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Western Bulldogs — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 278 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
56.8%
Games won (158-119-1)
51.4%
Against the line (278)
48.6%
Games over the total
86.8
Points per game
79.4
Conceded per game
Are the Western Bulldogs a good bet against the line?
The Western Bulldogs have covered 51.4% of 278 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 56.8% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Western Bulldogs perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 135 | 82-52-1 | 60.7% | 54.8% (135) | 48.9% | 90.9 | 77.9 |
| Away | 143 | 76-67 | 53.1% | 48.3% (143) | 48.3% | 82.9 | 80.9 |
What happens when the Western Bulldogs are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (25.5+) | 44 | 36-8 | 81.8% | 47.7% (44) | 43.2% | 104.5 | 65.3 |
| Any favourite | 160 | 110-50 | 68.8% | 46.9% (160) | 49.4% | 92.7 | 73.8 |
| Underdog | 118 | 48-69-1 | 40.7% | 57.6% (118) | 47.5% | 78.8 | 87.1 |
| Heavy underdog (25.5+) | 14 | 2-12 | 14.3% | 42.9% (14) | 57.1% | 70.4 | 103.3 |
Which quarters do the Western Bulldogs win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 278 | 55% | 22.1 | 19.5 | +2.6 |
| 2nd quarter | 278 | 52.9% | 21.3 | 19.3 | +1.9 |
| 3rd quarter | 278 | 50.4% | 21.6 | 20.5 | +1.1 |
| 4th quarter | 278 | 53.2% | 21.8 | 20.2 | +1.6 |
The Western Bulldogs under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Western Bulldogs games to break this down.
Western Bulldogs head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremantle Dockers | 19 | 7-12 | 36.8% | 52.6% (19) | 57.9% | 85 | 81.9 |
| Melbourne Demons | 19 | 10-9 | 52.6% | 47.4% (19) | 73.7% | 84.1 | 91.5 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 19 | 13-6 | 68.4% | 63.2% (19) | 36.8% | 89 | 75.3 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 18 | 14-4 | 77.8% | 44.4% (18) | 61.1% | 100 | 74.7 |
| West Coast Eagles | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 47.1% (17) | 41.2% | 88.5 | 79.6 |
| Hawthorn Hawks | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 47.1% (17) | 41.2% | 79.1 | 85.2 |
| Sydney Swans | 17 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 58.8% (17) | 23.5% | 76.4 | 81.4 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 41.2% (17) | 47.1% | 78.3 | 78.2 |
| Brisbane Lions | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 47.1% (17) | 64.7% | 94.4 | 90 |
| Geelong Cats | 17 | 4-13 | 23.5% | 41.2% (17) | 64.7% | 78.7 | 92.8 |
| St Kilda Saints | 16 | 10-6 | 62.5% | 56.3% (16) | 37.5% | 89.5 | 67 |
| Adelaide Crows | 15 | 7-8 | 46.7% | 53.3% (15) | 60% | 86.7 | 84.7 |
| Carlton Blues | 15 | 10-4-1 | 66.7% | 40% (15) | 33.3% | 79.4 | 76.3 |
| Collingwood Magpies | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 53.3% (15) | 46.7% | 80.5 | 79.3 |
| Essendon Bombers | 14 | 12-2 | 85.7% | 71.4% (14) | 35.7% | 105.6 | 61.2 |
| Richmond Tigers | 13 | 9-4 | 69.2% | 61.5% (13) | 46.2% | 92.1 | 71.8 |
| Gold Coast Suns | 13 | 10-3 | 76.9% | 53.8% (13) | 46.2% | 91.6 | 71.2 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Crows | A | 68–90 | -1.5 | no | under |
| 2026-08-28 | Magpies | H | 96–93 | -8.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-22 | Demons | A | 108–87 | +14.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-16 | Blues | H | 82–82 | +23.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-06 | Kangaroos | H | 77–100 | -15.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-31 | Dockers | A | 41–78 | +44.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-25 | Tigers | H | 105–48 | -39.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-19 | Suns | A | 77–68 | +6.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-12 | Eagles | H | 86–70 | -37.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-03 | Swans | A | 55–90 | +14.5 | no | under |
Western Bulldogs season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 14-10-1 | 56% | 48% (25) | 32% | 82.6 | 87 |
| 2025 | 23 | 14-9 | 60.9% | 47.8% (23) | 65.2% | 108.4 | 79.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | 14-10 | 58.3% | 54.2% (24) | 66.7% | 93 | 76.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | 12-11 | 52.2% | 47.8% (23) | 52.2% | 83.4 | 76.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | 12-11 | 52.2% | 47.8% (23) | 52.2% | 88.4 | 82 |
| 2021 | 26 | 18-8 | 69.2% | 57.7% (26) | 57.7% | 90 | 69.2 |
| 2020 | 18 | 10-8 | 55.6% | 55.6% (18) | 50% | 64.8 | 61.2 |
| 2019 | 23 | 12-11 | 52.2% | 60.9% (23) | 56.5% | 86.8 | 83.6 |
| 2018 | 22 | 8-14 | 36.4% | 36.4% (22) | 45.5% | 71.6 | 92.6 |
| 2017 | 22 | 11-11 | 50% | 31.8% (22) | 36.4% | 84.4 | 87 |
| 2016 | 26 | 19-7 | 73.1% | 61.5% (26) | 23.1% | 86.2 | 72.9 |
| 2015 | 23 | 14-9 | 60.9% | 65.2% (23) | 47.8% | 95.8 | 84.1 |
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