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Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA Betting Trends & Stats
2022–2026 · 379 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
59.4%
Games won (225-154)
49.6%
Against the line (377)
49.3%
Games over the total
114.7
Points per game
111.2
Conceded per game
Are the Timberwolves a good bet against the line?
The Timberwolves have covered 49.6% of 377 games with a posted line since 2022, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 59.4% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Timberwolves perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 187 | 118-69 | 63.1% | 47.1% (187) | 47.1% | 115 | 109.5 |
| Away | 192 | 107-85 | 55.7% | 52.1% (190) | 51.6% | 114.5 | 112.8 |
What happens when the Timberwolves are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (9.5+) | 69 | 56-13 | 81.2% | 46.3% (67) | 46.4% | 119.9 | 107.9 |
| Any favourite | 236 | 159-77 | 67.4% | 45.7% (234) | 47% | 115.9 | 109.3 |
| Underdog | 143 | 66-77 | 46.2% | 55.9% (143) | 53.1% | 112.7 | 114.2 |
| Heavy underdog (9.5+) | 15 | 5-10 | 33.3% | 53.3% (15) | 66.7% | 111 | 119.5 |
Which quarters do the Timberwolves win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 379 | 53.3% | 28.6 | 27.7 | +0.9 |
| 2nd quarter | 379 | 50.4% | 28 | 27.5 | +0.5 |
| 3rd quarter | 379 | 53% | 29 | 28 | +1 |
| 4th quarter | 379 | 53.8% | 28.7 | 27.6 | +1.1 |
| 1st half | 379 | 52.2% | 56.6 | 55.1 | +1.5 |
| 2nd half | 379 | 54.9% | 57.7 | 55.6 | +2.1 |
The Timberwolves under each crew chief
| Crew chief | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Davis | 20 | 12-8 | 60% | 55% (20) | 45% | 116 | 110.4 |
| Tony Brothers | 18 | 10-8 | 55.6% | 38.9% (18) | 61.1% | 115.1 | 112.4 |
| JB DeRosa | 18 | 12-6 | 66.7% | 61.1% (18) | 61.1% | 115.5 | 111.4 |
| Scott Foster | 16 | 8-8 | 50% | 50% (16) | 56.3% | 116.8 | 112.6 |
| Ray Acosta | 16 | 11-5 | 68.8% | 66.7% (15) | 50% | 112.3 | 109.5 |
| Curtis Blair | 15 | 11-4 | 73.3% | 60% (15) | 46.7% | 117.4 | 107.9 |
| Sean Corbin | 15 | 8-7 | 53.3% | 46.7% (15) | 53.3% | 116.1 | 114.4 |
| Kevin Cutler | 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 46.2% (13) | 38.5% | 112 | 111.2 |
| Pat Fraher | 13 | 12-1 | 92.3% | 84.6% (13) | 46.2% | 117.2 | 104.5 |
| Nick Buchert | 13 | 7-6 | 53.8% | 46.2% (13) | 53.8% | 112.1 | 108.3 |
| James Capers | 11 | 4-7 | 36.4% | 45.5% (11) | 45.5% | 107.8 | 109.2 |
| Brent Barnaky | 11 | 8-3 | 72.7% | 63.6% (11) | 45.5% | 113.9 | 106.8 |
| Eric Dalen | 11 | 7-4 | 63.6% | 45.5% (11) | 54.5% | 118.3 | 111.7 |
| John Butler | 11 | 7-4 | 63.6% | 45.5% (11) | 63.6% | 116.5 | 111.5 |
| Derrick Collins | 10 | 4-6 | 40% | 50% (10) | 70% | 116.7 | 116.9 |
| Brandon Adair | 9 | 3-6 | 33.3% | 22.2% (9) | 33.3% | 108.4 | 108.1 |
| Courtney Kirkland | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 25% (8) | 25% | 109.6 | 112.4 |
| Mitchell Ervin | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 0% (8) | 62.5% | 108.1 | 112.8 |
Minnesota Timberwolves head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 34 | 18-16 | 52.9% | 58.8% (34) | 55.9% | 112.6 | 110.2 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 21 | 11-10 | 52.4% | 50% (20) | 38.1% | 112.2 | 112.5 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 21 | 12-9 | 57.1% | 38.1% (21) | 61.9% | 113.1 | 114.3 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 20 | 11-9 | 55% | 50% (20) | 40% | 108.8 | 107.2 |
| Golden State Warriors | 19 | 13-6 | 68.4% | 57.9% (19) | 52.6% | 110.9 | 107.3 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 19 | 12-7 | 63.2% | 47.4% (19) | 36.8% | 113.2 | 107.4 |
| Phoenix Suns | 18 | 10-8 | 55.6% | 44.4% (18) | 55.6% | 113.4 | 111.1 |
| Utah Jazz | 16 | 12-4 | 75% | 56.3% (16) | 43.8% | 124.6 | 109.9 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 53.3% (15) | 53.3% | 117.5 | 112.3 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 15 | 10-5 | 66.7% | 46.7% (15) | 60% | 116.7 | 109 |
| Sacramento Kings | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 60% (15) | 46.7% | 119.2 | 116.1 |
| Houston Rockets | 14 | 10-4 | 71.4% | 64.3% (14) | 50% | 115.9 | 110.1 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 14 | 10-4 | 71.4% | 42.9% (14) | 21.4% | 106.9 | 103.5 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 14 | 9-5 | 64.3% | 50% (14) | 71.4% | 119.4 | 114.3 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 9 | 4-5 | 44.4% | 55.6% (9) | 88.9% | 129.4 | 129.8 |
| Orlando Magic | 9 | 5-4 | 55.6% | 44.4% (9) | 55.6% | 112.7 | 108.8 |
| Miami Heat | 9 | 7-2 | 77.8% | 55.6% (9) | 33.3% | 112.3 | 102.9 |
| Toronto Raptors | 9 | 6-3 | 66.7% | 44.4% (9) | 44.4% | 115.4 | 107.6 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 25% (8) | 37.5% | 112.3 | 109.3 |
| New York Knicks | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 50% (8) | 50% | 115.3 | 117.4 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 37.5% (8) | 37.5% | 110.3 | 115.4 |
| Indiana Pacers | 8 | 6-2 | 75% | 62.5% (8) | 12.5% | 118.4 | 112.6 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 50% (8) | 50% | 117.3 | 113.3 |
| Washington Wizards | 8 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 14.3% (7) | 50% | 120.6 | 114.9 |
| Chicago Bulls | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 50% (8) | 62.5% | 127.3 | 118.9 |
| Boston Celtics | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 62.5% (8) | 62.5% | 110.8 | 111.6 |
| Detroit Pistons | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 37.5% (8) | 62.5% | 109.4 | 113 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 8 | 6-2 | 75% | 62.5% (8) | 37.5% | 110.1 | 102.4 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 8 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 25% (8) | 50% | 115.9 | 115.4 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Cavaliers | A | 125–127 | +3 | yes | over |
| 2026-10-25 | Raptors | H | 117–94 | -3.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-10-23 | Magic | A | 115–93 | +1.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-10-21 | Heat | A | 131–106 | +1.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-05-15 | Spurs | H | 109–139 | +5.5 | no | over |
| 2026-05-12 | Spurs | A | 97–126 | +10.5 | no | over |
| 2026-05-10 | Spurs | H | 114–109 | +5.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-05-08 | Spurs | H | 108–115 | +5.5 | no | over |
| 2026-05-06 | Spurs | A | 95–133 | +10.5 | no | over |
| 2026-05-04 | Spurs | A | 104–102 | +10.5 | yes | under |
Minnesota Timberwolves season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 3-1 | 75% | 100% (4) | 25% | 122 | 105 |
| 2025 | 93 | 55-38 | 59.1% | 46.2% (93) | 47.3% | 117.1 | 114.6 |
| 2024 | 95 | 58-37 | 61.1% | 49.5% (95) | 52.6% | 113.4 | 108.5 |
| 2023 | 98 | 65-33 | 66.3% | 50.5% (97) | 52% | 113.1 | 106.9 |
| 2022 | 89 | 44-45 | 49.4% | 50% (88) | 46.1% | 115.1 | 115.4 |
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