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New Orleans Saints — NFL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 179 games · NFC South. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

54.2%
Games won (97-82)
52%
Against the line (177)
45.8%
Games over the total
24.7
Points per game
22.1
Conceded per game

Are the Saints a good bet against the line?

The Saints have covered 52% of 177 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 54.2% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Saints perform at home and away?

New Orleans Saints by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home9151-4056%42.9% (91)46.2%25.622.8
Away8846-4252.3%61.6% (86)45.5%23.821.3

What happens when the Saints are favourites?

New Orleans Saints by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (7+)2921-872.4%44.8% (29)41.4%27.419
Any favourite10068-3268%49.5% (99)50%27.421.1
Underdog7929-5036.7%55.1% (78)40.5%21.223.4
Heavy underdog (7+)133-1023.1%61.5% (13)46.2%15.925.8

Which quarters do the Saints win?

New Orleans Saints by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter17635.2%4.45-0.6
2nd quarter17645.5%7.76.8+0.9
3rd quarter17641.5%5.14+1.1
4th quarter17650%7.66.4+1.2
1st half17647.7%12.111.8+0.3
2nd half17656.8%12.710.4+2.3

The Saints under each referee

New Orleans Saints by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Jerome Boger129-375%83.3% (12)58.3%27.120.3
John Hussey129-375%75% (12)50%31.718.7
Carl Cheffers129-375%66.7% (12)16.7%26.416.4
Clete Blakeman105-550%44.4% (9)40%22.224.7
Ron Torbert105-550%30% (10)40%2021.8
Brad Rogers102-820%20% (10)30%18.723.9
Alex Kemp96-366.7%44.4% (9)55.6%24.119.8
Brad Allen84-450%50% (8)25%19.421.8
Scott Novak83-537.5%28.6% (7)37.5%22.121.9
Shawn Hochuli82-625%25% (8)12.5%16.120
Adrian Hill83-537.5%50% (8)62.5%24.326.1
Land Clark82-625%37.5% (8)62.5%20.827.1

New Orleans Saints head-to-head record

New Orleans Saints against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Atlanta Falcons2111-1052.4%57.1% (21)42.9%24.723.9
Carolina Panthers2115-671.4%55% (20)47.6%24.718.2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2111-1052.4%61.9% (21)47.6%23.722.1
Los Angeles Rams93-633.3%33.3% (9)44.4%24.326.7
Minnesota Vikings82-625%50% (8)62.5%25.326.9
New York Giants75-271.4%71.4% (7)28.6%23.617
Chicago Bears65-183.3%50% (6)33.3%23.518.7
Philadelphia Eagles63-350%33.3% (6)33.3%2518.3
Las Vegas Raiders51-420%20% (5)60%23.825.8
Seattle Seahawks54-180%60% (5)60%24.626.6
San Francisco 49ers52-340%40% (5)60%2724.6
Detroit Lions52-340%60% (5)80%31.631.8
Green Bay Packers52-340%40% (5)20%22.221.8
Arizona Cardinals42-250%50% (4)50%31.528
New England Patriots42-250%50% (4)25%25.318.5
Washington Commanders43-175%75% (4)75%32.323
Dallas Cowboys42-250%50% (4)25%20.817.3
Tennessee Titans43-175%75% (4)75%27.323
Los Angeles Chargers32-166.7%33.3% (3)66.7%24.329
Kansas City Chiefs30-30%0% (2)33.3%2128.3
Denver Broncos31-233.3%33.3% (3)33.3%21.320.3
Miami Dolphins31-233.3%66.7% (3)0%13.313.7
Buffalo Bills31-233.3%66.7% (3)66.7%2424
New York Jets33-0100%66.7% (3)33.3%3011.3
Cleveland Browns33-0100%66.7% (3)33.3%24.314
Baltimore Ravens32-166.7%66.7% (3)0%20.322.3
Pittsburgh Steelers31-233.3%0% (3)33.3%1721.3

Last 10 games

New Orleans Saints most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-25SteelersA10–16+3nounder
2026-10-18GiantsA34–27-1.5yesover
2026-10-11VikingsH13–23+2.5nounder
2026-10-05FalconsH24–45-1.5noover
2026-09-27RaidersH27–35-4noover
2026-09-20RavensA24–17+8.5yesunder
2026-09-13LionsA30–31+7yesover
2026-01-04FalconsA17–19+4yesunder
2025-12-28TitansA34–26-1.5yesover
2025-12-21JetsH29–6-4.5yesunder

New Orleans Saints season by season

New Orleans Saints by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202672-528.6%42.9% (7)57.1%23.127.7
2025176-1135.3%52.9% (17)29.4%1822.5
2024175-1229.4%41.2% (17)47.1%19.923.4
2023179-852.9%37.5% (16)35.3%23.619.2
2022177-1041.2%41.2% (17)35.3%19.420.3
2021179-852.9%52.9% (17)41.2%21.419.7
20201813-572.2%55.6% (18)55.6%29.120.9
20191713-476.5%64.7% (17)52.9%28.121.6
20181814-477.8%55.6% (18)38.9%30.421.8
20171812-666.7%55.6% (18)61.1%27.921.2
2016167-943.8%66.7% (15)56.3%29.328.4

More NFL analysis

Other NFL clubs

Arizona Cardinals173gAtlanta Falcons177gBaltimore Ravens181gBuffalo Bills186gCarolina Panthers173gChicago Bears177gCincinnati Bengals177gCleveland Browns175gDallas Cowboys179gDenver Broncos175gDetroit Lions176gGreen Bay Packers185gHouston Texans184gIndianapolis Colts175gJacksonville Jaguars177gKansas City Chiefs194gLas Vegas Raiders174gLos Angeles Chargers176gLos Angeles Rams189gMiami Dolphins174gMinnesota Vikings178gNew England Patriots187gNew York Giants175gNew York Jets171gPhiladelphia Eagles189gPittsburgh Steelers181gSan Francisco 49ers186gSeattle Seahawks181gTampa Bay Buccaneers182gTennessee Titans179gWashington Commanders175g
Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.