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Milwaukee Bucks — NBA Betting Trends & Stats
2022–2026 · 349 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.
55.3%
Games won (193-156)
48.2%
Against the line (342)
51.6%
Games over the total
115.4
Points per game
115
Conceded per game
Are the Bucks a good bet against the line?
The Bucks have covered 48.2% of 342 games with a posted line since 2022, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 55.3% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.
How do the Bucks perform at home and away?
| Venue | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 176 | 115-61 | 65.3% | 51.4% (173) | 58% | 118.1 | 114.6 |
| Away | 173 | 78-95 | 45.1% | 45% (169) | 45.1% | 112.6 | 115.4 |
What happens when the Bucks are favourites?
| Market role | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (10.5+) | 49 | 37-12 | 75.5% | 37.5% (48) | 59.2% | 123.2 | 113.3 |
| Any favourite | 224 | 149-75 | 66.5% | 47.7% (218) | 55.8% | 118.8 | 114.4 |
| Underdog | 125 | 44-81 | 35.2% | 49.2% (124) | 44% | 109.2 | 116.2 |
| Heavy underdog (10.5+) | 24 | 4-20 | 16.7% | 50% (24) | 58.3% | 106.3 | 120.4 |
Which quarters do the Bucks win?
| Period | Games | Won | Scored | Conceded | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | 349 | 47.9% | 29.4 | 29 | +0.4 |
| 2nd quarter | 349 | 47.3% | 28.8 | 28.8 | 0 |
| 3rd quarter | 349 | 46.4% | 29 | 29 | +0.1 |
| 4th quarter | 349 | 48.7% | 28 | 28.1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 349 | 53.9% | 58.1 | 57.8 | +0.3 |
| 2nd half | 349 | 48.1% | 57.1 | 57.1 | 0 |
The Bucks under each crew chief
| Crew chief | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Brothers | 20 | 7-13 | 35% | 33.3% (18) | 60% | 112.1 | 118.8 |
| JB DeRosa | 18 | 12-6 | 66.7% | 52.9% (17) | 66.7% | 118.9 | 117.2 |
| Brent Barnaky | 15 | 4-11 | 26.7% | 33.3% (15) | 53.3% | 110.1 | 119.3 |
| Scott Foster | 13 | 10-3 | 76.9% | 69.2% (13) | 76.9% | 123.1 | 113 |
| Brian Forte | 12 | 9-3 | 75% | 58.3% (12) | 58.3% | 120.3 | 113.8 |
| Curtis Blair | 12 | 6-6 | 50% | 50% (12) | 50% | 115.9 | 116.2 |
| Marc Davis | 11 | 5-6 | 45.5% | 36.4% (11) | 45.5% | 113.1 | 111.4 |
| John Butler | 11 | 6-5 | 54.5% | 54.5% (11) | 45.5% | 115.3 | 113.9 |
| James Capers | 10 | 4-6 | 40% | 40% (10) | 60% | 108.3 | 119.3 |
| Matt Boland | 10 | 3-7 | 30% | 20% (10) | 60% | 113.4 | 116.7 |
| Tyler Ford | 9 | 5-4 | 55.6% | 55.6% (9) | 55.6% | 115.1 | 112 |
| Karl Lane | 9 | 7-2 | 77.8% | 66.7% (9) | 55.6% | 122.8 | 112.9 |
| Kevin Cutler | 9 | 5-4 | 55.6% | 33.3% (9) | 66.7% | 119.3 | 116.6 |
| Ray Acosta | 9 | 4-5 | 44.4% | 33.3% (9) | 77.8% | 119 | 125 |
| Nick Buchert | 9 | 6-3 | 66.7% | 88.9% (9) | 44.4% | 115.2 | 102.7 |
| Eric Dalen | 8 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 50% (8) | 12.5% | 112.1 | 106.9 |
| Bill Kennedy | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 42.9% (7) | 62.5% | 116.6 | 119.3 |
| David Guthrie | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 62.5% (8) | 62.5% | 116.3 | 118.8 |
| Jacyn Goble | 8 | 7-1 | 87.5% | 87.5% (8) | 62.5% | 123.4 | 114.6 |
Milwaukee Bucks head-to-head record
| Opponent | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 29 | 15-14 | 51.7% | 58.6% (29) | 58.6% | 118.9 | 118.3 |
| Miami Heat | 19 | 10-9 | 52.6% | 55.6% (18) | 63.2% | 115.8 | 114.5 |
| Chicago Bulls | 17 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 47.1% (17) | 41.2% | 116.4 | 112.4 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 16 | 9-7 | 56.3% | 56.3% (16) | 62.5% | 116.1 | 115.3 |
| Detroit Pistons | 16 | 13-3 | 81.3% | 50% (16) | 75% | 125.2 | 119 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 16 | 5-11 | 31.3% | 50% (16) | 43.8% | 109.9 | 115.2 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 33.3% (15) | 40% | 112.1 | 111.4 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 15 | 7-8 | 46.7% | 46.7% (15) | 46.7% | 113.6 | 118.9 |
| Washington Wizards | 15 | 9-6 | 60% | 33.3% (15) | 66.7% | 119.2 | 117.3 |
| New York Knicks | 14 | 7-7 | 50% | 38.5% (13) | 57.1% | 113.6 | 116.8 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 14 | 11-3 | 78.6% | 50% (14) | 42.9% | 118.9 | 109.4 |
| Orlando Magic | 14 | 9-5 | 64.3% | 30.8% (13) | 64.3% | 111.6 | 111.1 |
| Boston Celtics | 14 | 4-10 | 28.6% | 42.9% (14) | 42.9% | 108.5 | 116.4 |
| Toronto Raptors | 14 | 8-6 | 57.1% | 53.8% (13) | 50% | 113.2 | 113.7 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 9 | 5-4 | 55.6% | 55.6% (9) | 22.2% | 108.8 | 109.6 |
| Houston Rockets | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 42.9% (7) | 50% | 109.9 | 109.3 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 8 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 75% (8) | 37.5% | 109.3 | 112.3 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 25% (8) | 25% | 114.4 | 117.5 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 12.5% (8) | 37.5% | 110.8 | 114.4 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 8 | 8-0 | 100% | 85.7% (7) | 62.5% | 124.9 | 112.4 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 50% (8) | 50% | 116.8 | 113.1 |
| Sacramento Kings | 8 | 6-2 | 75% | 62.5% (8) | 62.5% | 123.5 | 120.5 |
| Golden State Warriors | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 25% (8) | 75% | 112.5 | 117.3 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 8 | 1-7 | 12.5% | 12.5% (8) | 75% | 109.9 | 124.6 |
| Utah Jazz | 8 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 62.5% (8) | 25% | 118.5 | 113.1 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 8 | 7-1 | 87.5% | 75% (8) | 75% | 128.9 | 115.8 |
| Denver Nuggets | 8 | 3-5 | 37.5% | 37.5% (8) | 12.5% | 109.3 | 110.6 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 8 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 62.5% (8) | 50% | 113 | 115.9 |
| Phoenix Suns | 8 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 71.4% (7) | 37.5% | 115.9 | 114.1 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Line | Covered | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Pacers | H | 110–102 | +3.5 | yes | under |
| 2026-10-24 | 76ers | A | 116–127 | +13.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-10-23 | Bulls | H | 125–132 | -1.5 | no | over |
| 2026-10-21 | Wizards | A | 116–128 | +4.5 | no | over |
| 2026-04-12 | 76ers | A | 106–126 | +16.5 | no | over |
| 2026-04-10 | Nets | H | 125–108 | -10.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-04-08 | Pistons | A | 111–137 | +21.5 | no | over |
| 2026-04-07 | Nets | A | 90–96 | -1.5 | no | under |
| 2026-04-05 | Grizzlies | H | 131–115 | -7.5 | yes | over |
| 2026-04-03 | Celtics | H | 101–133 | +17.5 | no | over |
Milwaukee Bucks season by season
| Season | Games | W-L | Win% | Against the line | Over | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1-3 | 25% | 50% (4) | 75% | 116.8 | 122.3 |
| 2025 | 82 | 32-50 | 39% | 43.9% (82) | 47.6% | 110.6 | 116.8 |
| 2024 | 88 | 50-38 | 56.8% | 52.9% (87) | 52.3% | 115 | 112.9 |
| 2023 | 88 | 51-37 | 58% | 42.5% (87) | 51.1% | 118.4 | 116.1 |
| 2022 | 87 | 59-28 | 67.8% | 53.7% (82) | 54% | 117 | 113.9 |
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