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Brisbane Lions — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 287 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
54%
Games won (155-130-2)
48.8%
Against the line (287)
55.7%
Games over the total
89.1
Points per game
88
Conceded per game
Are the Lions a good bet against the line?
The Lions have covered 48.8% of 287 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 54% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Lions perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 143 | 89-54 | 62.2% | 47.6% (143) | 57.3% | 92.6 | 84.2 |
| Away | 144 | 66-76-2 | 45.8% | 50% (144) | 54.2% | 85.6 | 91.9 |
What happens when the Lions are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (34.5+) | 25 | 24-0-1 | 96% | 40% (25) | 56% | 112.8 | 66.9 |
| Any favourite | 167 | 115-51-1 | 68.9% | 44.9% (167) | 56.9% | 94.4 | 78.4 |
| Underdog | 120 | 40-79-1 | 33.3% | 54.2% (120) | 54.2% | 81.7 | 101.5 |
| Heavy underdog (34.5+) | 36 | 1-35 | 2.8% | 47.2% (36) | 50% | 70.9 | 122.8 |
Which quarters do the Lions win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 287 | 52.3% | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 2nd quarter | 287 | 47.7% | 21 | 21.8 | -0.8 |
| 3rd quarter | 287 | 55.1% | 24 | 21.9 | +2.1 |
| 4th quarter | 287 | 47% | 22 | 23.2 | -1.2 |
The Lions under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Lions games to break this down.
Brisbane Lions head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast Suns | 24 | 18-6 | 75% | 70.8% (24) | 54.2% | 98.2 | 78 |
| Geelong Cats | 21 | 8-13 | 38.1% | 28.6% (21) | 47.6% | 73.7 | 91.8 |
| Collingwood Magpies | 20 | 10-10 | 50% | 50% (20) | 65% | 91.3 | 90.3 |
| Richmond Tigers | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 41.2% (17) | 70.6% | 85.2 | 92.9 |
| Carlton Blues | 17 | 13-4 | 76.5% | 64.7% (17) | 52.9% | 94.8 | 81.4 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 47.1% (17) | 70.6% | 86.2 | 98.5 |
| Western Bulldogs | 17 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 52.9% (17) | 64.7% | 90 | 94.4 |
| Melbourne Demons | 17 | 6-11 | 35.3% | 29.4% (17) | 52.9% | 77.7 | 91.2 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 16 | 10-6 | 62.5% | 68.8% (16) | 68.8% | 95.9 | 92.2 |
| Adelaide Crows | 16 | 8-7-1 | 50% | 56.3% (16) | 62.5% | 86.7 | 92.8 |
| Sydney Swans | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 43.8% (16) | 68.8% | 87.6 | 89.1 |
| Hawthorn Hawks | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 62.5% (16) | 50% | 91.4 | 91.4 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 15 | 8-6-1 | 53.3% | 26.7% (15) | 40% | 89.3 | 86.7 |
| Essendon Bombers | 15 | 10-5 | 66.7% | 53.3% (15) | 33.3% | 96.2 | 79.1 |
| St Kilda Saints | 15 | 10-5 | 66.7% | 53.3% (15) | 46.7% | 91.4 | 81.5 |
| Fremantle Dockers | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 46.7% (15) | 53.3% | 89.3 | 79.7 |
| West Coast Eagles | 13 | 8-5 | 61.5% | 23.1% (13) | 38.5% | 90.8 | 85.9 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Dockers | A | 96–89 | -7.5 | no | over |
| 2026-09-19 | Hawks | A | 131–122 | -2.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-09-12 | Crows | H | 144–91 | -25.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-09-05 | Swans | A | 88–141 | +18.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-21 | Magpies | A | 159–96 | -18.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-15 | Suns | H | 95–53 | -32.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-07 | Hawks | H | 125–58 | -1.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-01 | Blues | A | 78–154 | -21.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-26 | Power | H | 126–67 | -46.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-18 | Eagles | A | 93–69 | -41.5 | no | under |
Brisbane Lions season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 19-8 | 70.4% | 51.9% (27) | 74.1% | 109.6 | 92.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | 19-7-1 | 70.4% | 55.6% (27) | 40.7% | 91 | 78.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | 18-8-1 | 66.7% | 48.1% (27) | 48.1% | 94.4 | 76.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | 19-7 | 73.1% | 50% (26) | 50% | 94.9 | 76.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | 17-8 | 68% | 52% (25) | 72% | 95.8 | 84.1 |
| 2021 | 24 | 15-9 | 62.5% | 54.2% (24) | 58.3% | 94.5 | 73.8 |
| 2020 | 19 | 15-4 | 78.9% | 47.4% (19) | 52.6% | 68.2 | 57.1 |
| 2019 | 24 | 16-8 | 66.7% | 54.2% (24) | 54.2% | 89.5 | 78.7 |
| 2018 | 22 | 5-17 | 22.7% | 40.9% (22) | 50% | 83 | 93.1 |
| 2017 | 22 | 5-17 | 22.7% | 59.1% (22) | 50% | 85.3 | 114.8 |
| 2016 | 22 | 3-19 | 13.6% | 31.8% (22) | 72.7% | 80.5 | 130.5 |
| 2015 | 22 | 4-18 | 18.2% | 36.4% (22) | 45.5% | 70.8 | 104.8 |
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