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North Queensland Cowboys — NRL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 272 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

47.4%
Games won (129-142-1)
51.5%
Against the line (270)
48.1%
Games over the total
21.7
Points per game
22.7
Conceded per game

Are the Cowboys a good bet against the line?

The Cowboys have covered 51.5% of 270 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 47.4% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Cowboys perform at home and away?

North Queensland Cowboys by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home13373-59-154.9%52.3% (132)47.7%23.621.7
Away13956-8340.3%50.7% (138)48.6%19.823.6

What happens when the Cowboys are favourites?

North Queensland Cowboys by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (10.5+)3025-583.3%70% (30)50%31.515.6
Any favourite12886-4267.2%53.9% (128)46.9%25.919
Underdog14243-98-130.3%49.3% (142)49.3%17.925.7
Heavy underdog (10.5+)3110-2132.3%58.1% (31)45.2%16.227.4

Which halfs do the Cowboys win?

North Queensland Cowboys by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st half26639.1%10.311.6-1.3
2nd half26648.1%11.310.8+0.5

The Cowboys under each referee

North Queensland Cowboys by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
G. Sutton2615-1157.7%53.8% (26)46.2%21.818.2
B. Cummins2510-1540%40% (25)40%18.822.5
M. Cecchin2511-1444%56% (25)68%20.223.3
G. Atkins2411-1345.8%41.7% (24)62.5%21.725.8
A. Klein228-1436.4%40.9% (22)59.1%19.625.3
A. Gee2211-1150%40.9% (22)59.1%21.125.8
P. Gough1812-666.7%61.1% (18)55.6%24.624.4
C. Sutton175-1229.4%29.4% (17)23.5%16.224.3
H. Perenara166-1037.5%43.8% (16)25%16.620.9
T. Smith147-6-150%71.4% (14)35.7%23.921.3
G. Badger136-746.2%46.2% (13)53.8%20.420.5
C. Butler119-281.8%81.8% (11)63.6%36.119.2
L. Kennedy93-633.3%77.8% (9)33.3%26.219.4

North Queensland Cowboys head-to-head record

North Queensland Cowboys against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks256-1924%29.2% (24)45.8%1727.8
Brisbane Broncos2310-1343.5%43.5% (23)69.6%21.825.2
Gold Coast Titans2116-576.2%66.7% (21)38.1%25.417.9
Wests Tigers1910-952.6%42.1% (19)63.2%27.126.5
Parramatta Eels187-1138.9%44.4% (18)44.4%22.120.7
Penrith Panthers189-8-150%66.7% (18)50%18.321.3
Melbourne Storm184-1422.2%55.6% (18)55.6%18.522.7
Canberra Raiders1710-758.8%56.3% (16)31.3%21.520.7
Sydney Roosters166-1037.5%50% (16)50%17.426.4
St George Illawarra Dragons1510-566.7%73.3% (15)53.3%27.918.1
South Sydney Rabbitohs158-753.3%66.7% (15)33.3%23.419.7
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles156-940%26.7% (15)46.7%18.427
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs1510-566.7%80% (15)33.3%21.813.7
New Zealand Warriors155-1033.3%46.7% (15)40%22.323.3
Newcastle Knights1410-471.4%50% (14)42.9%23.119.9
Redcliffe Dolphins82-625%25% (8)75%22.933.1

Last 10 games

North Queensland Cowboys most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-09-12SharksA16–26———
2026-09-05RaidersH30–50———
2026-08-29TigersH24–10-13.5yesunder
2026-08-15EelsA30–32-5.5noover
2026-08-06TitansA30–8-4.5yesunder
2026-07-30RoostersH12–82+5.5noover
2026-07-25BroncosH18–10+4.5yesunder
2026-07-19DolphinsA16–36+3.5noover
2026-07-12Sea EaglesA19–18+6.5yesunder
2026-06-27PanthersH26–12+12.5yesunder

North Queensland Cowboys season by season

North Queensland Cowboys by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
20262513-1252%56.5% (23)43.5%23.427.1
2025249-14-137.5%54.2% (24)58.3%22.428.5
20242616-1061.5%50% (26)57.7%2723.5
20232412-1250%45.8% (24)41.7%22.822.6
20222618-869.2%65.4% (26)46.2%26.316
2021247-1729.2%37.5% (24)58.3%19.231.2
2020205-1525%45% (20)65%18.426
2019249-1537.5%50% (24)37.5%15.820.8
2018248-1633.3%41.7% (24)41.7%18.721.7
20172816-1257.1%64.3% (28)39.3%19.318.7
20162716-1159.3%51.9% (27)44.4%23.715.7

More NRL analysis

This roundTry scorersHalf marketsMulti-tryNRL overview NRL streaks Heavy favouritesReferees & totals

Other NRL clubs

Brisbane Broncos273gCanberra Raiders274gCanterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs264gCronulla-Sutherland Sharks279gGold Coast Titans262gManly Warringah Sea Eagles268gMelbourne Storm287gNew Zealand Warriors266gNewcastle Knights266gParramatta Eels272gPenrith Panthers286gRedcliffe Dolphins97gSouth Sydney Rabbitohs276gSt George Illawarra Dragons262gSydney Roosters280gWests Tigers260g
Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.