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Canberra Raiders — NRL Betting Trends & Stats
2016–2026 · 274 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
55.5%
Games won (152-121-1)
50.9%
Against the line (271)
48.7%
Games over the total
22.7
Points per game
21.4
Conceded per game
Are the Raiders a good bet against the line?
The Raiders have covered 50.9% of 271 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 55.5% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Raiders perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 136 | 80-56 | 58.8% | 45.9% (135) | 46.3% | 23.2 | 21 |
| Away | 138 | 72-65-1 | 52.2% | 55.9% (136) | 51.1% | 22.3 | 21.9 |
What happens when the Raiders are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (10+) | 33 | 28-5 | 84.8% | 42.4% (33) | 54.5% | 30.3 | 17.8 |
| Any favourite | 152 | 99-52-1 | 65.1% | 42.7% (150) | 49.3% | 25.6 | 19.5 |
| Underdog | 121 | 52-69 | 43% | 61.2% (121) | 47.9% | 18.9 | 23.9 |
| Heavy underdog (10+) | 24 | 11-13 | 45.8% | 66.7% (24) | 45.8% | 17 | 25.5 |
Which halfs do the Raiders win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half | 269 | 50.6% | 11.6 | 10.2 | +1.4 |
| 2nd half | 269 | 46.1% | 11 | 11 | -0.1 |
The Raiders under each referee
| Referee | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Klein | 40 | 21-18-1 | 52.5% | 62.5% (40) | 62.5% | 23.3 | 21.6 |
| G. Atkins | 33 | 16-17 | 48.5% | 42.4% (33) | 48.5% | 19.9 | 23.7 |
| G. Sutton | 28 | 11-17 | 39.3% | 39.3% (28) | 57.1% | 20.5 | 25.1 |
| A. Gee | 25 | 11-14 | 44% | 40% (25) | 40% | 18.9 | 23.1 |
| B. Cummins | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 64.7% (17) | 35.3% | 20.4 | 19.6 |
| H. Perenara | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 47.1% (17) | 52.9% | 23.9 | 19.1 |
| M. Cecchin | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 60% (15) | 31.3% | 23.4 | 17.1 |
| T. Smith | 16 | 6-10 | 37.5% | 43.8% (16) | 56.3% | 20.1 | 26.6 |
| P. Gough | 12 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 33.3% (12) | 33.3% | 22.4 | 22.3 |
| C. Sutton | 11 | 9-2 | 81.8% | 30% (10) | 36.4% | 24.2 | 17.1 |
| A. Shortall | 8 | 6-2 | 75% | 62.5% (8) | 37.5% | 25.4 | 17.6 |
Canberra Raiders head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 23 | 13-10 | 56.5% | 47.8% (23) | 60.9% | 21.2 | 23.5 |
| New Zealand Warriors | 21 | 12-9 | 57.1% | 57.1% (21) | 28.6% | 23.2 | 18.6 |
| Melbourne Storm | 21 | 8-13 | 38.1% | 61.9% (21) | 33.3% | 15.1 | 23.6 |
| Newcastle Knights | 20 | 8-11-1 | 40% | 20% (20) | 50% | 23 | 24.6 |
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 19 | 8-11 | 42.1% | 42.1% (19) | 52.6% | 22.3 | 23.9 |
| Penrith Panthers | 18 | 6-12 | 33.3% | 44.4% (18) | 55.6% | 19.4 | 26.4 |
| Wests Tigers | 18 | 15-3 | 83.3% | 58.8% (17) | 38.9% | 32.3 | 14.3 |
| Sydney Roosters | 17 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 52.9% (17) | 47.1% | 17.1 | 23.2 |
| Gold Coast Titans | 17 | 14-3 | 82.4% | 76.5% (17) | 52.9% | 27.3 | 19.1 |
| Parramatta Eels | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 58.8% (17) | 47.1% | 22.2 | 18.8 |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 43.8% (16) | 31.3% | 20.7 | 21.5 |
| Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 16 | 12-4 | 75% | 56.3% (16) | 50% | 24 | 18.3 |
| St George Illawarra Dragons | 16 | 11-5 | 68.8% | 25% (16) | 31.3% | 22.7 | 17.7 |
| Brisbane Broncos | 14 | 5-9 | 35.7% | 53.8% (13) | 85.7% | 23.4 | 23.4 |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 14 | 11-3 | 78.6% | 78.6% (14) | 64.3% | 28.6 | 19.1 |
| Redcliffe Dolphins | 6 | 3-3 | 50% | 33.3% (6) | 83.3% | 26.2 | 32.5 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Cowboys | A | 50–30 | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 | Broncos | H | 30–34 | -11.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-15 | Sharks | A | 24–20 | +11.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-09 | Knights | H | 24–30 | -3.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-01 | Panthers | A | 18–42 | +9.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-25 | Tigers | H | 56–10 | -15.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-18 | Rabbitohs | H | 34–24 | -1.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-11 | Bulldogs | A | 40–16 | +3.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-06-28 | Dragons | H | 24–16 | -10.5 | no | under |
| 2026-06-21 | Storm | A | 20–42 | +8.5 | no | over |
Canberra Raiders season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 11-13 | 45.8% | 39.1% (23) | 47.8% | 24.2 | 26.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | 19-7 | 73.1% | 65.4% (26) | 53.8% | 26.7 | 21.8 |
| 2024 | 24 | 12-12 | 50% | 58.3% (24) | 37.5% | 19.8 | 25 |
| 2023 | 25 | 13-12 | 52% | 36% (25) | 56% | 20.6 | 26.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | 15-11 | 57.7% | 46.2% (26) | 53.8% | 21.4 | 20 |
| 2021 | 24 | 10-14 | 41.7% | 37.5% (24) | 41.7% | 20 | 24.1 |
| 2020 | 23 | 16-7 | 69.6% | 50% (22) | 56.5% | 22.1 | 16.7 |
| 2019 | 27 | 17-10 | 63% | 61.5% (26) | 33.3% | 20.7 | 15.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | 10-14 | 41.7% | 50% (24) | 54.2% | 23.5 | 22.5 |
| 2017 | 24 | 11-13 | 45.8% | 50% (24) | 54.2% | 23.3 | 20.7 |
| 2016 | 27 | 18-8-1 | 66.7% | 63% (27) | 48.1% | 27.3 | 18.4 |
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