What is the Miami Heat record against the spread?

Miami Heat have covered 48.9% of 362 games with a posted line since 2022. Pushes are excluded rather than counted as losses. The break-even rate at standard pricing is 52.4%.

Do Miami Heat games go over the total?

50% of 370 Miami Heat games with a posted total have gone over, averaging 112 points scored and 111.4 conceded.

How do Miami Heat perform as favourites?

Heavy favourite (8.5+): 78.7% won and 51.1% covered from 47 games. Any favourite: 64.2% won and 46.7% covered from 204 games. Underdog: 34.3% won and 51.5% covered from 166 games. Heavy underdog (8.5+): 30.3% won and 59.4% covered from 33 games.

By Johnathan Cruzen-Myer · Updated 28 October 2026 · How this is measured

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Miami Heat — NBA Betting Trends & Stats

2022–2026 · 370 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

50.8%

Games won (188-182)

48.9%

Against the line (362)

50%

Games over the total

112

Points per game

111.4

Conceded per game

Are the Heat a good bet against the line?

The Heat have covered 48.9% of 362 games with a posted line since 2022, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 50.8% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Heat perform at home and away?

Miami Heat by venue.
Venue	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
At home	183	102-81	55.7%	45.8% (179)	53%	113.4	111.8
Away	187	86-101	46%	51.9% (183)	47.1%	110.6	111.1

What happens when the Heat are favourites?

Miami Heat by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market role	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
Heavy favourite (8.5+)	47	37-10	78.7%	51.1% (45)	48.9%	117.5	107
Any favourite	204	131-73	64.2%	46.7% (199)	49%	114	109.5
Underdog	166	57-109	34.3%	51.5% (163)	51.2%	109.4	113.8
Heavy underdog (8.5+)	33	10-23	30.3%	59.4% (32)	48.5%	105.4	112.2

Which quarters do the Heat win?

Miami Heat by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
Period	Games	Won	Scored	Conceded	Margin
1st quarter	370	53%	28.7	28.1	+0.7
2nd quarter	370	48.9%	28.3	28	+0.3
3rd quarter	370	43%	27.6	28.3	-0.7
4th quarter	370	51.6%	27.2	26.9	+0.3
1st half	370	52.4%	57	56.1	+1
2nd half	370	45.7%	54.8	55.2	-0.5

The Heat under each crew chief

Miami Heat by crew chief, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
Crew chief	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
Tony Brothers	23	9-14	39.1%	50% (22)	52.2%	111.1	112
Curtis Blair	19	13-6	68.4%	55.6% (18)	47.4%	112.2	106.5
Scott Foster	16	2-14	12.5%	20% (15)	37.5%	101.3	111.1
Brent Barnaky	15	9-6	60%	71.4% (14)	53.3%	114.5	108.8
Ray Acosta	14	9-5	64.3%	64.3% (14)	57.1%	116.9	113.6
JB DeRosa	13	5-8	38.5%	38.5% (13)	46.2%	106.7	113.3
Sean Corbin	13	10-3	76.9%	75% (12)	61.5%	116.4	110.9
Marc Davis	13	7-6	53.8%	61.5% (13)	61.5%	108.7	109.3
Pat Fraher	13	9-4	69.2%	46.2% (13)	61.5%	114.8	113.8
Brandon Adair	13	9-4	69.2%	61.5% (13)	53.8%	114.4	108.8
Brian Forte	10	5-5	50%	50% (10)	60%	116	115.2
Nick Buchert	10	2-8	20%	30% (10)	70%	113.7	118.8
John Goble	9	3-6	33.3%	33.3% (9)	44.4%	108.2	115
Courtney Kirkland	9	6-3	66.7%	66.7% (9)	66.7%	107.2	107.1
James Capers	8	5-3	62.5%	75% (8)	62.5%	119.5	111.5
Eric Dalen	8	3-5	37.5%	37.5% (8)	75%	116.8	118.4
Kevin Cutler	8	4-4	50%	50% (8)	0%	103.3	106.6

Miami Heat head-to-head record

Miami Heat against every opponent met at least three times.
Opponent	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
Boston Celtics	27	8-19	29.6%	44.4% (27)	44.4%	105.1	111.6
New York Knicks	20	8-12	40%	55% (20)	55%	109.3	110.8
Cleveland Cavaliers	19	8-11	42.1%	52.6% (19)	63.2%	109.6	115.7
Milwaukee Bucks	19	9-10	47.4%	44.4% (18)	63.2%	114.5	115.8
Charlotte Hornets	18	12-6	66.7%	50% (18)	50%	116.2	111.1
Atlanta Hawks	18	12-6	66.7%	61.1% (18)	50%	117.7	112.2
Orlando Magic	17	8-9	47.1%	50% (16)	58.8%	110.4	111.3
Chicago Bulls	16	8-8	50%	43.8% (16)	37.5%	113.7	108.3
Toronto Raptors	16	7-9	43.8%	26.7% (15)	43.8%	107.3	110.4
Washington Wizards	16	12-4	75%	60% (15)	56.3%	120.7	109.4
Detroit Pistons	15	9-6	60%	33.3% (15)	53.3%	113.9	111.9
Philadelphia 76ers	15	10-5	66.7%	71.4% (14)	46.7%	111.1	105.9
Indiana Pacers	14	6-8	42.9%	35.7% (14)	71.4%	116.4	117.9
Denver Nuggets	13	2-11	15.4%	30.8% (13)	46.2%	106.8	113.5
Brooklyn Nets	13	7-6	53.8%	58.3% (12)	30.8%	106.5	105.8
Minnesota Timberwolves	9	2-7	22.2%	44.4% (9)	33.3%	102.9	112.3
Dallas Mavericks	9	3-6	33.3%	22.2% (9)	33.3%	108.7	114.6
Portland Trail Blazers	8	5-3	62.5%	62.5% (8)	62.5%	118.3	107.3
Golden State Warriors	8	5-3	62.5%	62.5% (8)	25%	110	107.8
Sacramento Kings	8	4-4	50%	37.5% (8)	50%	116	115
Phoenix Suns	8	5-3	62.5%	62.5% (8)	50%	111.3	111
Memphis Grizzlies	8	4-4	50%	62.5% (8)	37.5%	114.5	112
Los Angeles Clippers	8	4-4	50%	37.5% (8)	50%	110.8	113
San Antonio Spurs	8	5-3	62.5%	57.1% (7)	50%	112.6	110.8
Oklahoma City Thunder	8	3-5	37.5%	42.9% (7)	50%	109.3	114.6
Houston Rockets	8	6-2	75%	87.5% (8)	50%	110.8	106.3
Los Angeles Lakers	8	4-4	50%	37.5% (8)	50%	115.9	110.9
Utah Jazz	8	5-3	62.5%	25% (8)	62.5%	116.9	116.8
New Orleans Pelicans	8	7-1	87.5%	75% (8)	50%	117.3	103.6

Last 10 games

Miami Heat most recent results.
Date	Opponent		Score	Line	Covered	Total
2026-10-26	Mavericks	H	109–113	-7.5	no	under
2026-10-24	Hornets	A	110–115	-4.5	no	under
2026-10-23	Pistons	H	111–128	+2.5	no	over
2026-10-21	Timberwolves	H	106–131	-1.5	no	under
2026-04-14	Hornets	A	126–127	+6	yes	over
2026-04-12	Hawks	H	143–117	-10.5	yes	over
2026-04-10	Wizards	A	140–117	-16	yes	over
2026-04-09	Raptors	A	114–128	+4.5	no	over
2026-04-07	Raptors	A	95–121	+2.5	no	under
2026-04-04	Wizards	H	152–136	-18.5	no	over

Miami Heat season by season

Miami Heat by season.
Season	Games	W-L	Win%	Against the line	Over	Points for	Points against
2026	4	0-4	0%	0% (4)	25%	109	121.8
2025	82	43-39	52.4%	58% (81)	57.3%	121	118.6
2024	88	39-49	44.3%	47.7% (86)	54.5%	110	110.6
2023	89	48-41	53.9%	48.2% (85)	42.7%	109.1	108.1
2022	107	58-49	54.2%	45.3% (106)	47.7%	109.1	109

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