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Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 177 games · AFC South. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

39.5%
Games won (70-107)
49.4%
Against the line (174)
47.5%
Games over the total
21
Points per game
23
Conceded per game

Are the Jaguars a good bet against the line?

The Jaguars have covered 49.4% of 174 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 39.5% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Jaguars perform at home and away?

Jacksonville Jaguars by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home8137-4445.7%48.8% (80)45.7%21.421.1
Away9633-6334.4%50% (94)49%20.724.7

What happens when the Jaguars are favourites?

Jacksonville Jaguars by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (7+)1510-566.7%53.3% (15)53.3%25.514.5
Any favourite6033-2755%44.1% (59)50%23.419.4
Underdog11737-8031.6%52.2% (115)46.2%19.824.9
Heavy underdog (7+)345-2914.7%58.8% (34)35.3%17.327.1

Which quarters do the Jaguars win?

Jacksonville Jaguars by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter16431.7%3.64.7-1.1
2nd quarter16438.4%6.26.9-0.7
3rd quarter16445.7%55.1-0.2
4th quarter16441.5%6.16.3-0.2
1st half16437.2%9.811.7-1.8
2nd half16445.1%11.111.4-0.4

The Jaguars under each referee

Jacksonville Jaguars by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Brad Allen146-842.9%57.1% (14)35.7%21.824.4
Shawn Smith125-741.7%58.3% (12)41.7%21.726.8
Alex Kemp105-550%60% (10)60%22.919.6
Clete Blakeman92-722.2%44.4% (9)33.3%17.725.6
Clay Martin96-366.7%77.8% (9)44.4%24.418.9
Adrian Hill90-90%11.1% (9)11.1%10.226.6
Carl Cheffers84-450%37.5% (8)75%2723.4
John Hussey84-450%37.5% (8)50%20.620.9
Craig Wrolstad86-275%87.5% (8)25%25.513.1
Scott Novak83-537.5%42.9% (7)62.5%2124.6
Shawn Hochuli82-625%37.5% (8)50%21.125.4

Jacksonville Jaguars head-to-head record

Jacksonville Jaguars against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Houston Texans215-1623.8%47.6% (21)42.9%19.622
Indianapolis Colts2013-765%84.2% (19)55%25.619.8
Tennessee Titans209-1145%45% (20)55%20.321.2
Los Angeles Chargers74-357.1%42.9% (7)71.4%25.326.4
Kansas City Chiefs71-614.3%42.9% (7)28.6%18.726.9
Buffalo Bills73-442.9%42.9% (7)42.9%17.122.1
New York Jets74-357.1%57.1% (7)85.7%27.618.7
Cincinnati Bengals73-442.9%57.1% (7)42.9%25.123.3
Denver Broncos62-433.3%33.3% (6)33.3%18.821.3
Baltimore Ravens52-340%60% (5)60%2223.2
Las Vegas Raiders53-260%40% (5)40%21.423.4
Pittsburgh Steelers53-260%75% (4)20%22.821.6
Cleveland Browns52-340%60% (5)60%23.618.6
New England Patriots53-260%80% (5)60%25.623.2
Detroit Lions40-40%0% (4)50%13.838
San Francisco 49ers41-325%25% (4)50%1832.3
Philadelphia Eagles41-325%25% (4)50%20.324.5
Miami Dolphins42-250%75% (4)0%17.519.5
Green Bay Packers30-30%66.7% (3)66.7%23.327
Chicago Bears31-233.3%33.3% (3)66.7%16.730.7
Minnesota Vikings30-30%66.7% (3)33.3%15.721.3
Los Angeles Rams30-30%0% (3)33.3%10.333
Arizona Cardinals31-233.3%0% (2)66.7%23.327.3
Seattle Seahawks31-233.3%33.3% (3)33.3%16.325
Carolina Panthers32-166.7%66.7% (3)33.3%26.314.7
Atlanta Falcons31-233.3%33.3% (3)0%16.317.3

Last 10 games

Jacksonville Jaguars most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-18TexansA31–34-2.5noover
2026-10-11EaglesA19–17-7.5nounder
2026-10-04BengalsA22–17+2.5yesunder
2026-09-27PatriotsH35–6-3yesunder
2026-09-20BroncosA13–20+2.5nounder
2026-09-13BrownsH34–10-8.5yesover
2026-01-11BillsH24–27-1.5nounder
2026-01-04TitansH41–7-12.5yesover
2025-12-28ColtsA23–17-4.5yesunder
2025-12-21BroncosA34–20+3yesover

Jacksonville Jaguars season by season

Jacksonville Jaguars by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202664-266.7%50% (6)33.3%25.717.3
20251813-572.2%64.7% (17)55.6%27.720.2
2024174-1323.5%58.8% (17)52.9%18.825.6
2023179-852.9%52.9% (17)47.1%22.221.8
20221910-952.6%52.6% (19)47.4%23.921.4
2021173-1417.6%29.4% (17)29.4%14.926.9
2020161-156.3%43.8% (16)50%19.130.8
2019166-1037.5%43.8% (16)50%18.824.8
2018165-1131.3%35.7% (14)37.5%15.319.8
20171912-763.2%57.9% (19)47.4%25.917.7
2016163-1318.8%50% (16)62.5%19.925

More NFL analysis

Other NFL clubs

Arizona Cardinals173gAtlanta Falcons177gBaltimore Ravens181gBuffalo Bills186gCarolina Panthers173gChicago Bears177gCincinnati Bengals177gCleveland Browns175gDallas Cowboys179gDenver Broncos175gDetroit Lions176gGreen Bay Packers185gHouston Texans184gIndianapolis Colts175gKansas City Chiefs194gLas Vegas Raiders174gLos Angeles Chargers176gLos Angeles Rams189gMiami Dolphins174gMinnesota Vikings178gNew England Patriots187gNew Orleans Saints179gNew York Giants175gNew York Jets171gPhiladelphia Eagles189gPittsburgh Steelers181gSan Francisco 49ers186gSeattle Seahawks181gTampa Bay Buccaneers182gTennessee Titans179gWashington Commanders175g
Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.