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Indianapolis Colts — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 175 games · AFC South. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

46.3%
Games won (81-93-1)
50.9%
Against the line (171)
51.4%
Games over the total
23.5
Points per game
23.8
Conceded per game

Are the Colts a good bet against the line?

The Colts have covered 50.9% of 171 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 46.3% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Colts perform at home and away?

Indianapolis Colts by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home8847-4153.4%47.1% (87)47.7%24.422.6
Away8734-52-139.1%54.8% (84)55.2%22.625

What happens when the Colts are favourites?

Indianapolis Colts by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (7+)2115-5-171.4%38.1% (21)33.3%28.918.3
Any favourite8154-26-166.7%50% (80)50.6%26.320.8
Underdog9427-6728.7%51.6% (91)52.1%21.126.4
Heavy underdog (7+)214-1719%61.9% (21)47.6%1927.4

Which quarters do the Colts win?

Indianapolis Colts by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter17142.1%5.14.4+0.7
2nd quarter17139.8%7.47.3+0.1
3rd quarter17142.7%4.84.5+0.3
4th quarter17138.6%6.27.8-1.6
1st half17151.5%12.511.7+0.8
2nd half17146.2%1112.3-1.3

The Colts under each referee

Indianapolis Colts by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Craig Wrolstad158-753.3%60% (15)40%22.322.3
Brad Allen124-833.3%41.7% (12)50%23.322.9
Bill Vinovich114-736.4%30% (10)36.4%21.523.6
Carl Cheffers113-827.3%45.5% (11)54.5%23.827.6
Alex Kemp105-550%40% (10)60%22.621.8
John Hussey94-544.4%55.6% (9)77.8%28.329
Clete Blakeman98-188.9%66.7% (9)33.3%25.820.1
Shawn Smith93-633.3%37.5% (8)66.7%24.826.7
Clay Martin81-712.5%25% (8)25%15.422.5
Shawn Hochuli83-537.5%25% (8)62.5%19.927.1
Land Clark83-4-137.5%62.5% (8)75%26.325

Indianapolis Colts head-to-head record

Indianapolis Colts against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Houston Texans2211-10-150%66.7% (21)31.8%24.420.4
Tennessee Titans2112-957.1%57.1% (21)57.1%26.123.3
Jacksonville Jaguars207-1335%15.8% (19)55%19.825.6
Pittsburgh Steelers92-722.2%33.3% (9)66.7%20.924.9
Las Vegas Raiders85-362.5%50% (8)75%30.423.5
Denver Broncos63-350%33.3% (6)33.3%1723.3
Kansas City Chiefs62-433.3%66.7% (6)16.7%19.324.5
New York Jets54-180%80% (5)80%36.823.2
Minnesota Vikings52-340%80% (5)20%24.218.6
Buffalo Bills52-340%60% (5)60%25.818
Baltimore Ravens51-420%60% (5)40%19.227.6
New England Patriots53-260%40% (5)40%17.822.2
Miami Dolphins54-180%60% (5)20%2315
Los Angeles Chargers42-250%66.7% (3)50%22.824
Los Angeles Rams40-40%25% (4)75%1932.3
Cincinnati Bengals41-325%25% (4)100%22.829.8
Detroit Lions31-233.3%33.3% (3)66.7%27.328
Chicago Bears33-0100%100% (3)33.3%2316.7
Green Bay Packers32-166.7%66.7% (3)66.7%2524.3
Arizona Cardinals32-166.7%66.7% (3)33.3%2219.7
Cleveland Browns31-233.3%66.7% (3)100%30.733
Seattle Seahawks30-30%33.3% (3)33.3%16.730.7
San Francisco 49ers32-166.7%66.7% (3)100%27.729.7
Washington Commanders32-166.7%66.7% (3)0%22.313
New York Giants31-233.3%0% (3)100%23.736.7
Atlanta Falcons32-166.7%33.3% (3)66.7%22.726
Tampa Bay Buccaneers31-233.3%50% (2)100%3132

Last 10 games

Indianapolis Colts most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-25VikingsA10–16+7yesunder
2026-10-18TitansH20–26-6.5noover
2026-10-11SteelersA22–34+3noover
2026-10-04CommandersH30–13-5yesunder
2026-09-27TexansH19–17+1.5yesunder
2026-09-20ChiefsA30–33+6yesover
2026-09-13RavensH23–41+3noover
2026-01-04TexansA30–38+9.5yesover
2025-12-28JaguarsH17–23+4.5nounder
2025-12-2249ersH27–48+6.5noover

Indianapolis Colts season by season

Indianapolis Colts by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202672-528.6%57.1% (7)57.1%2225.7
2025178-947.1%52.9% (17)52.9%27.424.2
2024178-947.1%52.9% (17)52.9%22.225.1
2023179-852.9%52.9% (17)64.7%23.324.4
2022174-12-123.5%35.3% (17)41.2%1725.1
2021179-852.9%58.8% (17)47.1%26.521.5
20201711-664.7%52.9% (17)58.8%27.922.9
2019167-943.8%50% (14)56.3%22.623.3
20181811-761.1%52.9% (17)44.4%25.921.2
2017164-1225%50% (16)37.5%16.425.3
2016168-850%46.7% (15)56.3%25.724.5

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.