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Richmond Tigers — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 277 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
49.1%
Games won (136-137-4)
50.9%
Against the line (277)
46.6%
Games over the total
80.2
Points per game
82.7
Conceded per game
Are the Tigers a good bet against the line?
The Tigers have covered 50.9% of 277 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 49.1% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Tigers perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 140 | 82-55-3 | 58.6% | 52.9% (140) | 40.7% | 80.3 | 78.2 |
| Away | 137 | 54-82-1 | 39.4% | 48.9% (137) | 52.6% | 80.2 | 87.2 |
What happens when the Tigers are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (35.5+) | 17 | 15-2 | 88.2% | 29.4% (17) | 47.1% | 105.9 | 67.2 |
| Any favourite | 140 | 97-40-3 | 69.3% | 50% (140) | 50% | 89.5 | 71.9 |
| Underdog | 137 | 39-97-1 | 28.5% | 51.8% (137) | 43.1% | 70.7 | 93.7 |
| Heavy underdog (35.5+) | 40 | 3-37 | 7.5% | 45% (40) | 47.5% | 62.7 | 111.6 |
Which quarters do the Tigers win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 277 | 46.6% | 19.9 | 20 | -0.1 |
| 2nd quarter | 277 | 45.8% | 19.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 3rd quarter | 277 | 45.1% | 20.4 | 21.4 | -1.1 |
| 4th quarter | 277 | 50.2% | 20.4 | 20.2 | +0.2 |
The Tigers under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Tigers games to break this down.
Richmond Tigers head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Kilda Saints | 20 | 8-12 | 40% | 50% (20) | 55% | 75.8 | 82.2 |
| Carlton Blues | 18 | 12-5-1 | 66.7% | 61.1% (18) | 44.4% | 87.6 | 76.3 |
| Geelong Cats | 18 | 7-11 | 38.9% | 55.6% (18) | 44.4% | 72.7 | 85.1 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 18 | 7-11 | 38.9% | 55.6% (18) | 38.9% | 73.3 | 83.8 |
| Brisbane Lions | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 58.8% (17) | 70.6% | 92.9 | 85.2 |
| Collingwood Magpies | 17 | 8-8-1 | 47.1% | 64.7% (17) | 52.9% | 84.4 | 81.4 |
| Essendon Bombers | 17 | 14-3 | 82.4% | 70.6% (17) | 29.4% | 84.8 | 63.9 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 17 | 8-9 | 47.1% | 47.1% (17) | 52.9% | 80.2 | 83.1 |
| Hawthorn Hawks | 17 | 9-7-1 | 52.9% | 47.1% (17) | 47.1% | 79.1 | 88.1 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 16 | 6-10 | 37.5% | 25% (16) | 25% | 79.1 | 86.9 |
| West Coast Eagles | 16 | 11-5 | 68.8% | 43.8% (16) | 62.5% | 92.3 | 81.9 |
| Melbourne Demons | 15 | 5-10 | 33.3% | 53.3% (15) | 33.3% | 74.3 | 85.7 |
| Fremantle Dockers | 15 | 7-7-1 | 46.7% | 40% (15) | 33.3% | 76.1 | 70.9 |
| Adelaide Crows | 15 | 6-9 | 40% | 53.3% (15) | 53.3% | 79.7 | 89.2 |
| Sydney Swans | 14 | 7-7 | 50% | 57.1% (14) | 64.3% | 74.7 | 94.9 |
| Gold Coast Suns | 14 | 7-7 | 50% | 35.7% (14) | 35.7% | 83.9 | 78.4 |
| Western Bulldogs | 13 | 4-9 | 30.8% | 38.5% (13) | 46.2% | 71.8 | 92.1 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cats | A | 76–133 | +71.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-15 | Saints | H | 45–94 | +19.5 | no | under |
| 2026-08-08 | Crows | A | 54–63 | +57.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-02 | Eagles | H | 84–73 | +4.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-25 | Western Bulldogs | A | 48–105 | +39.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawks | H | 52–122 | +49.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-12 | Demons | A | 65–111 | +41.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-04 | Blues | H | 72–74 | +31.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-06-27 | Magpies | A | 72–106 | +38.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-06-21 | Kangaroos | H | 48–73 | +23.5 | no | under |
Richmond Tigers season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 3-20 | 13% | 47.8% (23) | 43.5% | 64.5 | 103.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | 5-18 | 21.7% | 52.2% (23) | 30.4% | 63 | 95.5 |
| 2024 | 23 | 2-21 | 8.7% | 30.4% (23) | 39.1% | 65.4 | 102.8 |
| 2023 | 23 | 10-12-1 | 43.5% | 43.5% (23) | 47.8% | 80.7 | 86.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | 13-9-1 | 56.5% | 60.9% (23) | 73.9% | 98.7 | 82 |
| 2021 | 22 | 9-12-1 | 40.9% | 36.4% (22) | 63.6% | 79.2 | 80.9 |
| 2020 | 21 | 15-5-1 | 71.4% | 57.1% (21) | 47.6% | 66.5 | 51.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | 19-6 | 76% | 68% (25) | 48% | 88.1 | 72.8 |
| 2018 | 24 | 19-5 | 79.2% | 54.2% (24) | 50% | 95.7 | 72.3 |
| 2017 | 25 | 18-7 | 72% | 76% (25) | 32% | 91.8 | 74 |
| 2016 | 22 | 8-14 | 36.4% | 27.3% (22) | 45.5% | 77.9 | 98 |
| 2015 | 23 | 15-8 | 65.2% | 52.2% (23) | 39.1% | 87.7 | 72.7 |
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