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Chicago Bears — NFL Betting Trends & Stats
2016–2026 · 177 games · NFC North. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
42.4%
Games won (75-102)
49.4%
Against the line (172)
45.2%
Games over the total
20.6
Points per game
22.4
Conceded per game
Are the Bears a good bet against the line?
The Bears have covered 49.4% of 172 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 42.4% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Bears perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 90 | 44-46 | 48.9% | 57% (86) | 41.1% | 21.3 | 19.6 |
| Away | 87 | 31-56 | 35.6% | 41.9% (86) | 49.4% | 19.9 | 25.2 |
What happens when the Bears are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any favourite | 61 | 41-20 | 67.2% | 51.7% (60) | 47.5% | 23.5 | 18.8 |
| Underdog | 116 | 34-82 | 29.3% | 48.2% (112) | 44% | 19.1 | 24.2 |
| Heavy underdog (7+) | 34 | 5-29 | 14.7% | 39.4% (33) | 47.1% | 16.7 | 28.6 |
Which quarters do the Bears win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 175 | 38.3% | 3.8 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 2nd quarter | 175 | 36% | 6.4 | 7.2 | -0.9 |
| 3rd quarter | 175 | 39.4% | 4.1 | 4.6 | -0.4 |
| 4th quarter | 175 | 37.7% | 6.2 | 6.6 | -0.4 |
| 1st half | 175 | 40.6% | 10.2 | 11.2 | -1.1 |
| 2nd half | 175 | 39.4% | 10.3 | 11.1 | -0.8 |
The Bears under each referee
| Referee | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Cheffers | 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 45.5% (11) | 33.3% | 16.8 | 22.2 |
| Craig Wrolstad | 11 | 2-9 | 18.2% | 30% (10) | 36.4% | 15.5 | 23.6 |
| Brad Allen | 11 | 5-6 | 45.5% | 45.5% (11) | 54.5% | 23.7 | 23.9 |
| Adrian Hill | 11 | 8-3 | 72.7% | 45.5% (11) | 36.4% | 21.5 | 21.2 |
| Clete Blakeman | 10 | 6-4 | 60% | 44.4% (9) | 40% | 23 | 22.2 |
| Scott Novak | 10 | 3-7 | 30% | 50% (10) | 50% | 20.5 | 21.5 |
| John Hussey | 9 | 4-5 | 44.4% | 33.3% (9) | 66.7% | 18.8 | 24.7 |
| Clay Martin | 9 | 4-5 | 44.4% | 50% (8) | 66.7% | 25.1 | 24.6 |
| Ron Torbert | 8 | 1-7 | 12.5% | 50% (8) | 50% | 20.4 | 28.8 |
| Alex Kemp | 8 | 6-2 | 75% | 75% (8) | 25% | 17.6 | 19.8 |
| Land Clark | 8 | 2-6 | 25% | 37.5% (8) | 37.5% | 18.5 | 23.4 |
Chicago Bears head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 22 | 4-18 | 18.2% | 31.8% (22) | 54.5% | 18 | 26.6 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 22 | 9-13 | 40.9% | 50% (20) | 40.9% | 17.8 | 21.2 |
| Detroit Lions | 20 | 9-11 | 45% | 52.6% (19) | 45% | 21.7 | 24.1 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 42.9% (7) | 14.3% | 16.7 | 20.7 |
| New York Giants | 7 | 4-3 | 57.1% | 28.6% (7) | 14.3% | 20.6 | 17.4 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 57.1% (7) | 42.9% | 20.9 | 21.9 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 33.3% (6) | 50% | 17.5 | 26.5 |
| Washington Commanders | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 50% (6) | 50% | 23.2 | 21.7 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6 | 1-5 | 16.7% | 50% (6) | 33.3% | 18.7 | 23.5 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 2-4 | 33.3% | 50% (6) | 33.3% | 14.5 | 19.8 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 5 | 3-2 | 60% | 80% (5) | 80% | 27.8 | 23.2 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 5-0 | 100% | 80% (5) | 40% | 30.2 | 15.8 |
| Houston Texans | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 66.7% (3) | 25% | 21.5 | 17.3 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 50% (4) | 75% | 27 | 29.5 |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 50% (4) | 0% | 18.5 | 13 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 25% (4) | 50% | 18.5 | 23 |
| New England Patriots | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 50% (4) | 75% | 24.3 | 23.8 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | 3-1 | 75% | 75% (4) | 75% | 24 | 17.3 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% (3) | 33.3% | 16.7 | 23 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 66.7% (3) | 66.7% | 30.7 | 16.7 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 66.7% (3) | 33.3% | 20.7 | 22.7 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 100% (3) | 66.7% | 27 | 24.7 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 33.3% (3) | 66.7% | 18.7 | 23.3 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 3-0 | 100% | 100% (3) | 33.3% | 33.3 | 22 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 100% (3) | 33.3% | 17.3 | 15.7 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 66.7% (3) | 33.3% | 19 | 17.7 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Patriots | H | 30–24 | -3 | yes | over |
| 2026-10-18 | Falcons | A | 31–23 | -1.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-10-11 | Packers | A | 7–31 | -1.5 | no | under |
| 2026-10-04 | Jets | H | 23–12 | -3.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-09-28 | Eagles | H | 27–7 | +3.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-09-20 | Vikings | H | 3–9 | -4.5 | no | under |
| 2026-09-13 | Panthers | A | 59–37 | -3 | yes | over |
| 2026-01-18 | Rams | H | 17–20 | +3.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-01-10 | Packers | H | 31–27 | +1.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-01-10 | Vikings | H | 31–27 | +1.5 | yes | over |
Chicago Bears season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 71.4% (7) | 42.9% | 25.7 | 20.4 |
| 2025 | 20 | 13-7 | 65% | 70% (20) | 50% | 26 | 24.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 5-12 | 29.4% | 56.3% (16) | 41.2% | 18.2 | 21.8 |
| 2023 | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 50% (16) | 52.9% | 21.2 | 22.3 |
| 2022 | 17 | 3-14 | 17.6% | 31.3% (16) | 58.8% | 19.2 | 27.2 |
| 2021 | 17 | 6-11 | 35.3% | 35.3% (17) | 41.2% | 18.3 | 23.9 |
| 2020 | 17 | 8-9 | 47.1% | 47.1% (17) | 47.1% | 22.4 | 23 |
| 2019 | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 25% (16) | 37.5% | 17.5 | 18.6 |
| 2018 | 17 | 12-5 | 70.6% | 70.6% (17) | 47.1% | 25.6 | 17.6 |
| 2017 | 16 | 5-11 | 31.3% | 50% (14) | 25% | 16.5 | 20 |
| 2016 | 16 | 3-13 | 18.8% | 43.8% (16) | 50% | 17.4 | 24.9 |
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