Home › AFL teams › Essendon Bombers
Essendon Bombers — AFL Betting Trends & Stats
2015–2026 · 266 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
37.2%
Games won (99-165-2)
45.9%
Against the line (266)
47.4%
Games over the total
76.8
Points per game
91.2
Conceded per game
Are the Bombers a good bet against the line?
The Bombers have covered 45.9% of 266 games with a posted line since 2015, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 37.2% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Bombers perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 131 | 59-71-1 | 45% | 50.4% (131) | 51.1% | 80.7 | 90.5 |
| Away | 135 | 40-94-1 | 29.6% | 41.5% (135) | 43.7% | 73 | 91.9 |
What happens when the Bombers are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (32.5+) | 12 | 11-1 | 91.7% | 25% (12) | 50% | 101.8 | 77.7 |
| Any favourite | 75 | 49-26 | 65.3% | 34.7% (75) | 46.7% | 87.1 | 78.8 |
| Underdog | 191 | 50-139-2 | 26.2% | 50.3% (191) | 47.6% | 72.8 | 96.1 |
| Heavy underdog (32.5+) | 45 | 3-42 | 6.7% | 53.3% (45) | 46.7% | 64.2 | 108.3 |
Which quarters do the Bombers win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 266 | 39.5% | 18.5 | 22.7 | -4.2 |
| 2nd quarter | 266 | 39.1% | 18.7 | 22.4 | -3.7 |
| 3rd quarter | 266 | 38% | 19.3 | 23.3 | -4 |
| 4th quarter | 266 | 44% | 20.3 | 22.8 | -2.4 |
The Bombers under each umpire
No umpire is recorded against enough Bombers games to break this down.
Essendon Bombers head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collingwood Magpies | 20 | 7-12-1 | 35% | 60% (20) | 55% | 76.3 | 88.2 |
| Sydney Swans | 18 | 5-13 | 27.8% | 61.1% (18) | 50% | 76.4 | 91.8 |
| North Melbourne Kangaroos | 17 | 12-5 | 70.6% | 58.8% (17) | 52.9% | 92.9 | 78.7 |
| Richmond Tigers | 17 | 3-14 | 17.6% | 29.4% (17) | 29.4% | 63.9 | 84.8 |
| Hawthorn Hawks | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 56.3% (16) | 75% | 86.8 | 97.4 |
| Port Adelaide Power | 16 | 4-12 | 25% | 50% (16) | 56.3% | 76.8 | 99.4 |
| Greater Western Sydney Giants | 16 | 5-11 | 31.3% | 62.5% (16) | 37.5% | 72.8 | 91.8 |
| Carlton Blues | 15 | 5-10 | 33.3% | 33.3% (15) | 33.3% | 73.6 | 75.7 |
| St Kilda Saints | 15 | 6-9 | 40% | 46.7% (15) | 46.7% | 80.5 | 89.4 |
| Fremantle Dockers | 15 | 7-8 | 46.7% | 26.7% (15) | 46.7% | 72.4 | 87.5 |
| Brisbane Lions | 15 | 5-10 | 33.3% | 46.7% (15) | 33.3% | 79.1 | 96.2 |
| Geelong Cats | 15 | 2-13 | 13.3% | 33.3% (15) | 53.3% | 61.9 | 106.9 |
| West Coast Eagles | 15 | 8-7 | 53.3% | 26.7% (15) | 40% | 77.6 | 82.9 |
| Gold Coast Suns | 15 | 7-7-1 | 46.7% | 60% (15) | 60% | 87.4 | 86.3 |
| Western Bulldogs | 14 | 2-12 | 14.3% | 28.6% (14) | 35.7% | 61.2 | 105.6 |
| Adelaide Crows | 14 | 7-7 | 50% | 35.7% (14) | 64.3% | 86.5 | 108.9 |
| Melbourne Demons | 13 | 6-7 | 46.2% | 53.8% (13) | 30.8% | 79.3 | 82.7 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Power | H | 95–105 | +2.5 | no | over |
| 2026-08-16 | Swans | H | 76–112 | +59.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-08-08 | Cats | A | 50–117 | +64.5 | no | under |
| 2026-08-02 | Crows | H | 73–145 | +40.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-25 | Hawks | A | 39–132 | +60.5 | no | under |
| 2026-07-19 | Giants | H | 67–64 | +38.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-07-12 | Lions | A | 59–149 | +67.5 | no | over |
| 2026-07-05 | Saints | H | 50–117 | +25.5 | no | under |
| 2026-06-28 | Kangaroos | A | 65–79 | +13.5 | no | under |
| 2026-06-13 | Demons | A | 50–95 | +28.5 | no | under |
Essendon Bombers season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23 | 2-21 | 8.7% | 39.1% (23) | 47.8% | 69.6 | 107.7 |
| 2025 | 23 | 6-17 | 26.1% | 34.8% (23) | 34.8% | 66.7 | 96 |
| 2024 | 23 | 11-11-1 | 47.8% | 39.1% (23) | 52.2% | 82.3 | 88 |
| 2023 | 23 | 11-12 | 47.8% | 52.2% (23) | 47.8% | 79.9 | 89.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | 7-15 | 31.8% | 36.4% (22) | 54.5% | 79 | 94.9 |
| 2021 | 23 | 11-12 | 47.8% | 60.9% (23) | 60.9% | 86.5 | 81.5 |
| 2020 | 17 | 6-10-1 | 35.3% | 41.2% (17) | 47.1% | 55.2 | 69.7 |
| 2019 | 23 | 12-11 | 52.2% | 47.8% (23) | 39.1% | 76.7 | 82.6 |
| 2018 | 22 | 12-10 | 54.5% | 54.5% (22) | 40.9% | 87.8 | 83.5 |
| 2017 | 23 | 12-11 | 52.2% | 47.8% (23) | 47.8% | 95.3 | 92.4 |
| 2016 | 22 | 3-19 | 13.6% | 45.5% (22) | 54.5% | 65.3 | 107.1 |
| 2015 | 22 | 6-16 | 27.3% | 50% (22) | 40.9% | 71.8 | 97 |
More AFL analysis
This roundQuarter marketsTotal goalsPlayer statsAFL overview
AFL streaks
Heavy favouritesReferees & totals
Other AFL clubs
Adelaide Crows273gBrisbane Lions287gCarlton Blues269gCollingwood Magpies280gFremantle Dockers272gGeelong Cats288gGold Coast Suns265gGreater Western Sydney Giants282gHawthorn Hawks278gMelbourne Demons274gNorth Melbourne Kangaroos267gPort Adelaide Power272gRichmond Tigers277gSt Kilda Saints266gSydney Swans282gWest Coast Eagles274gWestern Bulldogs278g