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Newcastle Knights — NRL Betting Trends & Stats
2016–2026 · 266 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
38.3%
Games won (102-161-3)
47.9%
Against the line (265)
46.8%
Games over the total
18.9
Points per game
24.6
Conceded per game
Are the Knights a good bet against the line?
The Knights have covered 47.9% of 265 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 38.3% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Knights perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 131 | 59-71-1 | 45% | 48.9% (131) | 48.1% | 20 | 23 |
| Away | 135 | 43-90-2 | 31.9% | 47% (134) | 45.5% | 17.9 | 26.3 |
What happens when the Knights are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any favourite | 80 | 50-30 | 62.5% | 47.5% (80) | 47.5% | 23.4 | 19.2 |
| Underdog | 185 | 51-131-3 | 27.6% | 48.1% (185) | 46.5% | 17 | 27.1 |
| Heavy underdog (12.5+) | 50 | 5-44-1 | 10% | 42% (50) | 52% | 14.3 | 32.2 |
Which halfs do the Knights win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half | 260 | 40% | 9.6 | 11.6 | -2 |
| 2nd half | 260 | 38.8% | 9.1 | 13 | -3.9 |
The Knights under each referee
| Referee | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Atkins | 27 | 12-15 | 44.4% | 51.9% (27) | 44.4% | 20 | 22.9 |
| G. Sutton | 23 | 10-13 | 43.5% | 47.8% (23) | 30.4% | 18.4 | 21 |
| A. Klein | 22 | 8-13-1 | 36.4% | 54.5% (22) | 68.2% | 19.9 | 25.6 |
| P. Gough | 21 | 12-9 | 57.1% | 61.9% (21) | 38.1% | 21 | 20.2 |
| H. Perenara | 18 | 3-15 | 16.7% | 50% (18) | 33.3% | 16.3 | 26.7 |
| A. Gee | 18 | 6-12 | 33.3% | 55.6% (18) | 38.9% | 16.8 | 26.8 |
| B. Cummins | 17 | 7-9-1 | 41.2% | 58.8% (17) | 41.2% | 20.2 | 19.8 |
| G. Badger | 15 | 6-9 | 40% | 40% (15) | 60% | 19.3 | 28.3 |
| M. Cecchin | 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 16.7% (12) | 33.3% | 15 | 22.1 |
| C. Butler | 11 | 5-5-1 | 45.5% | 72.7% (11) | 54.5% | 20.5 | 21.1 |
| C. Sutton | 10 | 4-6 | 40% | 40% (10) | 50% | 16.7 | 26.1 |
| L. Kennedy | 10 | 5-5 | 50% | 50% (10) | 50% | 17.6 | 26.4 |
| G. Reynolds | 9 | 2-7 | 22.2% | 33.3% (9) | 55.6% | 15.7 | 30.1 |
| W. Raymond | 9 | 3-6 | 33.3% | 44.4% (9) | 66.7% | 19 | 32.8 |
| A. Shortall | 8 | 0-8 | 0% | 25% (8) | 62.5% | 12.8 | 33.5 |
| T. Smith | 8 | 2-6 | 25% | 25% (8) | 62.5% | 21 | 28.5 |
Newcastle Knights head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand Warriors | 21 | 8-13 | 38.1% | 52.4% (21) | 42.9% | 17.8 | 24 |
| Wests Tigers | 21 | 12-9 | 57.1% | 52.4% (21) | 52.4% | 20.2 | 20.4 |
| Gold Coast Titans | 20 | 10-10 | 50% | 40% (20) | 55% | 23.9 | 25.6 |
| Canberra Raiders | 20 | 11-8-1 | 55% | 80% (20) | 50% | 24.6 | 23 |
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 18 | 8-9-1 | 44.4% | 44.4% (18) | 61.1% | 18.3 | 25.6 |
| Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 18 | 5-13 | 27.8% | 38.9% (18) | 44.4% | 15.3 | 26.9 |
| Penrith Panthers | 18 | 2-15-1 | 11.1% | 44.4% (18) | 38.9% | 13.4 | 29.1 |
| Sydney Roosters | 17 | 2-15 | 11.8% | 29.4% (17) | 52.9% | 13.4 | 27.9 |
| Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 41.2% (17) | 23.5% | 19.6 | 19.2 |
| Melbourne Storm | 16 | 2-14 | 12.5% | 43.8% (16) | 56.3% | 14.3 | 31.5 |
| St George Illawarra Dragons | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% | 50% (16) | 43.8% | 23.8 | 19.8 |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 15 | 7-8 | 46.7% | 50% (14) | 57.1% | 22.2 | 25.7 |
| Parramatta Eels | 15 | 6-9 | 40% | 40% (15) | 40% | 17.1 | 25.7 |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 14 | 4-10 | 28.6% | 50% (14) | 42.9% | 19.9 | 23.1 |
| Brisbane Broncos | 13 | 5-8 | 38.5% | 46.2% (13) | 46.2% | 18.3 | 26.2 |
| Redcliffe Dolphins | 7 | 6-1 | 85.7% | 71.4% (7) | 28.6% | 21 | 18.3 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Rabbitohs | A | 20–10 | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Warriors | A | 32–46 | +7.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-22 | Sea Eagles | H | 24–44 | -7.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-16 | Titans | H | 36–26 | -11.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-09 | Raiders | A | 30–24 | +3.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-01 | Broncos | A | 30–6 | +5.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-24 | Roosters | H | 22–23 | +8.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-17 | Sharks | A | 18–20 | +8.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-12 | Rabbitohs | A | 24–26 | -2.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-05 | Dolphins | H | 13–12 | +1.5 | yes | under |
Newcastle Knights season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 15-10 | 60% | 54.2% (24) | 62.5% | 26.1 | 24 |
| 2025 | 24 | 6-18 | 25% | 37.5% (24) | 33.3% | 14.1 | 26.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | 12-13 | 48% | 68% (25) | 36% | 19.4 | 21.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | 15-10-1 | 57.7% | 65.4% (26) | 46.2% | 25.6 | 20 |
| 2022 | 24 | 6-18 | 25% | 37.5% (24) | 58.3% | 15.5 | 27.6 |
| 2021 | 25 | 12-13 | 48% | 40% (25) | 40% | 17.9 | 24 |
| 2020 | 21 | 11-9-1 | 52.4% | 57.1% (21) | 52.4% | 21 | 20 |
| 2019 | 24 | 10-14 | 41.7% | 41.7% (24) | 50% | 20.2 | 21.8 |
| 2018 | 24 | 9-15 | 37.5% | 45.8% (24) | 50% | 17.3 | 25.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | 5-19 | 20.8% | 50% (24) | 41.7% | 17.8 | 27 |
| 2016 | 24 | 1-22-1 | 4.2% | 29.2% (24) | 45.8% | 12.7 | 33.3 |
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