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Golden State Warriors — NBA Betting Trends & Stats

2022–2026 · 361 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

52.4%
Games won (189-172)
48%
Against the line (354)
53.1%
Games over the total
115.7
Points per game
114.4
Conceded per game

Are the Warriors a good bet against the line?

The Warriors have covered 48% of 354 games with a posted line since 2022, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 52.4% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Warriors perform at home and away?

Golden State Warriors by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home177107-7060.5%47.7% (172)52.3%116.2113.3
Away18482-10244.6%48.4% (182)53.8%115.1115.4

What happens when the Warriors are favourites?

Golden State Warriors by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (10+)5443-1179.6%40.4% (52)50%120109.6
Any favourite231145-8662.8%45.4% (227)55%118.4113.2
Underdog12943-8633.3%52.8% (127)49.6%110.9116.6
Heavy underdog (10+)182-1611.1%44.4% (18)38.9%103120.1

Which quarters do the Warriors win?

Golden State Warriors by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter36148.2%28.528.50
2nd quarter36149%28.628.4+0.2
3rd quarter36149.3%29.829+0.9
4th quarter36147.6%28.628.4+0.3
1st half36151.5%57.156.9+0.2
2nd half36150.1%58.557.3+1.1

The Warriors under each crew chief

Golden State Warriors by crew chief, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
Crew chiefGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Tony Brothers2010-1050%50% (20)55%114.6114.3
Sean Corbin1611-568.8%68.8% (16)50%117.4109.3
Ray Acosta147-750%50% (14)35.7%109.9113.3
Pat Fraher1310-376.9%38.5% (13)53.8%118.1111.8
Curtis Blair139-469.2%76.9% (13)69.2%120112.5
John Butler123-925%18.2% (11)83.3%116.8119.7
Brent Barnaky118-372.7%90.9% (11)27.3%110.2102.2
Kevin Cutler117-463.6%60% (10)54.5%122.2114.4
Jacyn Goble115-645.5%27.3% (11)54.5%112.7116.5
Courtney Kirkland101-910%22.2% (9)70%114.9124
JB DeRosa104-640%60% (10)70%112117.5
Nick Buchert105-550%20% (10)50%112.9120
Derrick Collins104-640%40% (10)50%117.7115.9
Mitchell Ervin94-544.4%44.4% (9)55.6%117.9117.1
Bill Kennedy82-625%0% (8)37.5%110.4119.6
Matt Boland84-450%16.7% (6)42.9%109.8114.9
Scott Foster84-450%50% (8)50%117.8115.5
John Goble84-450%50% (8)62.5%118.6114.9
Brian Forte84-450%25% (8)37.5%112.5115.6
Marc Davis85-362.5%50% (8)75%118.5116.9
Tyler Ford84-450%57.1% (7)25%115.8111.4

Golden State Warriors head-to-head record

Golden State Warriors against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Sacramento Kings2413-1154.2%43.5% (23)54.2%117.7115
Los Angeles Lakers238-1534.8%34.8% (23)60.9%113.8116.7
Houston Rockets2215-768.2%63.6% (22)40.9%110105.5
Minnesota Timberwolves196-1331.6%42.1% (19)52.6%107.3110.9
Phoenix Suns187-1138.9%33.3% (18)55.6%111.9114.8
Los Angeles Clippers175-1229.4%35.3% (17)47.1%112.4112.7
Memphis Grizzlies1611-568.8%43.8% (16)62.5%119.8118.5
Denver Nuggets154-1126.7%53.3% (15)46.7%115.5119.7
Utah Jazz1512-380%66.7% (15)66.7%126.4116.7
Dallas Mavericks158-753.3%42.9% (14)64.3%117.2116.4
Portland Trail Blazers1511-473.3%50% (14)53.3%122.6111.3
Oklahoma City Thunder156-940%53.3% (15)73.3%119.4123.1
San Antonio Spurs149-564.3%50% (14)57.1%119.9112.9
New Orleans Pelicans138-561.5%46.2% (13)23.1%109.5108.8
Miami Heat83-537.5%37.5% (8)25%107.8110
Charlotte Hornets87-187.5%71.4% (7)37.5%118.8105
Detroit Pistons84-450%28.6% (7)50%114.1116
Orlando Magic85-362.5%62.5% (8)50%113.8110.6
Cleveland Cavaliers83-537.5%50% (8)37.5%107.8113.6
New York Knicks85-362.5%62.5% (8)37.5%108.9108.8
Chicago Bulls85-362.5%62.5% (8)75%126.1117.1
Indiana Pacers82-625%25% (8)12.5%111.1110.6
Boston Celtics83-537.5%50% (8)50%109.1121.5
Milwaukee Bucks85-362.5%75% (8)75%117.3112.5
Philadelphia 76ers84-450%62.5% (8)37.5%115.3110.5
Toronto Raptors84-450%37.5% (8)75%120.6121.1
Brooklyn Nets85-362.5%37.5% (8)62.5%116.5117.6
Atlanta Hawks83-537.5%37.5% (8)62.5%123.3124
Washington Wizards88-0100%66.7% (6)75%127.1117.9

Last 10 games

Golden State Warriors most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-26NuggetsA134–114+7yesover
2026-10-24SunsA122–131+9.5yesover
2026-10-23GrizzliesH108–111-4.5nounder
2026-10-21LakersA105–127+6.5nounder
2026-04-17SunsA96–111+2.5nounder
2026-04-15ClippersA126–121+5.5yesover
2026-04-12ClippersA110–115+3.5nounder
2026-04-10KingsA118–124-10.5noover
2026-04-09LakersH103–119-1.5nounder
2026-04-07KingsH110–105-14.5nounder

Golden State Warriors season by season

Golden State Warriors by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202641-325%50% (4)50%117.3120.8
20258337-4644.6%42.2% (83)59%114.6115.6
20249453-4156.4%49.5% (93)48.9%112.4110
20238548-3756.5%53.1% (81)50%117.6115.3
20229550-4552.6%47.3% (93)54.7%118.1116.6

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.