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St Kilda Saints — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 266 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
44%
Games won (117-147-2)
48.5%
Against the line (266)
44%
Games over the total
78.6
Points per game
84.5
Conceded per game
Are the Saints a good bet against the line?
The Saints have covered 48.5% of 266 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 44% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Saints perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 132 | 62-68-2 | 47% | 43.9% (132) | 49.2% | 81.8 | 84.7 |
| Away | 134 | 55-79 | 41% | 53% (134) | 38.8% | 75.5 | 84.3 |
What happens when the Saints are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (26.5+) | 17 | 16-1 | 94.1% | 41.2% (17) | 29.4% | 103.1 | 67.9 |
| Any favourite | 97 | 68-29 | 70.1% | 45.4% (97) | 36.1% | 86 | 71.8 |
| Underdog | 169 | 49-118-2 | 29% | 50.3% (169) | 48.5% | 74.4 | 91.8 |
| Heavy underdog (26.5+) | 42 | 5-36-1 | 11.9% | 54.8% (42) | 52.4% | 71.5 | 102.6 |
Which quarters do the Saints win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 266 | 44.4% | 19.3 | 21.2 | -1.9 |
| 2nd quarter | 266 | 44% | 19.1 | 21 | -1.9 |
| 3rd quarter | 266 | 40.2% | 20 | 21.8 | -1.8 |
| 4th quarter | 266 | 49.6% | 20.2 | 20.6 | -0.4 |
The Saints under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Saints games to break this down.
St Kilda Saints head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Tigers | 20 | 12-8 | 60% | 50% (20) | 55% | 82.2 | 75.8 |
| Melbourne Demons | 18 | 9-9 | 50% | 44.4% (18) | 44.4% | 86.2 | 87 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 17 | 7-9-1 | 41.2% | 70.6% (17) | 47.1% | 80 | 85.9 |
| Carlton Blues | 16 | 10-6 | 62.5% | 43.8% (16) | 37.5% | 83.8 | 75.3 |
| Western Bulldogs | 16 | 6-10 | 37.5% | 43.8% (16) | 37.5% | 67 | 89.5 |
| West Coast Eagles | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% | 56.3% (16) | 50% | 82.9 | 89.2 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 16 | 9-7 | 56.3% | 43.8% (16) | 25% | 81.1 | 76.6 |
| Geelong Cats | 16 | 5-10-1 | 31.3% | 62.5% (16) | 62.5% | 76 | 91.4 |
| Sydney Swans | 16 | 4-12 | 25% | 50% (16) | 56.3% | 74 | 97.6 |
| Gold Coast Suns | 15 | 10-5 | 66.7% | 26.7% (15) | 26.7% | 77.6 | 76 |
| Essendon Bombers | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 53.3% (15) | 46.7% | 89.4 | 80.5 |
| Brisbane Lions | 15 | 5-10 | 33.3% | 46.7% (15) | 46.7% | 81.5 | 91.4 |
| Hawthorn Hawks | 15 | 7-8 | 46.7% | 53.3% (15) | 53.3% | 87.1 | 81.7 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 15 | 4-11 | 26.7% | 53.3% (15) | 20% | 67.3 | 81.7 |
| Fremantle Dockers | 15 | 7-8 | 46.7% | 46.7% (15) | 33.3% | 74.7 | 73.9 |
| Adelaide Crows | 13 | 2-11 | 15.4% | 30.8% (13) | 46.2% | 67.3 | 98.2 |
| Collingwood Magpies | 12 | 4-8 | 33.3% | 41.7% (12) | 58.3% | 73.9 | 89.7 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Suns | H | 80–103 | -16.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-15 | Tigers | A | 94–45 | -19.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-09 | Blues | H | 62–106 | +1.5 | no | under |
| 2026-08-01 | Swans | H | 88–107 | +11.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-26 | Kangaroos | A | 93–62 | -14.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-16 | Cats | A | 75–102 | +15.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-11 | Power | H | 87–73 | -8.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-05 | Bombers | A | 117–50 | -25.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-06-21 | Western Bulldogs | H | 61–83 | -2.5 | no | under |
| 2026-06-14 | Giants | H | 96–88 | +1.5 | yes | under |
St Kilda Saints season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 10-13 | 43.5% | 47.8% (23) | 43.5% | 88.3 | 85.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | 9-14 | 39.1% | 43.5% (23) | 60.9% | 80 | 90.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | 11-12 | 47.8% | 52.2% (23) | 30.4% | 76 | 76.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | 13-11 | 54.2% | 50% (24) | 37.5% | 77.2 | 72.8 |
| 2022 | 22 | 11-11 | 50% | 54.5% (22) | 36.4% | 77.4 | 78 |
| 2021 | 22 | 10-12 | 45.5% | 54.5% (22) | 54.5% | 74.7 | 81.6 |
| 2020 | 19 | 11-8 | 57.9% | 57.9% (19) | 42.1% | 67.1 | 60.1 |
| 2019 | 22 | 9-13 | 40.9% | 36.4% (22) | 40.9% | 74.8 | 89.1 |
| 2018 | 22 | 4-17-1 | 18.2% | 40.9% (22) | 45.5% | 73 | 96.6 |
| 2017 | 22 | 11-11 | 50% | 40.9% (22) | 45.5% | 87.5 | 90.3 |
| 2016 | 22 | 12-10 | 54.5% | 63.6% (22) | 45.5% | 88.8 | 92.8 |
| 2015 | 22 | 6-15-1 | 27.3% | 40.9% (22) | 45.5% | 77 | 98.3 |
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