	26.9
Jerome Boger	10	3-7	30%	30% (10)	40%	20.1	24.8
Clete Blakeman	10	2-8	20%	50% (10)	40%	17.3	22.5
John Hussey	9	3-6	33.3%	33.3% (9)	55.6%	19.3	28.4
Craig Wrolstad	9	5-4	55.6%	66.7% (9)	77.8%	25.4	23.8
Alex Kemp	9	3-6	33.3%	66.7% (9)	55.6%	21	24.9
Adrian Hill	8	4-4	50%	50% (8)	50%	22.3	24.1

Carolina Panthers head-to-head record

Carolina Panthers against every opponent met at least three times.
Opponent	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
Atlanta Falcons	22	9-13	40.9%	50% (22)	45.5%	22	25
New Orleans Saints	21	6-15	28.6%	45% (20)	47.6%	18.2	24.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20	6-14	30%	40% (20)	50%	18.9	25.2
Arizona Cardinals	7	5-2	71.4%	85.7% (7)	71.4%	29.6	22
Seattle Seahawks	6	1-5	16.7%	20% (5)	83.3%	20.8	31.3
Washington Commanders	6	2-4	33.3%	33.3% (6)	33.3%	18.7	24.5
Detroit Lions	6	4-2	66.7%	66.7% (6)	66.7%	26.5	22.5
San Francisco 49ers	5	2-3	40%	40% (5)	60%	21.2	27.6
Minnesota Vikings	5	1-4	20%	40% (5)	60%	21.8	25.8
Los Angeles Rams	5	2-3	40%	50% (4)	60%	22.4	25.2
Philadelphia Eagles	5	2-3	40%	60% (5)	20%	20.6	20.4
Chicago Bears	5	0-5	0%	20% (5)	40%	15.8	30.2
Green Bay Packers	5	2-3	40%	80% (5)	40%	21.8	23.6
Dallas Cowboys	5	2-3	40%	40% (5)	60%	19.6	26.8
Denver Broncos	4	1-3	25%	25% (4)	50%	21	22.8
Miami Dolphins	4	2-2	50%	50% (4)	100%	25.8	30
New York Giants	4	2-2	50%	25% (4)	25%	18	23
Kansas City Chiefs	3	0-3	0%	66.7% (3)	66.7%	25	27.7
Las Vegas Raiders	3	1-2	33.3%	66.7% (3)	100%	32.7	30.3
Los Angeles Chargers	3	2-1	66.7%	66.7% (3)	0%	17.3	19.3
Buffalo Bills	3	1-2	33.3%	0% (2)	66.7%	10.7	24.7
New England Patriots	3	1-2	33.3%	33.3% (3)	66.7%	17.3	32
New York Jets	3	3-0	100%	100% (3)	33.3%	22.3	15.7
Cincinnati Bengals	3	1-2	33.3%	33.3% (3)	100%	25.3	32.3
Cleveland Browns	3	0-3	0%	0% (3)	33.3%	20.7	24.3
Houston Texans	3	3-0	100%	100% (3)	0%	18.3	10.7
Jacksonville Jaguars	3	1-2	33.3%	33.3% (3)	33.3%	14.7	26.3

Last 10 games

Carolina Panthers most recent results.
Date	Opponent		Score	Line	Covered	Total
2026-10-25	Buccaneers	H	13–43	-3	no	over
2026-10-18	Eagles	A	25–14	-3	yes	under
2026-10-04	Lions	H	32–26	+4.5	yes	over
2026-09-27	Browns	A	18–21	-2.5	no	under
2026-09-20	Falcons	A	34–3	-2.5	yes	under
2026-09-13	Bears	H	37–59	+3	no	over
2026-01-10	Rams	H	31–34	+10	yes	over
2026-01-10	Falcons	H	31–34	+10	yes	over
2025-12-28	Seahawks	H	10–27	+6.5	no	under
2025-12-21	Buccaneers	H	23–20	+3	yes	under

Carolina Panthers season by season

Carolina Panthers by season.
Season	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
2026	6	3-3	50%	50% (6)	50%	26.5	27.7
2025	18	8-10	44.4%	61.1% (18)	50%	19.9	24
2024	17	5-12	29.4%	47.1% (17)	76.5%	20.1	31.4
2023	17	2-15	11.8%	31.3% (16)	29.4%	13.9	24.5
2022	17	7-10	41.2%	52.9% (17)	47.1%	20.4	22
2021	17	5-12	29.4%	29.4% (17)	47.1%	17.9	23.8
2020	16	5-11	31.3%	56.3% (16)	43.8%	21.9	25.1
2019	16	5-11	31.3%	40% (15)	68.8%	21.3	29.4
2018	16	7-9	43.8%	43.8% (16)	50%	23.5	23.9
2017	17	11-6	64.7%	62.5% (16)	58.8%	22.9	21.1
2016	16	6-10	37.5%	40% (15)	43.8%	23.1	25.1

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