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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles — NRL Betting Trends & Stats

2016–2026 · 268 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

46.6%
Games won (125-141-2)
48.9%
Against the line (266)
52.1%
Games over the total
22.9
Points per game
22.7
Conceded per game

Are the Sea Eagles a good bet against the line?

The Sea Eagles have covered 48.9% of 266 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 46.6% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Sea Eagles perform at home and away?

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home13372-60-154.1%50% (132)53.4%24.721.4
Away13553-81-139.3%47.8% (134)50.7%21.223.9

What happens when the Sea Eagles are favourites?

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (10+)2720-6-174.1%29.6% (27)51.9%30.618.4
Any favourite12979-49-161.2%45.7% (129)55.8%27.320.4
Underdog13846-91-133.3%51.8% (137)48.6%18.824.7
Heavy underdog (10+)283-2510.7%42.9% (28)42.9%13.829.8

Which halfs do the Sea Eagles win?

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st half26246.9%11.111.4-0.2
2nd half26245%11.711.1+0.6

The Sea Eagles under each referee

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
RefereeGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
G. Sutton3517-1848.6%48.5% (33)55.9%25.122.5
G. Atkins3317-1651.5%57.6% (33)54.5%24.623.6
A. Gee2812-1642.9%35.7% (28)35.7%22.422.7
A. Klein2711-1640.7%48.1% (27)63%22.525.5
B. Cummins217-1433.3%28.6% (21)42.9%17.123.5
H. Perenara169-756.3%62.5% (16)43.8%23.419.3
M. Cecchin157-846.7%60% (15)53.3%2320.4
P. Gough157-846.7%60% (15)53.3%24.922
G. Badger148-657.1%57.1% (14)64.3%22.521.1
T. Smith137-653.8%46.2% (13)53.8%20.422.9
C. Sutton83-537.5%37.5% (8)62.5%20.328.6
C. Butler84-2-250%37.5% (8)25%19.417.8

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles head-to-head record

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Parramatta Eels219-1242.9%42.9% (21)52.4%23.121.7
Melbourne Storm207-1335%45% (20)40%16.525.4
Canberra Raiders1911-857.9%57.9% (19)52.6%23.922.3
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs1812-666.7%66.7% (18)33.3%25.316.7
Wests Tigers1810-855.6%38.9% (18)55.6%28.721.1
Sydney Roosters187-1138.9%44.4% (18)50%18.724.6
New Zealand Warriors1810-7-155.6%47.1% (17)82.4%25.523.4
Newcastle Knights189-8-150%55.6% (18)61.1%25.618.3
Penrith Panthers184-1422.2%44.4% (18)44.4%16.125.6
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks177-1041.2%41.2% (17)58.8%2227.3
South Sydney Rabbitohs176-1135.3%50% (16)47.1%19.624.1
Gold Coast Titans178-947.1%35.3% (17)52.9%2625.3
St George Illawarra Dragons178-947.1%47.1% (17)58.8%21.822.6
North Queensland Cowboys159-660%73.3% (15)46.7%2718.4
Brisbane Broncos125-741.7%41.7% (12)33.3%19.822.4
Redcliffe Dolphins53-260%60% (5)80%38.423.6

Last 10 games

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-09-05WarriorsA30–31———
2026-08-28DragonsH44–10-9.5yesover
2026-08-22KnightsA44–24+7.5yesover
2026-08-14DolphinsH0–22+10.5nounder
2026-08-08StormA20–42-2.5noover
2026-07-26SharksH12–48+3.5noover
2026-07-19TitansA32–38-4.5noover
2026-07-12CowboysH18–19-6.5nounder
2026-07-05EelsA14–23-9.5nounder
2026-06-27StormH30–4-5.5yesunder

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles season by season

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
20262411-1345.8%47.8% (23)47.8%2621.8
20252412-1250%41.7% (24)41.7%23.122.3
20242614-11-153.8%57.7% (26)61.5%25.922.4
20232411-12-145.8%50% (24)45.8%22.722.5
2022249-1537.5%45.8% (24)58.3%20.424.8
20212717-1063%51.9% (27)63%30.121.3
2020207-1335%35% (20)55%18.825.5
20192615-1157.7%65.4% (26)53.8%21.219.1
2018247-1729.2%50% (24)50%20.825.9
20172514-1156%44% (25)48%22.521.4
2016248-1633.3%43.5% (23)45.8%18.923.5

More NRL analysis

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.