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Houston Texans — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 184 games · AFC South. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

46.2%
Games won (85-98-1)
45.8%
Against the line (177)
42.9%
Games over the total
21.5
Points per game
23.2
Conceded per game

Are the Texans a good bet against the line?

The Texans have covered 45.8% of 177 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 46.2% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Texans perform at home and away?

Houston Texans by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home9650-45-152.1%43.6% (94)44.8%23.322.7
Away8835-5339.8%48.2% (83)40.9%19.623.8

What happens when the Texans are favourites?

Houston Texans by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (8+)85-362.5%12.5% (8)87.5%28.926.4
Any favourite7653-2369.7%41.1% (73)40.8%2419.9
Underdog10832-75-129.6%49% (104)44.4%19.825.6
Heavy underdog (8+)302-286.7%39.3% (28)50%15.130.7

Which quarters do the Texans win?

Houston Texans by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter18135.4%4.14.6-0.5
2nd quarter18148.1%6.97-0.1
3rd quarter18130.4%45.3-1.3
4th quarter18142.5%6.56.4+0.1
1st half18147.5%1111.6-0.7
2nd half18137%10.411.6-1.2

The Texans under each referee

Houston Texans by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Bill Vinovich136-746.2%50% (12)7.7%20.221.5
Land Clark138-4-161.5%38.5% (13)53.8%26.224.2
Carl Cheffers113-827.3%36.4% (11)63.6%17.527
Clay Martin116-554.5%70% (10)27.3%23.823
Clete Blakeman105-550%55.6% (9)50%20.620.5
Brad Allen107-370%55.6% (9)60%22.921.5
Alex Kemp105-550%30% (10)40%20.622.6
Scott Novak105-550%44.4% (9)30%19.920.2
Tony Corrente94-544.4%44.4% (9)33.3%19.723.6
Ron Torbert95-455.6%55.6% (9)44.4%19.322.2
Shawn Hochuli93-633.3%44.4% (9)44.4%23.128.4
John Hussey82-625%37.5% (8)50%20.827.1
Craig Wrolstad86-275%62.5% (8)37.5%23.916.1

Houston Texans head-to-head record

Houston Texans against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Indianapolis Colts2210-11-145.5%33.3% (21)31.8%20.424.4
Tennessee Titans2112-957.1%61.9% (21)42.9%24.619.6
Jacksonville Jaguars2116-576.2%52.4% (21)42.9%2219.6
Kansas City Chiefs93-633.3%55.6% (9)66.7%23.628.1
New England Patriots93-633.3%55.6% (9)66.7%22.626.7
Cleveland Browns73-442.9%71.4% (7)57.1%24.421.1
Baltimore Ravens71-614.3%28.6% (7)14.3%14.928.1
Denver Broncos62-433.3%50% (6)16.7%16.322.2
Los Angeles Chargers64-266.7%66.7% (6)50%26.222
Buffalo Bills64-266.7%50% (6)16.7%19.824.5
Las Vegas Raiders53-260%20% (5)80%23.424.8
Cincinnati Bengals53-260%40% (5)40%18.420.6
Chicago Bears42-250%33.3% (3)25%17.321.5
Green Bay Packers41-325%25% (4)25%23.327.5
Arizona Cardinals43-175%50% (4)50%24.322
Pittsburgh Steelers42-250%50% (4)25%21.818.5
Dallas Cowboys42-250%50% (4)75%26.521.8
Miami Dolphins42-250%66.7% (3)25%21.520.5
New York Jets41-325%0% (3)50%15.523.5
Minnesota Vikings30-30%0% (3)66.7%14.332
Detroit Lions32-166.7%100% (3)33.3%2821.3
Seattle Seahawks30-30%33.3% (3)100%23.333.7
Los Angeles Rams30-30%0% (2)33.3%12.728.3
San Francisco 49ers31-233.3%33.3% (3)0%16.321.3
New York Giants30-30%0% (3)66.7%19.726
Carolina Panthers30-30%0% (3)0%10.718.3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers32-166.7%0% (2)33.3%2725.7

Last 10 games

Houston Texans most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-25GiantsH21–27-10noover
2026-10-18JaguarsH34–31+2.5yesover
2026-10-11TitansA26–3-6.5yesunder
2026-10-04CowboysH30–34-3noover
2026-09-27ColtsA17–19-1.5nounder
2026-09-20BengalsH6–20-3nounder
2026-09-13BillsH31–36+1.5noover
2026-01-18PatriotsA16–28+3.5noover
2026-01-12SteelersA30–6-3yesunder
2026-01-04PackersH38–30-9.5noover

Houston Texans season by season

Houston Texans by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202672-528.6%28.6% (7)57.1%23.624.3
20252014-670%50% (20)40%24.418
20241911-857.9%47.4% (19)36.8%2221.4
20231911-857.9%52.6% (19)36.8%22.721.1
2022173-13-117.6%53.3% (15)41.2%1724.7
2021174-1323.5%43.8% (16)47.1%16.526.6
2020164-1225%37.5% (16)50%2429
20191811-761.1%47.1% (17)44.4%23.925.3
20181711-664.7%46.7% (15)41.2%24.119.8
2017164-1225%43.8% (16)43.8%21.127.3
20161810-855.6%41.2% (17)44.4%17.920.9

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.