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Denver Nuggets — NBA Betting Trends & Stats

2022–2026 · 380 games. Every figure below is a record with its sample size, not a projection.

64.7%
Games won (246-134)
50.7%
Against the line (375)
51.6%
Games over the total
117
Points per game
113.1
Conceded per game

Are the Nuggets a good bet against the line?

The Nuggets have covered 50.7% of 375 games with a posted line since 2022, against a break-even of 52.4%. That is below break-even, which is the ordinary case — the line exists to make both sides roughly equal, and over a long enough record almost every club lands near 50%. Their straight win rate of 64.7% is a different question entirely: winning often and covering often come apart exactly as the market intends.

How do the Nuggets perform at home and away?

Denver Nuggets by venue.
VenueGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
At home193143-5074.1%52.4% (191)50.8%118.9111.6
Away187103-8455.1%48.9% (184)52.4%115.1114.7

What happens when the Nuggets are favourites?

Denver Nuggets by role in the market. Bands are this club's own spread distribution, so "heavy" means heavy for them.
Market roleGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Heavy favourite (10.5+)6757-1085.1%45.5% (66)59.7%124.6112.7
Any favourite280195-8569.6%45.7% (276)50%118.3112.5
Underdog10051-4951%64.6% (99)56%113.5115
Heavy underdog (10.5+)106-460%90% (10)30%111.3111.6

Which quarters do the Nuggets win?

Denver Nuggets by scoring period, from games where period scores are held.
PeriodGamesWonScoredConcededMargin
1st quarter38057.4%30.128.3+1.9
2nd quarter38049.5%29290
3rd quarter38052.9%29.828.2+1.7
4th quarter38047.6%27.927.6+0.3
1st half38053.7%59.157.3+1.9
2nd half38055.5%57.855.8+2

The Nuggets under each crew chief

Denver Nuggets by crew chief, minimum 8 games. Differences at this sample size are mostly noise — a ten-game split has a standard error near sixteen points.
Crew chiefGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Marc Davis2618-869.2%66.7% (24)53.8%115.3111.4
Tony Brothers1912-763.2%61.1% (18)52.6%114.1110.2
Curtis Blair1911-857.9%61.1% (18)31.6%113.9109.4
Sean Corbin168-850%43.8% (16)62.5%116.1114.2
Scott Foster1611-568.8%43.8% (16)75%117.9116.8
Ray Acosta159-660%46.7% (15)60%114.6112.9
Nick Buchert137-653.8%53.8% (13)61.5%114.5115.7
Brent Barnaky1310-376.9%41.7% (12)46.2%115.5109.5
Courtney Kirkland128-466.7%58.3% (12)66.7%116.6112.1
Jacyn Goble93-633.3%55.6% (9)77.8%119.8120.7
Rodney Mott85-362.5%50% (8)25%109.6106.3
Eric Dalen84-450%25% (8)37.5%117.1117.8
Ed Malloy86-275%50% (8)37.5%119.6113.1
John Butler86-275%50% (8)75%125.4116.1
Mousa Dagher86-275%50% (8)50%120.1112
Tyler Ford85-362.5%25% (8)50%119.1115
Mitchell Ervin86-275%50% (8)100%128.3121.1

Denver Nuggets head-to-head record

Denver Nuggets against every opponent met at least three times.
OpponentGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
Minnesota Timberwolves3416-1847.1%41.2% (34)55.9%110.2112.6
Oklahoma City Thunder2310-1343.5%60.9% (23)56.5%112114.3
Los Angeles Lakers2316-769.6%47.6% (21)34.8%114.8112.5
Los Angeles Clippers2214-863.6%57.1% (21)40.9%113.8108.2
Phoenix Suns2013-765%60% (20)50%118.2110.6
Utah Jazz1613-381.3%50% (16)37.5%122.6112.3
Portland Trail Blazers1612-475%43.8% (16)75%124.1116.1
Golden State Warriors1511-473.3%46.7% (15)46.7%119.7115.5
Dallas Mavericks159-660%46.7% (15)60%118.2114.9
Houston Rockets159-660%53.3% (15)46.7%115.7112.7
New Orleans Pelicans1511-473.3%46.7% (15)53.3%119.3113.5
Memphis Grizzlies1411-378.6%57.1% (14)42.9%117.6108.7
Sacramento Kings149-564.3%57.1% (14)64.3%120.4115.8
San Antonio Spurs139-469.2%53.8% (13)53.8%123.4118.2
Miami Heat1311-284.6%69.2% (13)46.2%113.5106.8
Indiana Pacers87-187.5%57.1% (7)50%123113.6
Boston Celtics85-362.5%62.5% (8)37.5%109.8109.1
Chicago Bulls84-450%50% (8)75%120.3116.9
New York Knicks81-712.5%12.5% (8)50%108.8123.4
Detroit Pistons85-362.5%75% (8)50%120.1112.5
Atlanta Hawks86-275%62.5% (8)87.5%126.1116.4
Washington Wizards86-275%50% (8)50%120.8113.3
Charlotte Hornets87-187.5%25% (8)12.5%111.1105.4
Cleveland Cavaliers83-537.5%50% (8)62.5%118.6118.3
Orlando Magic84-450%37.5% (8)62.5%117.4113.6
Milwaukee Bucks85-362.5%62.5% (8)12.5%110.6109.3
Philadelphia 76ers86-275%50% (8)62.5%124.6116.4
Toronto Raptors87-187.5%25% (8)62.5%117.6115.4
Brooklyn Nets86-275%42.9% (7)75%120.5114.5

Last 10 games

Denver Nuggets most recent results.
DateOpponentScoreLineCoveredTotal
2026-10-26WarriorsH114–134-7noover
2026-10-24PelicansH141–135-11.5noover
2026-10-22ThunderA84–96+8nounder
2026-04-30TimberwolvesA98–110-7.5nounder
2026-04-27TimberwolvesH125–113-11.5yesover
2026-04-25TimberwolvesA96–112-1.5nounder
2026-04-23TimberwolvesA96–113+1nounder
2026-04-20TimberwolvesH114–119-7.5noover
2026-04-18TimberwolvesH116–105-7.5yesunder
2026-04-12SpursA128–118+9.5yesover

Denver Nuggets season by season

Denver Nuggets by season.
SeasonGamesW-LWin%Against the lineOverPoints forPoints against
202631-233.3%0% (3)66.7%113121.7
20258856-3263.6%52.3% (88)60.2%121.1116.6
20249457-3760.6%49.5% (93)58.5%119116.1
20239464-3068.1%46.7% (92)41.5%113.2108.9
202210168-3367.3%55.6% (99)46.5%115.4111.1

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Results and closing lines from aussportsbetting (NRL, AFL) and SportsDatabase (NFL, NBA). Every figure is a historical record with its sample size shown, not a prediction. A push is excluded from against-the-line records rather than counted as a loss. Informational only, not betting advice · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.