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South Sydney Rabbitohs — NRL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 276 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

52.9%
Games won (146-130)
50.2%
Against the line (271)
52.2%
Games over the total
23.4
Points per game
21.5
Conceded per game

Are the Rabbitohs a good bet against the line?

The Rabbitohs have covered 50.2% of 271 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 52.9% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Rabbitohs perform at home and away?

South Sydney Rabbitohs by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home13578-5757.8%51.9% (133)55.6%24.221.1
Away14168-7348.2%48.6% (138)48.9%22.721.9

What happens when the Rabbitohs are favourites?

South Sydney Rabbitohs by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (10.5+)4035-587.5%62.5% (40)57.5%32.815.5
Any favourite148100-4867.6%50% (146)54.1%26.718.9
Underdog12645-8135.7%50.4% (125)50%19.524.6
Heavy underdog (10.5+)222-209.1%40.9% (22)40.9%16.530.5

Which halfs do the Rabbitohs win?

South Sydney Rabbitohs by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st half26943.9%10.911.1-0.2
2nd half26954.6%12.510.3+2.1

The Rabbitohs under each referee

South Sydney Rabbitohs by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
G. Sutton4023-1757.5%56.4% (39)47.5%24.318.2
A. Klein3718-1948.6%54.3% (35)70.3%23.822.1
G. Atkins3012-1840%36.7% (30)53.3%21.222.8
B. Cummins2318-578.3%56.5% (23)60.9%2519.5
A. Gee2111-1052.4%50% (20)30%24.120.3
G. Badger199-1047.4%68.4% (19)52.6%20.717.8
H. Perenara126-650%50% (12)33.3%18.920.6
T. Smith125-741.7%50% (12)50%21.828
M. Cecchin117-463.6%54.5% (11)54.5%25.621.5
C. Sutton99-0100%55.6% (9)77.8%32.119.2
C. Butler98-188.9%55.6% (9)77.8%33.420.7
P. Gough93-633.3%66.7% (9)44.4%20.928.6
L. Kennedy93-633.3%33.3% (9)44.4%2426.9

South Sydney Rabbitohs head-to-head record

South Sydney Rabbitohs against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Sydney Roosters2511-1444%47.8% (23)45.8%21.820.3
Penrith Panthers226-1627.3%33.3% (21)50%1724.5
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs2114-766.7%57.1% (21)42.9%23.818.6
Brisbane Broncos219-1242.9%52.4% (21)57.1%22.721
Wests Tigers2013-765%40% (20)45%24.918.4
Melbourne Storm205-1525%60% (20)55%18.525.4
St George Illawarra Dragons1914-573.7%68.4% (19)36.8%24.817.9
Parramatta Eels1914-573.7%68.4% (19)63.2%27.819.1
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles1711-664.7%50% (16)47.1%24.119.6
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks167-943.8%43.8% (16)37.5%20.621.3
Newcastle Knights158-753.3%50% (14)57.1%25.722.2
North Queensland Cowboys157-846.7%33.3% (15)33.3%19.723.4
Canberra Raiders143-1121.4%21.4% (14)64.3%19.128.6
New Zealand Warriors1410-471.4%57.1% (14)85.7%32.422.2
Gold Coast Titans1211-191.7%75% (12)75%33.519.1
Redcliffe Dolphins63-350%33.3% (6)66.7%26.329.3

Last 10 games

South Sydney Rabbitohs most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-09-11KnightsH10–20———
2026-09-04RoostersH50–20———
2026-08-29TitansA42–22-11.5yesover
2026-08-22WarriorsH26–45+3.5noover
2026-08-14BulldogsA22–6+4.5yesunder
2026-08-08EelsH28–24-9.5noover
2026-08-02SharksA16–32+15.5nounder
2026-07-24StormH28–26+1.5yesover
2026-07-18RaidersA24–34+1.5noover
2026-07-12KnightsH26–24+2.5yesover

South Sydney Rabbitohs season by season

South Sydney Rabbitohs by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
20262514-1156%47.8% (23)56.5%28.224
2025249-1537.5%50% (24)25%17.825.3
2024247-1729.2%37.5% (24)50%20.628.4
20232412-1250%37.5% (24)41.7%23.521
20222716-1159.3%63% (27)66.7%25.319.7
20212722-581.5%63% (27)59.3%31.118.3
20202314-960.9%47.8% (23)60.9%2718.1
20192717-1063%42.3% (26)59.3%21.118.1
20182717-1063%61.5% (26)44.4%23.218.1
2017249-1537.5%54.2% (24)54.2%19.323.5
2016249-1537.5%43.5% (23)54.2%19.722.9

More NRL analysis

This roundTry scorersHalf marketsMulti-tryNRL overview NRL streaks Heavy favouritesReferees & totals

Other NRL clubs

Brisbane Broncos273gCanberra Raiders274gCanterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs264gCronulla-Sutherland Sharks279gGold Coast Titans262gManly Warringah Sea Eagles268gMelbourne Storm287gNew Zealand Warriors266gNewcastle Knights266gNorth Queensland Cowboys272gParramatta Eels272gPenrith Panthers286gRedcliffe Dolphins97gSt George Illawarra Dragons262gSydney Roosters280gWests Tigers260g
Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.