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Geelong Cats — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 288 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
65.3%
Games won (188-97-3)
51.4%
Against the line (288)
51.7%
Games over the total
92.5
Points per game
74.7
Conceded per game
Are the Cats a good bet against the line?
The Cats have covered 51.4% of 288 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 65.3% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Cats perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 148 | 114-34 | 77% | 54.7% (148) | 54.7% | 98.2 | 70.8 |
| Away | 140 | 74-63-3 | 52.9% | 47.9% (140) | 48.6% | 86.6 | 78.8 |
What happens when the Cats are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (29.5+) | 57 | 47-9-1 | 82.5% | 40.4% (57) | 56.1% | 108.6 | 66.5 |
| Any favourite | 213 | 150-61-2 | 70.4% | 47.4% (213) | 52.6% | 96.3 | 72.7 |
| Underdog | 75 | 38-36-1 | 50.7% | 62.7% (75) | 49.3% | 81.7 | 80.4 |
Which quarters do the Cats win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 288 | 58.3% | 22.5 | 19.3 | +3.2 |
| 2nd quarter | 288 | 58% | 23.3 | 17.8 | +5.5 |
| 3rd quarter | 288 | 54.9% | 22.7 | 19.9 | +2.8 |
| 4th quarter | 288 | 65.6% | 24.1 | 17.7 | +6.4 |
The Cats under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Cats games to break this down.
Geelong Cats head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Lions | 21 | 13-8 | 61.9% | 71.4% (21) | 47.6% | 91.8 | 73.7 |
| Hawthorn Hawks | 19 | 12-7 | 63.2% | 57.9% (19) | 52.6% | 95.4 | 81.2 |
| Collingwood Magpies | 19 | 12-7 | 63.2% | 47.4% (19) | 31.6% | 82.2 | 76.1 |
| Sydney Swans | 19 | 10-8-1 | 52.6% | 42.1% (19) | 47.4% | 86 | 77.6 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 18 | 16-2 | 88.9% | 61.1% (18) | 61.1% | 105.9 | 67.7 |
| Richmond Tigers | 18 | 11-7 | 61.1% | 44.4% (18) | 44.4% | 85.1 | 72.7 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 18 | 12-6 | 66.7% | 55.6% (18) | 38.9% | 90.6 | 71.1 |
| Adelaide Crows | 18 | 13-5 | 72.2% | 50% (18) | 50% | 90.7 | 79.3 |
| Western Bulldogs | 17 | 13-4 | 76.5% | 58.8% (17) | 64.7% | 92.8 | 78.7 |
| Fremantle Dockers | 16 | 9-7 | 56.3% | 50% (16) | 50% | 89.2 | 73.3 |
| Melbourne Demons | 16 | 10-6 | 62.5% | 50% (16) | 62.5% | 87.6 | 77.8 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 16 | 6-9-1 | 37.5% | 31.3% (16) | 37.5% | 82.4 | 75.6 |
| St Kilda Saints | 16 | 10-5-1 | 62.5% | 37.5% (16) | 62.5% | 91.4 | 76 |
| Essendon Bombers | 15 | 13-2 | 86.7% | 66.7% (15) | 53.3% | 106.9 | 61.9 |
| Gold Coast Suns | 14 | 10-4 | 71.4% | 50% (14) | 57.1% | 101 | 73.9 |
| Carlton Blues | 14 | 8-6 | 57.1% | 50% (14) | 64.3% | 94.6 | 78.4 |
| West Coast Eagles | 14 | 10-4 | 71.4% | 42.9% (14) | 64.3% | 105.9 | 73.2 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Dockers | A | 106–120 | +18.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-09-04 | Blues | H | 107–74 | -11.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-22 | Tigers | H | 133–76 | -71.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-15 | Kangaroos | A | 125–110 | -18.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-08 | Bombers | H | 117–50 | -64.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-30 | Magpies | A | 97–72 | -3.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-24 | Demons | A | 117–97 | -1.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-16 | Saints | H | 102–75 | -15.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-07-11 | Giants | A | 73–86 | -6.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-02 | Lions | H | 101–123 | -12.5 | no | over |
Geelong Cats season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 16-9 | 64% | 56% (25) | 60% | 102.7 | 84.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | 19-7 | 73.1% | 61.5% (26) | 61.5% | 104.9 | 76.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | 16-9 | 64% | 52% (25) | 60% | 95.5 | 83.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | 10-12-1 | 43.5% | 34.8% (23) | 65.2% | 90.8 | 80.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | 21-4 | 84% | 76% (25) | 60% | 99.1 | 66.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | 17-8 | 68% | 32% (25) | 52% | 81.3 | 69.4 |
| 2020 | 21 | 14-7 | 66.7% | 52.4% (21) | 57.1% | 71.8 | 53 |
| 2019 | 25 | 17-8 | 68% | 52% (25) | 36% | 87.6 | 67 |
| 2018 | 23 | 13-10 | 56.5% | 52.2% (23) | 43.5% | 90.9 | 70.8 |
| 2017 | 25 | 16-8-1 | 64% | 48% (25) | 44% | 93.9 | 83.4 |
| 2016 | 24 | 18-6 | 75% | 54.2% (24) | 33.3% | 99.2 | 72.3 |
| 2015 | 21 | 11-9-1 | 52.4% | 42.9% (21) | 47.6% | 88.2 | 87.3 |
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