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Hawthorn Hawks — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 278 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
52.9%
Games won (147-126-5)
50%
Against the line (278)
46.8%
Games over the total
86.4
Points per game
80.7
Conceded per game
Are the Hawks a good bet against the line?
The Hawks have covered 50% of 278 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 52.9% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Hawks perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 133 | 85-46-2 | 63.9% | 48.1% (133) | 41.4% | 88.2 | 77.4 |
| Away | 145 | 62-80-3 | 42.8% | 51.7% (145) | 51.7% | 84.8 | 83.7 |
What happens when the Hawks are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (29.5+) | 37 | 34-3 | 91.9% | 51.4% (37) | 51.4% | 115.1 | 64.2 |
| Any favourite | 141 | 98-40-3 | 69.5% | 48.2% (141) | 48.9% | 96.6 | 74.8 |
| Underdog | 137 | 49-86-2 | 35.8% | 51.8% (137) | 44.5% | 76 | 86.8 |
| Heavy underdog (29.5+) | 19 | 5-13-1 | 26.3% | 73.7% (19) | 47.4% | 71.9 | 90.5 |
Which quarters do the Hawks win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 278 | 53.6% | 21.1 | 19.9 | +1.2 |
| 2nd quarter | 278 | 52.5% | 21.1 | 19.8 | +1.2 |
| 3rd quarter | 278 | 50.7% | 22 | 20.7 | +1.3 |
| 4th quarter | 278 | 53.2% | 22.2 | 20.3 | +1.9 |
The Hawks under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Hawks games to break this down.
Hawthorn Hawks head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geelong Cats | 19 | 7-12 | 36.8% | 42.1% (19) | 52.6% | 81.2 | 95.4 |
| Melbourne Demons | 18 | 6-11-1 | 33.3% | 44.4% (18) | 38.9% | 79.7 | 86.2 |
| Adelaide Crows | 18 | 13-5 | 72.2% | 55.6% (18) | 55.6% | 92.1 | 76.1 |
| Western Bulldogs | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 52.9% (17) | 41.2% | 85.2 | 79.1 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 17 | 14-3 | 82.4% | 64.7% (17) | 41.2% | 99.6 | 70.1 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 17 | 7-9-1 | 41.2% | 64.7% (17) | 52.9% | 82.1 | 84.3 |
| Richmond Tigers | 17 | 7-9-1 | 41.2% | 52.9% (17) | 47.1% | 88.1 | 79.1 |
| Essendon Bombers | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 43.8% (16) | 75% | 97.4 | 86.8 |
| Sydney Swans | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 43.8% (16) | 37.5% | 74.9 | 78.7 |
| Collingwood Magpies | 16 | 9-5-2 | 56.3% | 56.3% (16) | 50% | 89 | 80 |
| Fremantle Dockers | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 50% (16) | 37.5% | 78.9 | 73.4 |
| West Coast Eagles | 16 | 10-6 | 62.5% | 50% (16) | 43.8% | 91.5 | 69 |
| Brisbane Lions | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 37.5% (16) | 50% | 91.4 | 91.4 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 15 | 6-9 | 40% | 53.3% (15) | 33.3% | 80.9 | 84.5 |
| Gold Coast Suns | 15 | 8-7 | 53.3% | 40% (15) | 46.7% | 82.9 | 83.5 |
| St Kilda Saints | 15 | 8-7 | 53.3% | 46.7% (15) | 53.3% | 81.7 | 87.1 |
| Carlton Blues | 14 | 10-4 | 71.4% | 50% (14) | 35.7% | 93.1 | 63.6 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Lions | H | 122–131 | +2.5 | no | over |
| 2026-09-03 | Dockers | A | 72–40 | +4.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-23 | Eagles | A | 107–45 | -50.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-08-15 | Magpies | H | 92–92 | -20.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-07 | Lions | A | 58–125 | +1.5 | no | under |
| 2026-08-01 | Kangaroos | H | 99–83 | -42.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-25 | Bombers | H | 132–39 | -60.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-19 | Tigers | A | 122–52 | -49.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-11 | Blues | A | 103–39 | -6.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-04 | Demons | H | 90–125 | -16.5 | no | over |
Hawthorn Hawks season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 16-7-2 | 64% | 44% (25) | 40% | 98.2 | 82.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | 17-9 | 65.4% | 57.7% (26) | 42.3% | 89.9 | 75.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | 15-10 | 60% | 72% (25) | 52% | 90.4 | 76 |
| 2023 | 23 | 7-16 | 30.4% | 52.2% (23) | 34.8% | 73.3 | 91.3 |
| 2022 | 22 | 8-14 | 36.4% | 50% (22) | 63.6% | 81.2 | 90.5 |
| 2021 | 22 | 7-13-2 | 31.8% | 40.9% (22) | 59.1% | 74 | 86.9 |
| 2020 | 17 | 5-12 | 29.4% | 35.3% (17) | 70.6% | 59.1 | 70.2 |
| 2019 | 22 | 11-11 | 50% | 45.5% (22) | 31.8% | 79.2 | 72.8 |
| 2018 | 24 | 15-9 | 62.5% | 58.3% (24) | 41.7% | 87.8 | 76.7 |
| 2017 | 22 | 10-11-1 | 45.5% | 50% (22) | 31.8% | 84.7 | 93.4 |
| 2016 | 24 | 17-7 | 70.8% | 29.2% (24) | 41.7% | 95.9 | 83 |
| 2015 | 26 | 19-7 | 73.1% | 57.7% (26) | 57.7% | 109.7 | 70.5 |
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