What is the Redcliffe Dolphins record against the spread?

Redcliffe Dolphins have covered 56.8% of 95 games with a posted line since 2023. Pushes are excluded rather than counted as losses. The break-even rate at standard pricing is 52.4%.

Do Redcliffe Dolphins games go over the total?

48.4% of 95 Redcliffe Dolphins games with a posted total have gone over, averaging 25.8 points scored and 24 conceded.

How do Redcliffe Dolphins perform as favourites?

Any favourite: 71.8% won and 56.4% covered from 39 games. Underdog: 35.7% won and 57.1% covered from 56 games. Heavy underdog (10.5+): 33.3% won and 80% covered from 15 games.

By Johnathan Cruzen-Myer · Updated 8 October 2026 · How this is measured

Home › NRL teams › Redcliffe Dolphins

Redcliffe Dolphins — NRL Betting Trends & Stats

2023–2026 · 97 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

51.5%

Games won (50-47)

56.8%

Against the line (95)

48.4%

Games over the total

25.8

Points per game

Conceded per game

Are the Dolphins a good bet against the line?

The Dolphins have covered 56.8% of 95 games with a posted line since 2023, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is above break-even over this sample, which is worth knowing and is not the same as a system: a line moves with reputation, and a record this long covers several very different squads. Their straight win rate of 51.5% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Dolphins perform at home and away?

Redcliffe Dolphins by venue.
Venue	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
At home	48	26-22	54.2%	56.3% (48)	56.3%	27.5	24.9
Away	49	24-25	49%	57.4% (47)	40.4%	24.2	23.1

What happens when the Dolphins are favourites?

Redcliffe Dolphins by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market role	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
Any favourite	39	28-11	71.8%	56.4% (39)	48.7%	30.6	21.1
Underdog	56	20-36	35.7%	57.1% (56)	48.2%	22.6	26.2
Heavy underdog (10.5+)	15	5-10	33.3%	80% (15)	66.7%	24.3	25.5

Which halfs do the Dolphins win?

Redcliffe Dolphins by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
Period	Games	Won	Scored	Conceded	Margin
1st half	90	46.7%	12	12.4	-0.4
2nd half	90	51.1%	13.6	12.1	+1.5

The Dolphins under each referee

Redcliffe Dolphins by referee, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
Referee	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
A. Gee	15	6-9	40%	60% (15)	26.7%	23.5	19.9
T. Smith	13	9-4	69.2%	76.9% (13)	69.2%	31.4	22.5
G. Sutton	13	5-8	38.5%	53.8% (13)	53.8%	24	32
G. Atkins	13	7-6	53.8%	61.5% (13)	53.8%	27.6	23.5
P. Gough	9	2-7	22.2%	44.4% (9)	66.7%	24.3	29.1
A. Klein	8	3-5	37.5%	37.5% (8)	50%	21	28.3

Redcliffe Dolphins head-to-head record

Redcliffe Dolphins against every opponent met at least three times.
Opponent	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
New Zealand Warriors	9	5-4	55.6%	37.5% (8)	12.5%	22	21.1
Brisbane Broncos	8	2-6	25%	50% (8)	25%	21.8	24
North Queensland Cowboys	8	6-2	75%	75% (8)	75%	33.1	22.9
Gold Coast Titans	8	7-1	87.5%	57.1% (7)	28.6%	26.1	19.5
Sydney Roosters	7	3-4	42.9%	57.1% (7)	71.4%	26.9	30
Newcastle Knights	7	1-6	14.3%	28.6% (7)	28.6%	18.3	21
Canberra Raiders	6	3-3	50%	66.7% (6)	83.3%	32.5	26.2
St George Illawarra Dragons	6	4-2	66.7%	50% (6)	33.3%	27.7	17.3
South Sydney Rabbitohs	6	3-3	50%	66.7% (6)	66.7%	29.3	26.3
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	5	3-2	60%	60% (5)	60%	23.2	28.8
Melbourne Storm	5	2-3	40%	40% (5)	60%	23.2	26.8
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	5	2-3	40%	40% (5)	80%	23.6	38.4
Wests Tigers	5	3-2	60%	80% (5)	40%	25.4	20.8
Parramatta Eels	4	3-1	75%	75% (4)	50%	29.5	24
Penrith Panthers	4	1-3	25%	100% (4)	25%	23	21.8
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	4	2-2	50%	50% (4)	50%	30	18.3

Last 10 games

Redcliffe Dolphins most recent results.
Date	Opponent		Score	Line	Covered	Total
2026-09-12	Warriors	A	26–16	—	—	—
2026-09-04	Titans	A	24–20	—	—	—
2026-08-29	Roosters	A	26–12	+4.5	yes	under
2026-08-21	Eels	H	34–16	-15.5	yes	under
2026-08-14	Sea Eagles	A	22–0	-10.5	yes	under
2026-08-08	Broncos	H	40–32	-8.5	no	over
2026-07-31	Dragons	A	28–22	-15.5	no	under
2026-07-19	Cowboys	H	36–16	-3.5	yes	over
2026-07-11	Sharks	H	0–66	-1.5	no	over
2026-07-05	Knights	A	12–13	-1.5	no	under

Redcliffe Dolphins season by season

Redcliffe Dolphins by season.
Season	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
2026	25	18-7	72%	60.9% (23)	39.1%	27.5	20.9
2025	24	12-12	50%	58.3% (24)	58.3%	30	24.8
2024	24	11-13	45.8%	50% (24)	50%	24	24.1
2023	24	9-15	37.5%	58.3% (24)	45.8%	21.7	26.3

More NRL analysis

This round Try scorers Half markets Multi-try NRL overview NRL streaks Heavy favourites Referees & totals

Other NRL clubs

Brisbane Broncos273g Canberra Raiders274g Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs264g Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks279g Gold Coast Titans262g Manly Warringah Sea Eagles268g Melbourne Storm287g New Zealand Warriors266g Newcastle Knights266g North Queensland Cowboys272g Parramatta Eels272g Penrith Panthers286g South Sydney Rabbitohs276g St George Illawarra Dragons262g Sydney Roosters280g Wests Tigers260g