Understand AFL betting with data

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Home-win %, favourite-win % and over-the-total % by season.

Favourites win ~70% of AFL games and home favourites even more — but totals and line markets sit near 50/50, i.e. closing lines are efficient. The measurable edge is the market-move signal below.

⚡ Spread splitter — half-time & 2nd-half line

A handy rule: halve the full-game spread to estimate the half-time and second-half handicap (each half is roughly half the game). Average game spread in this dataset: – points.

Full-game spread → Half-time – 2nd half –

Season Round

Date	Match	Score	Odds H/A	Line	Total	Fav	Result

Green = favourite won / over the total hit. Odds are closing prices. Completed rounds only.

Bounce & letdown — how teams do the game AFTER facing each opponent

All-time. Low win % = a "letdown" spot; high = a "bounce". Also over % and line-cover % of that next game.

After facing…	Next games	Win %	Over %	Cover %

Last 3 seasons. Click a column to sort. Form = last 5 games (most recent on the right).

Team	GP	Win%	Home%	Away%	PF	PA	Marg	Over%	Fav%	Form

Understand AFL betting with data

⚡ Spread splitter — half-time & 2nd-half line

Bounce & letdown — how teams do the game AFTER facing each opponent

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