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Melbourne Demons — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 274 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
52.6%
Games won (144-129-1)
51.5%
Against the line (274)
48.2%
Games over the total
85
Points per game
80.4
Conceded per game
Are the Demons a good bet against the line?
The Demons have covered 51.5% of 274 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 52.6% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Demons perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 139 | 76-62-1 | 54.7% | 51.1% (139) | 52.5% | 86.2 | 79.9 |
| Away | 135 | 68-67 | 50.4% | 51.9% (135) | 43.7% | 83.8 | 80.9 |
What happens when the Demons are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (27.5+) | 38 | 30-7-1 | 78.9% | 50% (38) | 55.3% | 101.7 | 67.2 |
| Any favourite | 152 | 96-55-1 | 63.2% | 45.4% (152) | 48% | 89.8 | 74.3 |
| Underdog | 122 | 48-74 | 39.3% | 59% (122) | 48.4% | 79 | 88 |
| Heavy underdog (27.5+) | 19 | 5-14 | 26.3% | 57.9% (19) | 57.9% | 75.6 | 101.3 |
Which quarters do the Demons win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 274 | 50.4% | 20.5 | 20.2 | +0.3 |
| 2nd quarter | 274 | 55.5% | 20.6 | 19.3 | +1.3 |
| 3rd quarter | 274 | 54.4% | 22.7 | 20.6 | +2.1 |
| 4th quarter | 274 | 54% | 21.2 | 20.3 | +0.9 |
The Demons under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Demons games to break this down.
Melbourne Demons head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collingwood Magpies | 20 | 7-13 | 35% | 50% (20) | 30% | 76.8 | 81.7 |
| Western Bulldogs | 19 | 9-10 | 47.4% | 52.6% (19) | 73.7% | 91.5 | 84.1 |
| Hawthorn Hawks | 18 | 11-6-1 | 61.1% | 55.6% (18) | 38.9% | 86.2 | 79.7 |
| St Kilda Saints | 18 | 9-9 | 50% | 55.6% (18) | 44.4% | 87 | 86.2 |
| Brisbane Lions | 17 | 11-6 | 64.7% | 70.6% (17) | 52.9% | 91.2 | 77.7 |
| Gold Coast Suns | 16 | 14-2 | 87.5% | 68.8% (16) | 81.3% | 105 | 77.4 |
| Fremantle Dockers | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% | 43.8% (16) | 56.3% | 75.8 | 87.8 |
| Geelong Cats | 16 | 6-10 | 37.5% | 50% (16) | 62.5% | 77.8 | 87.6 |
| West Coast Eagles | 16 | 9-7 | 56.3% | 56.3% (16) | 68.8% | 88.6 | 79.3 |
| Carlton Blues | 16 | 9-7 | 56.3% | 25% (16) | 18.8% | 79.3 | 70.6 |
| Adelaide Crows | 15 | 8-7 | 53.3% | 73.3% (15) | 53.3% | 89.9 | 79.3 |
| Richmond Tigers | 15 | 10-5 | 66.7% | 46.7% (15) | 33.3% | 85.7 | 74.3 |
| Sydney Swans | 15 | 5-10 | 33.3% | 33.3% (15) | 33.3% | 74.3 | 82.9 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 15 | 7-8 | 46.7% | 53.3% (15) | 26.7% | 75.3 | 75.4 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 40% (15) | 73.3% | 98.3 | 83.3 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 14 | 6-8 | 42.9% | 50% (14) | 35.7% | 78.5 | 77.9 |
| Essendon Bombers | 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 46.2% (13) | 30.8% | 82.7 | 79.3 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Blues | H | 55–74 | +1.5 | no | under |
| 2026-08-22 | Western Bulldogs | H | 87–108 | -14.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-15 | Power | A | 132–56 | -26.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-08 | Dockers | H | 113–109 | +11.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-02 | Suns | A | 114–105 | -3.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-24 | Cats | H | 97–117 | +1.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-18 | Kangaroos | A | 92–76 | -17.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-12 | Tigers | H | 111–65 | -41.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-04 | Hawks | A | 125–90 | +16.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-06-20 | Crows | A | 62–79 | +18.5 | yes | under |
Melbourne Demons season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 15-9 | 62.5% | 62.5% (24) | 58.3% | 98.2 | 90.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | 7-16 | 30.4% | 52.2% (23) | 52.2% | 82.7 | 88.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | 11-12 | 47.8% | 52.2% (23) | 43.5% | 77.6 | 78.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | 16-9 | 64% | 48% (25) | 40% | 88.1 | 71.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | 16-8 | 66.7% | 45.8% (24) | 54.2% | 86.8 | 69.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | 20-4-1 | 80% | 60% (25) | 44% | 89.8 | 64.4 |
| 2020 | 17 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 58.8% (17) | 47.1% | 62.5 | 58 |
| 2019 | 22 | 5-17 | 22.7% | 27.3% (22) | 45.5% | 71.3 | 90.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | 16-9 | 64% | 68% (25) | 52% | 101.3 | 79.5 |
| 2017 | 22 | 12-10 | 54.5% | 36.4% (22) | 45.5% | 92.5 | 87.9 |
| 2016 | 22 | 10-12 | 45.5% | 59.1% (22) | 40.9% | 88.4 | 90.5 |
| 2015 | 22 | 7-15 | 31.8% | 45.5% (22) | 54.5% | 71.5 | 92.9 |
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