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Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Betting Trends & Stats
2016–2026 · 182 games · NFC South. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
51.1%
Games won (93-89)
46.6%
Against the line (176)
51.6%
Games over the total
24.8
Points per game
23.2
Conceded per game
Are the Buccaneers a good bet against the line?
The Buccaneers have covered 46.6% of 176 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 51.1% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Buccaneers perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 89 | 45-44 | 50.6% | 39.5% (86) | 49.4% | 24 | 21.9 |
| Away | 93 | 48-45 | 51.6% | 53.3% (90) | 53.8% | 25.7 | 24.4 |
What happens when the Buccaneers are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (7+) | 31 | 25-6 | 80.6% | 45.2% (31) | 48.4% | 28.7 | 18.4 |
| Any favourite | 97 | 62-35 | 63.9% | 41.1% (95) | 48.5% | 25.5 | 20.4 |
| Underdog | 85 | 31-54 | 36.5% | 53.1% (81) | 55.3% | 24.1 | 26.3 |
| Heavy underdog (7+) | 17 | 5-12 | 29.4% | 75% (16) | 23.5% | 21.5 | 27.1 |
Which quarters do the Buccaneers win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 179 | 40.8% | 4.8 | 4.9 | -0.1 |
| 2nd quarter | 179 | 49.2% | 7.6 | 7.4 | +0.2 |
| 3rd quarter | 179 | 40.2% | 5.3 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 4th quarter | 179 | 49.2% | 7.1 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 1st half | 179 | 45.3% | 12.4 | 12.3 | +0.1 |
| 2nd half | 179 | 49.2% | 12.4 | 10.9 | +1.5 |
The Buccaneers under each referee
| Referee | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hussey | 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 41.7% (12) | 41.7% | 19.5 | 25.2 |
| Jerome Boger | 11 | 4-7 | 36.4% | 36.4% (11) | 45.5% | 22.3 | 24.8 |
| Alex Kemp | 11 | 5-6 | 45.5% | 45.5% (11) | 63.6% | 27.6 | 24.9 |
| Shawn Hochuli | 11 | 7-4 | 63.6% | 55.6% (9) | 27.3% | 24.2 | 21.6 |
| Scott Novak | 11 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 60% (10) | 36.4% | 27.2 | 19.5 |
| Craig Wrolstad | 10 | 5-5 | 50% | 40% (10) | 40% | 22.9 | 24.6 |
| Brad Allen | 10 | 6-4 | 60% | 50% (10) | 40% | 22.3 | 20.3 |
| Bill Vinovich | 9 | 5-4 | 55.6% | 33.3% (9) | 55.6% | 23.6 | 23.3 |
| Carl Cheffers | 9 | 5-4 | 55.6% | 44.4% (9) | 55.6% | 26.6 | 20.7 |
| Ron Torbert | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 50% (8) | 25% | 20.1 | 21 |
| Clete Blakeman | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 57.1% (7) | 75% | 25.3 | 23 |
| Adrian Hill | 8 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 37.5% (8) | 62.5% | 26.6 | 20.6 |
| Land Clark | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 50% (8) | 62.5% | 25.9 | 24.6 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | 21 | 10-11 | 47.6% | 38.1% (21) | 47.6% | 22.1 | 23.7 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 20 | 9-11 | 45% | 45% (20) | 75% | 27.9 | 27.1 |
| Carolina Panthers | 20 | 14-6 | 70% | 60% (20) | 50% | 25.2 | 18.9 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 14.3% (7) | 62.5% | 25.1 | 28.6 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 71.4% (7) | 42.9% | 21.3 | 23 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 50% (6) | 28.6% | 21.7 | 22.6 |
| Detroit Lions | 7 | 3-4 | 42.9% | 42.9% (7) | 28.6% | 23.4 | 19.9 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 5-2 | 71.4% | 57.1% (7) | 42.9% | 26.7 | 19.9 |
| Chicago Bears | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 66.7% (6) | 50% | 26.5 | 17.5 |
| New York Giants | 6 | 4-2 | 66.7% | 40% (5) | 66.7% | 29.3 | 22.2 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 50% (6) | 50% | 24.8 | 18.8 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 5 | 3-2 | 60% | 0% (5) | 40% | 21.8 | 27.6 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 2-3 | 40% | 80% (5) | 40% | 25.8 | 24.8 |
| Washington Commanders | 5 | 2-3 | 40% | 20% (5) | 40% | 22 | 22.2 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 3-1 | 75% | 75% (4) | 50% | 26.8 | 24 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 2-2 | 50% | 50% (4) | 25% | 19.8 | 22 |
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 1-3 | 25% | 66.7% (3) | 75% | 27.5 | 31.3 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 33.3% (3) | 0% | 14 | 21 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 66.7% (3) | 66.7% | 32.3 | 21 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 3-0 | 100% | 66.7% (3) | 66.7% | 35.3 | 23 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 0% (3) | 33.3% | 18.7 | 21.3 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 3-0 | 100% | 33.3% (3) | 66.7% | 24 | 20.3 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 66.7% (3) | 66.7% | 30.7 | 19 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% (3) | 66.7% | 21.3 | 25.3 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 0% (3) | 33.3% | 20.7 | 23 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 33.3% (3) | 100% | 28 | 34.7 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 33.3% (3) | 66.7% | 21.7 | 29.3 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 2-1 | 66.7% | 50% (2) | 100% | 32 | 31 |
| Houston Texans | 3 | 1-2 | 33.3% | 100% (2) | 33.3% | 25.7 | 27 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Panthers | A | 43–13 | +3 | yes | over |
| 2026-10-18 | Steelers | H | 19–26 | +2 | no | over |
| 2026-10-08 | Cowboys | A | 24–16 | +9.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-10-04 | Packers | H | 14–17 | +2.5 | no | under |
| 2026-09-27 | Vikings | H | 16–23 | +1 | no | under |
| 2026-09-20 | Browns | H | 19–23 | -8.5 | no | over |
| 2026-09-13 | Bengals | A | 27–33 | +3.5 | no | over |
| 2026-01-03 | Rams | H | 16–14 | -3 | no | under |
| 2025-12-28 | Dolphins | A | 17–20 | -5.5 | no | under |
| 2025-12-21 | Panthers | A | 20–23 | -3 | no | under |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 2-5 | 28.6% | 28.6% (7) | 57.1% | 23.1 | 21.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 8-9 | 47.1% | 29.4% (17) | 47.1% | 22.4 | 24.2 |
| 2024 | 18 | 10-8 | 55.6% | 55.6% (18) | 66.7% | 29 | 22.7 |
| 2023 | 19 | 10-9 | 52.6% | 63.2% (19) | 36.8% | 21.2 | 19.2 |
| 2022 | 18 | 8-10 | 44.4% | 23.5% (17) | 33.3% | 18.2 | 21.6 |
| 2021 | 19 | 14-5 | 73.7% | 52.6% (19) | 52.6% | 29.9 | 20.9 |
| 2020 | 20 | 15-5 | 75% | 60% (20) | 55% | 30.8 | 21.7 |
| 2019 | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% | 35.7% (14) | 75% | 28.6 | 28.1 |
| 2018 | 16 | 5-11 | 31.3% | 50% (14) | 56.3% | 24.8 | 29 |
| 2017 | 16 | 5-11 | 31.3% | 40% (15) | 50% | 20.9 | 23.9 |
| 2016 | 16 | 9-7 | 56.3% | 56.3% (16) | 43.8% | 22.1 | 23.1 |
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