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Carlton Blues — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 269 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
38.3%
Games won (103-164-2)
51.7%
Against the line (269)
48%
Games over the total
76.5
Points per game
86.6
Conceded per game
Are the Blues a good bet against the line?
The Blues have covered 51.7% of 269 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 38.3% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Blues perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 131 | 54-77 | 41.2% | 49.6% (131) | 46.6% | 78.5 | 87.2 |
| Away | 138 | 49-87-2 | 35.5% | 53.6% (138) | 49.3% | 74.6 | 85.9 |
What happens when the Blues are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (29.5+) | 12 | 11-1 | 91.7% | 50% (12) | 58.3% | 105.3 | 71.3 |
| Any favourite | 88 | 54-33-1 | 61.4% | 44.3% (88) | 46.6% | 88.4 | 77.8 |
| Underdog | 181 | 49-131-1 | 27.1% | 55.2% (181) | 48.6% | 70.7 | 90.9 |
| Heavy underdog (29.5+) | 44 | 3-41 | 6.8% | 56.8% (44) | 59.1% | 63.4 | 107.6 |
Which quarters do the Blues win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 269 | 43.1% | 19.7 | 21.5 | -1.9 |
| 2nd quarter | 269 | 44.6% | 18.7 | 21.1 | -2.4 |
| 3rd quarter | 269 | 41.3% | 18.7 | 22.9 | -4.2 |
| 4th quarter | 269 | 45% | 19.4 | 21.1 | -1.7 |
The Blues under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Blues games to break this down.
Carlton Blues head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collingwood Magpies | 21 | 4-17 | 19% | 42.9% (21) | 47.6% | 72.2 | 85.1 |
| Richmond Tigers | 18 | 5-12-1 | 27.8% | 38.9% (18) | 44.4% | 76.3 | 87.6 |
| Brisbane Lions | 17 | 4-13 | 23.5% | 35.3% (17) | 52.9% | 81.4 | 94.8 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 17 | 6-11 | 35.3% | 47.1% (17) | 64.7% | 73.4 | 98.8 |
| Gold Coast Suns | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 58.8% (17) | 29.4% | 79.8 | 75.8 |
| St Kilda Saints | 16 | 6-10 | 37.5% | 56.3% (16) | 37.5% | 75.3 | 83.8 |
| Sydney Swans | 16 | 5-11 | 31.3% | 37.5% (16) | 62.5% | 69.8 | 93.8 |
| Fremantle Dockers | 16 | 9-7 | 56.3% | 68.8% (16) | 43.8% | 74.4 | 76.6 |
| Melbourne Demons | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% | 75% (16) | 18.8% | 70.6 | 79.3 |
| Essendon Bombers | 15 | 10-5 | 66.7% | 66.7% (15) | 33.3% | 75.7 | 73.6 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 15 | 7-8 | 46.7% | 60% (15) | 66.7% | 81.5 | 90.5 |
| Western Bulldogs | 15 | 4-10-1 | 26.7% | 60% (15) | 33.3% | 76.3 | 79.4 |
| West Coast Eagles | 14 | 7-7 | 50% | 71.4% (14) | 57.1% | 94.1 | 73.1 |
| Geelong Cats | 14 | 6-8 | 42.9% | 50% (14) | 64.3% | 78.4 | 94.6 |
| Adelaide Crows | 14 | 3-11 | 21.4% | 35.7% (14) | 57.1% | 74.1 | 98.9 |
| Hawthorn Hawks | 14 | 4-10 | 28.6% | 50% (14) | 35.7% | 63.6 | 93.1 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 14 | 6-8 | 42.9% | 28.6% (14) | 71.4% | 86.1 | 94.4 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Cats | A | 74–107 | +11.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-29 | Demons | A | 74–55 | -1.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-22 | Dockers | H | 119–82 | +7.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-16 | Western Bulldogs | A | 82–82 | -23.5 | no | under |
| 2026-08-09 | Saints | A | 106–62 | -1.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-01 | Lions | H | 154–78 | +21.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-25 | Suns | H | 110–97 | -6.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-18 | Magpies | A | 69–90 | +5.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-11 | Hawks | H | 39–103 | +6.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-04 | Tigers | A | 74–72 | -31.5 | no | under |
Carlton Blues season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 13-11-1 | 52% | 56% (25) | 44% | 86.2 | 85.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | 9-14 | 39.1% | 47.8% (23) | 26.1% | 78.2 | 80.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | 13-11 | 54.2% | 50% (24) | 54.2% | 92.6 | 85.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | 15-10-1 | 57.7% | 50% (26) | 42.3% | 82 | 73.7 |
| 2022 | 22 | 12-10 | 54.5% | 54.5% (22) | 50% | 84.4 | 77.9 |
| 2021 | 22 | 8-14 | 36.4% | 45.5% (22) | 59.1% | 79.4 | 89.6 |
| 2020 | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 52.9% (17) | 52.9% | 59.8 | 63.4 |
| 2019 | 22 | 7-15 | 31.8% | 63.6% (22) | 50% | 73.1 | 86.6 |
| 2018 | 22 | 2-20 | 9.1% | 40.9% (22) | 59.1% | 61.5 | 103.7 |
| 2017 | 22 | 6-16 | 27.3% | 59.1% (22) | 45.5% | 72.5 | 92.6 |
| 2016 | 22 | 7-15 | 31.8% | 54.5% (22) | 36.4% | 71.3 | 89.9 |
| 2015 | 22 | 4-18 | 18.2% | 45.5% (22) | 59.1% | 69.3 | 107 |
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