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Chicago Bears — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 177 games · NFC North. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

42.4%
Games won (75-102)
49.4%
Against the line (172)
45.2%
Games over the total
20.6
Points per game
22.4
Conceded per game

Are the Bears a good bet against the line?

The Bears have covered 49.4% of 172 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 42.4% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Bears perform at home and away?

Chicago Bears by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home9044-4648.9%57% (86)41.1%21.319.6
Away8731-5635.6%41.9% (86)49.4%19.925.2

What happens when the Bears are favourites?

Chicago Bears by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Any favourite6141-2067.2%51.7% (60)47.5%23.518.8
Underdog11634-8229.3%48.2% (112)44%19.124.2
Heavy underdog (7+)345-2914.7%39.4% (33)47.1%16.728.6

Which quarters do the Bears win?

Chicago Bears by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter17538.3%3.84-0.2
2nd quarter17536%6.47.2-0.9
3rd quarter17539.4%4.14.6-0.4
4th quarter17537.7%6.26.6-0.4
1st half17540.6%10.211.2-1.1
2nd half17539.4%10.311.1-0.8

The Bears under each referee

Chicago Bears by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Carl Cheffers124-833.3%45.5% (11)33.3%16.822.2
Craig Wrolstad112-918.2%30% (10)36.4%15.523.6
Brad Allen115-645.5%45.5% (11)54.5%23.723.9
Adrian Hill118-372.7%45.5% (11)36.4%21.521.2
Clete Blakeman106-460%44.4% (9)40%2322.2
Scott Novak103-730%50% (10)50%20.521.5
John Hussey94-544.4%33.3% (9)66.7%18.824.7
Clay Martin94-544.4%50% (8)66.7%25.124.6
Ron Torbert81-712.5%50% (8)50%20.428.8
Alex Kemp86-275%75% (8)25%17.619.8
Land Clark82-625%37.5% (8)37.5%18.523.4

Chicago Bears head-to-head record

Chicago Bears against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Green Bay Packers224-1818.2%31.8% (22)54.5%1826.6
Minnesota Vikings229-1340.9%50% (20)40.9%17.821.2
Detroit Lions209-1145%52.6% (19)45%21.724.1
Philadelphia Eagles72-528.6%42.9% (7)14.3%16.720.7
New York Giants74-357.1%28.6% (7)14.3%20.617.4
San Francisco 49ers73-442.9%57.1% (7)42.9%20.921.9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers62-433.3%33.3% (6)50%17.526.5
Washington Commanders63-350%50% (6)50%23.221.7
New Orleans Saints61-516.7%50% (6)33.3%18.723.5
Los Angeles Rams62-433.3%50% (6)33.3%14.519.8
Atlanta Falcons53-260%80% (5)80%27.823.2
Carolina Panthers55-0100%80% (5)40%30.215.8
Houston Texans42-250%66.7% (3)25%21.517.3
Dallas Cowboys42-250%50% (4)75%2729.5
Cleveland Browns42-250%50% (4)0%18.513
Arizona Cardinals42-250%25% (4)50%18.523
New England Patriots42-250%50% (4)75%24.323.8
Las Vegas Raiders43-175%75% (4)75%2417.3
Indianapolis Colts30-30%0% (3)33.3%16.723
Jacksonville Jaguars32-166.7%66.7% (3)66.7%30.716.7
Tennessee Titans31-233.3%66.7% (3)33.3%20.722.7
Pittsburgh Steelers32-166.7%100% (3)66.7%2724.7
Baltimore Ravens31-233.3%33.3% (3)66.7%18.723.3
Cincinnati Bengals33-0100%100% (3)33.3%33.322
Seattle Seahawks32-166.7%100% (3)33.3%17.315.7
New York Jets32-166.7%66.7% (3)33.3%1917.7

Last 10 games

Chicago Bears most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-22PatriotsH30–24-3yesover
2026-10-18FalconsA31–23-1.5yesover
2026-10-11PackersA7–31-1.5nounder
2026-10-04JetsH23–12-3.5yesunder
2026-09-28EaglesH27–7+3.5yesunder
2026-09-20VikingsH3–9-4.5nounder
2026-09-13PanthersA59–37-3yesover
2026-01-18RamsH17–20+3.5yesunder
2026-01-10PackersH31–27+1.5yesover
2026-01-10VikingsH31–27+1.5yesover

Chicago Bears season by season

Chicago Bears by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202675-271.4%71.4% (7)42.9%25.720.4
20252013-765%70% (20)50%2624.5
2024175-1229.4%56.3% (16)41.2%18.221.8
2023177-1041.2%50% (16)52.9%21.222.3
2022173-1417.6%31.3% (16)58.8%19.227.2
2021176-1135.3%35.3% (17)41.2%18.323.9
2020178-947.1%47.1% (17)47.1%22.423
2019168-850%25% (16)37.5%17.518.6
20181712-570.6%70.6% (17)47.1%25.617.6
2017165-1131.3%50% (14)25%16.520
2016163-1318.8%43.8% (16)50%17.424.9

More NFL analysis

Other NFL clubs

Arizona Cardinals173gAtlanta Falcons177gBaltimore Ravens181gBuffalo Bills186gCarolina Panthers173gCincinnati Bengals177gCleveland Browns175gDallas Cowboys179gDenver Broncos175gDetroit Lions176gGreen Bay Packers185gHouston Texans184gIndianapolis Colts175gJacksonville Jaguars177gKansas City Chiefs194gLas Vegas Raiders174gLos Angeles Chargers176gLos Angeles Rams189gMiami Dolphins174gMinnesota Vikings178gNew England Patriots187gNew Orleans Saints179gNew York Giants175gNew York Jets171gPhiladelphia Eagles189gPittsburgh Steelers181gSan Francisco 49ers186gSeattle Seahawks181gTampa Bay Buccaneers182gTennessee Titans179gWashington Commanders175g
Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.