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Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 194 games · AFC West. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

72.2%
Games won (140-54)
52.6%
Against the line (190)
44.3%
Games over the total
26.7
Points per game
21
Conceded per game

Are the Chiefs a good bet against the line?

The Chiefs have covered 52.6% of 190 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is above break-even over this sample, which is worth knowing and is not the same as a system: a line moves with reputation, and a record this long covers several very different squads. Their straight win rate of 72.2% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Chiefs perform at home and away?

Kansas City Chiefs by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home10678-2873.6%50% (104)37.7%26.219.2
Away8862-2670.5%55.8% (86)52.3%27.423

What happens when the Chiefs are favourites?

Kansas City Chiefs by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (9.5+)3834-489.5%50% (36)39.5%28.516.5
Any favourite162121-4174.7%49.7% (159)42.6%2719.9
Underdog3219-1359.4%67.7% (31)53.1%25.326.3

Which quarters do the Chiefs win?

Kansas City Chiefs by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter18650.5%5.74.1+1.6
2nd quarter18653.2%8.86.5+2.3
3rd quarter18647.3%5.23.6+1.6
4th quarter18643%7.16.5+0.6
1st half18661.8%14.510.6+3.9
2nd half18655.9%12.310.2+2.2

The Chiefs under each referee

Kansas City Chiefs by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Carl Cheffers1912-763.2%36.8% (19)42.1%24.222.3
Clete Blakeman169-756.3%50% (14)56.3%28.125.2
Bill Vinovich1510-566.7%60% (15)46.7%29.421.9
John Hussey149-564.3%57.1% (14)35.7%29.322.9
Shawn Hochuli1410-471.4%38.5% (13)42.9%25.822.3
Brad Allen116-554.5%45.5% (11)18.2%21.417.1
Craig Wrolstad107-370%40% (10)30%25.520
Shawn Smith108-280%50% (10)40%25.718.3
Clay Martin99-0100%44.4% (9)33.3%27.417.8
Tony Corrente86-275%62.5% (8)75%2921

Kansas City Chiefs head-to-head record

Kansas City Chiefs against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Los Angeles Chargers2116-576.2%52.4% (21)42.9%25.721.1
Las Vegas Raiders2117-481%52.4% (21)47.6%29.917.9
Denver Broncos2117-481%57.1% (21)38.1%24.418.5
Buffalo Bills115-645.5%45.5% (11)54.5%24.926
Houston Texans96-366.7%44.4% (9)66.7%28.123.6
Pittsburgh Steelers74-357.1%57.1% (7)57.1%27.422.6
Jacksonville Jaguars76-185.7%57.1% (7)28.6%26.918.7
Tennessee Titans72-528.6%14.3% (7)28.6%19.624.3
Cincinnati Bengals74-357.1%42.9% (7)28.6%28.322.9
Baltimore Ravens76-185.7%71.4% (7)71.4%3022.6
Indianapolis Colts64-266.7%33.3% (6)16.7%24.519.3
New England Patriots64-266.7%80% (5)66.7%31.525
Philadelphia Eagles63-350%50% (6)66.7%27.227.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers53-260%20% (5)40%24.825.8
Miami Dolphins55-0100%80% (5)20%26.614.2
San Francisco 49ers55-0100%100% (5)40%33.222
New York Jets43-175%50% (4)50%28.317.5
Cleveland Browns44-0100%50% (4)50%28.318.5
New Orleans Saints33-0100%100% (2)33.3%28.321
Carolina Panthers33-0100%33.3% (3)66.7%27.725
Atlanta Falcons33-0100%66.7% (3)33.3%22.719.7
Washington Commanders33-0100%100% (3)33.3%29.313.3
Dallas Cowboys31-233.3%33.3% (3)33.3%21.322.7
New York Giants32-166.7%33.3% (3)0%1712.7
Seattle Seahawks31-233.3%33.3% (3)33.3%19.322.7
Detroit Lions32-166.7%33.3% (3)33.3%2822.7
Green Bay Packers31-233.3%0% (3)66.7%18.721.7

Last 10 games

Kansas City Chiefs most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-25SeahawksA3–20+3nounder
2026-10-18ChargersH22–6-7.5yesunder
2026-10-04RaidersA30–27-5noover
2026-09-27DolphinsA24–10-9.5yesunder
2026-09-20ColtsH33–30-6noover
2026-09-14BroncosH31–10-2.5yesunder
2026-01-04RaidersA12–14-3.5nounder
2025-12-25BroncosH13–20+13.5yesunder
2025-12-21TitansA9–26-3nounder
2025-12-14ChargersH13–16-5.5nounder

Kansas City Chiefs season by season

Kansas City Chiefs by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202665-183.3%50% (6)33.3%23.817.2
2025176-1135.3%35.3% (17)23.5%21.319.3
20242017-385%45% (20)45%23.120.5
20232115-671.4%65% (20)28.6%22.217
20222017-385%42.1% (19)45%29.222.2
20212014-670%50% (20)60%29.422.4
20201916-384.2%42.1% (19)47.4%28.522.8
20191915-478.9%73.7% (19)52.6%29.920.2
20181813-572.2%58.8% (17)61.1%34.826.2
20171710-758.8%58.8% (17)47.1%25.621.2
20161712-570.6%56.3% (16)35.3%23.819.4

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.