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Parramatta Eels — NRL Betting Trends & Stats
2016–2026 · 272 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
50.4%
Games won (137-135)
48%
Against the line (269)
47.6%
Games over the total
21.4
Points per game
21.9
Conceded per game
Are the Eels a good bet against the line?
The Eels have covered 48% of 269 games with a posted line since 2016, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 50.4% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Eels perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 135 | 80-55 | 59.3% | 51.1% (133) | 40.7% | 22.1 | 19.8 |
| Away | 137 | 57-80 | 41.6% | 44.9% (136) | 54.4% | 20.8 | 23.9 |
What happens when the Eels are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (10.5+) | 30 | 24-6 | 80% | 40% (30) | 33.3% | 27.7 | 15.7 |
| Any favourite | 127 | 87-40 | 68.5% | 49.6% (125) | 44.9% | 24.3 | 17.1 |
| Underdog | 144 | 50-94 | 34.7% | 46.5% (144) | 50% | 18.9 | 26.1 |
| Heavy underdog (10.5+) | 36 | 8-28 | 22.2% | 47.2% (36) | 50% | 18.7 | 31.6 |
Which halfs do the Eels win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half | 266 | 45.5% | 10.6 | 10.5 | +0.1 |
| 2nd half | 266 | 45.9% | 10.8 | 11.3 | -0.6 |
The Eels under each referee
| Referee | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Klein | 41 | 21-20 | 51.2% | 58.5% (41) | 53.7% | 22.2 | 21.2 |
| G. Sutton | 31 | 12-19 | 38.7% | 43.3% (30) | 51.6% | 19.6 | 23.9 |
| G. Atkins | 26 | 12-14 | 46.2% | 38.5% (26) | 42.3% | 19 | 21.5 |
| B. Cummins | 22 | 13-9 | 59.1% | 47.6% (21) | 54.5% | 22.3 | 17.2 |
| P. Gough | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 41.2% (17) | 52.9% | 25 | 24.6 |
| A. Gee | 16 | 6-10 | 37.5% | 31.3% (16) | 43.8% | 19.1 | 24.6 |
| T. Smith | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 62.5% (16) | 56.3% | 22 | 24.8 |
| M. Cecchin | 14 | 8-6 | 57.1% | 57.1% (14) | 42.9% | 17.4 | 19.7 |
| H. Perenara | 12 | 6-6 | 50% | 25% (12) | 25% | 16.8 | 19.6 |
| L. Kennedy | 12 | 7-5 | 58.3% | 45.5% (11) | 45.5% | 25.3 | 22.3 |
| G. Badger | 11 | 10-1 | 90.9% | 81.8% (11) | 36.4% | 23.1 | 12.4 |
| C. Butler | 9 | 4-5 | 44.4% | 22.2% (9) | 44.4% | 25.2 | 23.4 |
| W. Raymond | 9 | 4-5 | 44.4% | 44.4% (9) | 66.7% | 27.8 | 31.3 |
| G. Reynolds | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 37.5% (8) | 50% | 16.8 | 27.3 |
Parramatta Eels head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrith Panthers | 24 | 7-17 | 29.2% | 47.8% (23) | 29.2% | 15.9 | 21.3 |
| Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 22 | 15-7 | 68.2% | 59.1% (22) | 18.2% | 20.9 | 13.4 |
| Wests Tigers | 21 | 15-6 | 71.4% | 45% (20) | 61.9% | 26 | 19.3 |
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 21 | 12-9 | 57.1% | 57.1% (21) | 52.4% | 21.7 | 23.1 |
| Brisbane Broncos | 20 | 11-9 | 55% | 60% (20) | 60% | 27.3 | 21.1 |
| Melbourne Storm | 20 | 6-14 | 30% | 40% (20) | 35% | 14.1 | 27.7 |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 19 | 5-14 | 26.3% | 31.6% (19) | 63.2% | 19.1 | 27.8 |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 18 | 11-7 | 61.1% | 55.6% (18) | 44.4% | 20.7 | 22.1 |
| Canberra Raiders | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 41.2% (17) | 47.1% | 18.8 | 22.2 |
| St George Illawarra Dragons | 16 | 11-5 | 68.8% | 73.3% (15) | 53.3% | 26.7 | 19 |
| Newcastle Knights | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 60% (15) | 40% | 25.7 | 17.1 |
| Gold Coast Titans | 15 | 10-5 | 66.7% | 46.7% (15) | 53.3% | 25.7 | 20.8 |
| Sydney Roosters | 15 | 4-11 | 26.7% | 26.7% (15) | 60% | 17.1 | 28.3 |
| Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 13 | 5-8 | 38.5% | 30.8% (13) | 46.2% | 21.1 | 21.2 |
| New Zealand Warriors | 12 | 8-4 | 66.7% | 41.7% (12) | 66.7% | 23.8 | 24 |
| Redcliffe Dolphins | 4 | 1-3 | 25% | 25% (4) | 50% | 24 | 29.5 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Dragons | A | 22–24 | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Sharks | H | 38–18 | +8.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-21 | Dolphins | A | 16–34 | +15.5 | no | under |
| 2026-08-15 | Cowboys | H | 32–30 | +5.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-08 | Rabbitohs | A | 24–28 | +9.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-02 | Tigers | A | 16–13 | -6.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-23 | Panthers | H | 18–24 | +15.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-11 | Roosters | A | 12–28 | +10.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-05 | Sea Eagles | H | 23–14 | +9.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-06-25 | Rabbitohs | H | 12–32 | +5.5 | no | under |
Parramatta Eels season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 9-15 | 37.5% | 52.2% (23) | 39.1% | 20.7 | 28.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | 10-14 | 41.7% | 45.8% (24) | 33.3% | 20.9 | 24.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | 7-17 | 29.2% | 37.5% (24) | 62.5% | 23.4 | 29.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | 12-12 | 50% | 37.5% (24) | 58.3% | 24.5 | 23.9 |
| 2022 | 28 | 18-10 | 64.3% | 46.4% (28) | 71.4% | 24.7 | 20.3 |
| 2021 | 26 | 16-10 | 61.5% | 69.2% (26) | 42.3% | 23.1 | 18.7 |
| 2020 | 22 | 15-7 | 68.2% | 38.1% (21) | 40.9% | 20 | 16.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | 15-11 | 57.7% | 57.7% (26) | 57.7% | 22.7 | 19.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | 6-18 | 25% | 33.3% (24) | 45.8% | 15.6 | 22.9 |
| 2017 | 26 | 16-10 | 61.5% | 48% (25) | 30.8% | 20.3 | 19.2 |
| 2016 | 24 | 13-11 | 54.2% | 58.3% (24) | 37.5% | 19.3 | 18.5 |
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