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San Francisco 49ers — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 186 games · NFC West. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

53.2%
Games won (99-87)
49.2%
Against the line (183)
52.2%
Games over the total
24.4
Points per game
22.6
Conceded per game

Are the 49ers a good bet against the line?

The 49ers have covered 49.2% of 183 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 53.2% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the 49ers perform at home and away?

San Francisco 49ers by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home9252-4056.5%44% (91)52.2%25.221.7
Away9447-4750%54.3% (92)52.1%23.623.4

What happens when the 49ers are favourites?

San Francisco 49ers by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (8.5+)2522-388%58.3% (24)52%29.617.3
Any favourite11173-3865.8%48.6% (109)54.1%26.620
Underdog7526-4934.7%50% (74)49.3%21.226.3
Heavy underdog (8.5+)150-150%40% (15)60%19.332.8

Which quarters do the 49ers win?

San Francisco 49ers by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter18048.3%54.4+0.6
2nd quarter18044.4%7.56.5+1
3rd quarter18043.3%5.35+0.3
4th quarter18043.3%6.66.60
1st half18051.7%12.610.9+1.7
2nd half18045.6%11.911.6+0.3

The 49ers under each referee

San Francisco 49ers by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Alex Kemp149-564.3%57.1% (14)35.7%24.920.2
Carl Cheffers136-746.2%53.8% (13)23.1%24.319.5
Bill Vinovich125-741.7%50% (12)33.3%19.419.9
Brad Allen127-558.3%63.6% (11)33.3%2417.2
Craig Wrolstad115-645.5%36.4% (11)72.7%24.424.7
Ron Torbert106-460%77.8% (9)60%25.421.1
Clete Blakeman105-550%20% (10)60%20.624.2
Shawn Smith108-280%60% (10)50%28.519
John Hussey96-366.7%55.6% (9)55.6%24.725.1
Clay Martin83-537.5%25% (8)37.5%20.818.6
Shawn Hochuli84-450%37.5% (8)37.5%21.818.8

San Francisco 49ers head-to-head record

San Francisco 49ers against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Los Angeles Rams2214-863.6%66.7% (21)54.5%25.221.3
Seattle Seahawks2210-1245.5%54.5% (22)59.1%2324.2
Arizona Cardinals2110-1147.6%40% (20)57.1%2522.9
Green Bay Packers84-450%50% (8)62.5%24.524.3
Dallas Cowboys74-357.1%57.1% (7)57.1%24.924
Tampa Bay Buccaneers74-357.1%28.6% (7)42.9%2321.3
Chicago Bears74-357.1%42.9% (7)42.9%21.920.9
Philadelphia Eagles73-442.9%42.9% (7)14.3%17.421.6
Atlanta Falcons62-433.3%33.3% (6)33.3%2025
Washington Commanders64-266.7%50% (6)33.3%22.516
Carolina Panthers53-260%60% (5)60%27.621.2
New Orleans Saints53-260%60% (5)60%24.627
Miami Dolphins52-340%50% (4)100%25.226.6
New York Giants54-180%80% (5)80%30.818.6
Minnesota Vikings52-340%40% (5)20%22.221
Kansas City Chiefs50-50%0% (5)40%2233.2
Jacksonville Jaguars43-175%75% (4)50%32.318
Detroit Lions43-175%0% (4)100%34.832.8
Buffalo Bills30-30%0% (3)66.7%16.738
New England Patriots32-166.7%66.7% (3)33.3%26.716.3
New York Jets32-166.7%66.7% (3)66.7%26.718.3
Indianapolis Colts31-233.3%33.3% (3)100%29.727.7
Houston Texans32-166.7%66.7% (3)0%21.316.3
Tennessee Titans32-166.7%33.3% (3)66.7%26.322.3
Denver Broncos32-166.7%66.7% (3)0%1813
Cincinnati Bengals32-166.7%66.7% (3)100%2823.7
Cleveland Browns32-166.7%66.7% (3)0%24.710

Last 10 games

San Francisco 49ers most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-25FalconsA20–29-2.5nounder
2026-10-19CommandersH23–17-7.5nounder
2026-10-11SeahawksA32–29+3yesover
2026-10-04BroncosH24–14-3yesunder
2026-09-27CardinalsH36–30-7.5noover
2026-09-20DolphinsH35–13-13yesover
2026-09-10RamsH27–7+3.5yesunder
2026-01-17SeahawksA6–41+7noover
2026-01-11EaglesA23–19+5.5yesunder
2026-01-03EaglesH3–13+2.5nounder

San Francisco 49ers season by season

San Francisco 49ers by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202676-185.7%57.1% (7)42.9%28.119.9
20251913-668.4%57.9% (19)57.9%24.522.7
2024176-1135.3%29.4% (17)58.8%22.925.6
20232014-670%47.4% (19)50%28.618.8
20222015-575%65% (20)50%25.917.2
20212012-860%60% (20)45%2420.6
2020166-1037.5%43.8% (16)50%23.524.4
20191915-478.9%61.1% (18)47.4%29.619.5
2018164-1225%31.3% (16)56.3%21.427.2
2017166-1037.5%56.3% (16)50%20.723.9
2016162-1412.5%26.7% (15)62.5%19.330

More NFL analysis

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.